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Regional Methane Emission Estimation Based on Observed Atmospheric Concentrations (2002-2012)
  • Published Date:
    2016
  • Source:
    Journal of the Meteorological Society of Japan, 94(1), 91-113.
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Regional Methane Emission Estimation Based on Observed Atmospheric Concentrations (2002-2012)
Details:
  • Personal Author:
  • Description:
    Methane (CH4) plays important roles in atmospheric chemistry and short-term forcing of climate. A clear understanding of atmospheric CH4's budget of emissions and losses is required to aid sustainable management of Earth's future environment. We used an atmospheric chemistry-transport model (JAMSTEC's ACTM) for simulating atmospheric CH4. A global inverse modeling system has been developed for estimating CH4 emissions from 53 land regions for 2002-2012 using measurements at 39 sites. An ensemble of 7 inversions is performed by varying a priori emissions. Global net CH4 emissions varied between 505-509 and 524-545 Tg yr(-1) during 2002-2006 and 2008-2012, respectively (ranges based on 7 inversion cases), with a step like increase in 2007 in agreement with atmospheric measurements. The inversion system did not account for interannual variations in OH radicals reacting with CH4 in the atmosphere. Our results suggest that the recent update of the EDGAR inventory (version 4.2FT2010) overestimated the global total emissions by at least 25 Tg yr(-1) in 2010. The increase in CH4 emission since 2004 originated in the tropical and southern hemisphere regions, coinciding with an increase in non-dairy cattle stocks by similar to 10 % from 2002 (with 1056 million heads) to 2012, leading to similar to 10 Tg yr(-1) increase in emissions from enteric fermentation. All 7 ensemble cases robustly estimated the interannual variations in emissions, but poorly constrained the seasonal cycle amplitude or phase consistently for all regions due to the sparse observational network. Forward simulation results using both a priori and a posteriori emissions are compared with independent aircraft measurements for validation. Based on the results of the comparison, we reject the upper limit (545 Tg yr(-1)) of global total emissions as 14 Tg yr(-1) too high during 2008-2012, which allows us to further conclude that the increase in CH4 emissions over the East Asia (mainly China) region was 7-8 Tg yr(-1) between the 2002-2006 and 2008-2012 periods, contrary to 1-17 Tg yr(-1) in the a priori emissions.
  • DOI:
    http://dx.doi.org/10.2151/jmsj.2016-006
  • Document Type:
    Journal Article
  • Collection(s):
    NOAA Cooperative Institutes
    Office of Oceanic and Atmospheric Research (OAR)
  • Main Document Checksum:
  • Supporting Files:
    No Additional Files
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      Personal Author:
      Coakley, K. J.; Miller, J. B.; Montzka, S. A.; Sweeney, C.; Miller, B.;
      Published Date:
      2016
      Source:
      Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres, 121(12), 7489-7505.
      Description:
      The measured C-14:C-12 isotopic ratio of atmospheric CO2 (and its associated derived Delta C-14 value) is an ideal tracer for determination of the fossil fuel derived CO2 enhancement contributing to any atmospheric CO2 measurement (C-ff). Given enoug...
      File Type:
      Filetype[PDF - 1.76 MB]
    2. Strong regional atmospheric C-14 signature of respired CO2 observed from a tall tower over the midwestern United States
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      LaFranchi, B. W.; McFarlane, K. J.; Miller, J. B.; Lehman, S. J.; Phillips, C. L.; Andrews, A. E.; Tans, P. P.; Chen, H.; Liu, Z.; Turnbull, J. C.; Xu, X.; Guilderson, T. P.;
      Published Date:
      2016
      Source:
      Journal of Geophysical Research-Biogeosciences, 121(8), 2275-2295.
      Description:
      Radiocarbon in CO2 ((CO2)-C-14) measurements can aid in discriminating between fast (< 1 year) and slower (> 5-10 years) cycling of C between the atmosphere and the terrestrial biosphere due to the 14C disequilibrium between atmospheric and terrestri...
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    3. A multiyear estimate of methane fluxes in Alaska from CARVE atmospheric observations
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      Miller, S. M.; Miller, C. E.; Commane, R.; Chang, R. Y. W.; Dinardo, S. J.; Henderson, J. M.; Karion, A.; Lindaas, J.; Melton, J. R.; Miller, J. B.; Sweeney, C.; Wofsy, S. C.; Michalak, A. M.;
      Published Date:
      2016
      Source:
      Global Biogeochemical Cycles, 30(10), 1441-1453.
      Description:
      Methane (CH4) fluxes from Alaska and other arctic regions may be sensitive to thawing permafrost and future climate change, but estimates of both current and future fluxes from the region are uncertain. This study estimates CH4 fluxes across Alaska f...
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    4. Mesoscale modulation of air-sea CO2 flux in Drake Passage
      Personal Author:
      Song, H.; Marshall, J.; Munro, D. R.; Dutkiewicz, S.; Sweeney, C.; McGillicuddy, D. J.; Hausmann, U.;
      Published Date:
      2016
      Source:
      Journal of Geophysical Research-Oceans, 121(9), 6635-6649.
      Description:
      We investigate the role of mesoscale eddies in modulating air-sea CO2 flux and associated biogeochemical fields in Drake Passage using in situ observations and an eddy-resolving numerical model. Both observations and model show a negative correlation...
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    5. Continuous and high-precision atmospheric concentration measurements of COS, CO2, CO and H2O using a quantum cascade laser spectrometer (QCLS)
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      Kooijmans, L. M. J.; Uitslag, N. A. M.; Zahniser, M. S.; Nelson, D. D.; Montzka, S. A.; Chen, H. L.;
      Published Date:
      2016
      Source:
      Atmospheric Measurement Techniques, 9(11), 5293-5314.
      Description:
      Carbonyl sulfide (COS) has been suggested as a useful tracer for gross primary production as it is taken up by plants in a similar way as CO2. To explore and verify the application of this novel tracer, it is highly desired to develop the ability to ...
      File Type:
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    6. UTLS water vapour from SCIAMACHY limb measurements V3.01 (2002-2012)
      Personal Author:
      Weigel, K.; Rozanov, A.; Azam, F.; Bramstedt, K.; Damadeo, R.; Eichmann, K. U.; Gebhardt, C.; Hurst, D.; Kraemer, M.; Lossow, S.; Read, W.; Spelten, N.; Stiller, G. P.; Walker, K. A.; Weber, M.; Bovensmann, H.; Burrows, J. P.;
      Published Date:
      2016
      Source:
      Atmospheric Measurement Techniques, 9(1), 133-158.
      Description:
      The SCanning Imaging Absorption spectroMeter for Atmospheric CHartographY (SCIAMACHY) aboard the Envisat satellite provided measurements from August 2002 until April 2012. SCIAMACHY measured the scattered or direct sunlight using different observatio...
      File Type:
      Filetype[PDF - 6.13 MB]
    7. Influence of oil and gas emissions on summertime ozone in the Colorado Northern Front Range
      Personal Author:
      McDuffie, E. E.; Edwards, P. M.; Gilman, J. B.; Lerner, B. M.; Dube, W. P.; Trainer, M.; Wolfe, D. E.; Angevine, W. M.; deGouw, J.; Williams, E. J.; Tevlin, A. G.; Murphy, J. G.; Fischer, E. V.; McKeen, S.; Ryerson, T. B.; Peischl, J.; Holloway, J. S.; Aikin, K.; Langford, A. O.; Senff, C. J.; Alvarez, R. J.; Hall, S. R.; Ullmann, K.; Lantz, K. O.; Brown, S. S.;
      Published Date:
      2016
      Source:
      Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres, 121(14), 8712-8729.
      Description:
      Tropospheric O-3 has been decreasing across much of the eastern U.S. but has remained steady or even increased in some western regions. Recent increases in VOC and NOx emissions associated with the production of oil and natural gas (O&NG) may contrib...
      File Type:
      Filetype[PDF - 1.41 MB]
    8. Summertime surface O-3 behavior and deposition to tundra in the Alaskan Arctic
      Personal Author:
      Van Dam, B.; Helmig, D.; Doskey, P. V.; Oltmans, S. J.;
      Published Date:
      2016
      Source:
      Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres, 121(13), 8055-8066.
      Description:
      Atmospheric turbulence quantities, boundary layer ozone (O-3) levels, and O-3 deposition to the tundra surface were investigated at Toolik Lake, AK, during the 2011 summer season. Beginning immediately after snowmelt, a diurnal cycle of O-3 in the at...
      File Type:
      Filetype[PDF - 2.83 MB]
    9. A comprehensive estimate for loss of atmospheric carbon tetrachloride (CCl4) to the ocean
      Personal Author:
      Butler, J. H.; Yvon-Lewis, S. A.; Lobert, J. M.; King, D. B.; Montzka, S. A.; Bullister, J. L.; Koropalov, V.; Elkins, J. W.; Hall, B. D.; Hu, L.; Liu, Y. N.;
      Published Date:
      2016
      Source:
      Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 16(17), 10899-10910.
      Description:
      Extensive undersaturations of carbon tetrachloride (CCl4) in Pacific, Atlantic, and Southern Ocean surface waters indicate that atmospheric CCl4 is consumed in large amounts by the ocean. Observations made on 16 research cruises between 1987 and 2010...
      File Type:
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    10. MIPAS IMK/IAA CFC-11 (CCl3F) and CFC-12 (CCl2F2) measurements: accuracy, precision and long-term stability
      Personal Author:
      Eckert, E.; Laeng, A.; Lossow, S.; Kellmann, S.; Stiller, G.; von Clarmann, T.; Glatthor, N.; Hopfner, M.; Kiefer, M.; Oelhaf, H.; Orphal, J.; Funke, B.; Grabowski, U.; Haenel, F.; Linden, A.; Wetzel, G.; Woiwode, W.; Bernath, P. F.; Boone, C.; Dutton, G. S.; Elkins, J. W.; Engel, A.; Gille, J. C.; Kolonjari, F.; Sugita, T.; Toon, G. C.; Walker, K. A.;
      Published Date:
      2016
      Source:
      Atmospheric Measurement Techniques, 9(7), 3355-3389.
      Description:
      Profiles of CFC-11 (CCl3F) and CFC-12 (CCl2F2) of the Michelson Interferometer for Passive Atmospheric Sounding (MIPAS) aboard the European satellite Envisat have been retrieved from versions MIPAS/4.61 to MI-PAS/4.62 and MIPAS/5.02 to MIPAS/5.06 lev...
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      Personal Author:
      Hurst, D. F.; Read, W. G.; Vomel, H.; Selkirk, H. B.; Rosenlof, K. H.; Davis, S. M.; Hall, E. G.; Jordan, A. F.; Oltmans, S. J.;
      Published Date:
      2016
      Source:
      Atmospheric Measurement Techniques, 9(9), 4447-4457.
      Description:
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      Personal Author:
      Wiggins, E. B.; Veraverbeke, S.; Henderson, J. M.; Karion, A.; Miller, J. B.; Lindaas, J.; Commane, R.; Sweeney, C.; Luus, K. A.; Tosca, M. G.; Dinardo, S. J.; Wofsy, S.; Miller, C. E.; Randerson, J. T.;
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      2016
      Source:
      Journal of Geophysical Research-Biogeosciences, 121(11), 2793-2810.
      Description:
      Relationships between boreal wildfire emissions and day-to-day variations in meteorological variables are complex and have important implications for the sensitivity of high-latitude ecosystems to climate change. We examined the influence of environm...
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    13. Separation of biospheric and fossil fuel fluxes of CO2 by atmospheric inversion of CO2 and (CO2)-C-14 measurements: Observation System Simulations
      Personal Author:
      Basu, S.; Miller, J. B.; Lehman, S.;
      Published Date:
      2016
      Source:
      Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 16(9), 5665-5683.
      Description:
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      File Type:
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    14. Investigating Alaskan methane and carbon dioxide fluxes using measurements from the CARVE tower
      Personal Author:
      Karion, A.; Sweeney, C.; Miller, J. B.; Andrews, A. E.; Commane, R.; Dinardo, S.; Henderson, J. M.; Lindaas, J.; Lin, J. C.; Luus, K. A.; Newberger, T.; Tans, P.; Wofsy, S. C.; Wolter, S.; Miller, C. E.;
      Published Date:
      2016
      Source:
      Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 16(8), 5383-5398.
      Description:
      Northern high-latitude carbon sources and sinks, including those resulting from degrading permafrost, are thought to be sensitive to the rapidly warming climate. Because the near-surface atmosphere integrates surface fluxes over large ( aEuro-500-100...
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    15. Regional atmospheric CO2 inversion reveals seasonal and geographic differences in Amazon net biome exchange
      Personal Author:
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      2016
      Source:
      Global Change Biology, 22(10), 3427-3443.
      Description:
      Understanding tropical rainforest carbon exchange and its response to heat and drought is critical for quantifying the effects of climate change on tropical ecosystems, including global climate-carbon feedbacks. Of particular importance for the globa...
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      Frankenberg, C.; Thorpe, A. K.; Thompson, D. R.; Hulley, G.; Kort, E. A.; Vance, N.; Borchardt, J.; Krings, T.; Gerilowski, K.; Sweeney, C.; Conley, S.; Bue, B. D.; Aubrey, A. D.; Hook, S.; Green, R. O.;
      Published Date:
      2016
      Source:
      Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 113(35), 9734-9739.
      Description:
      Methane (CH4) impacts climate as the second strongest anthropogenic greenhouse gas and air quality by influencing tropospheric ozone levels. Space-based observations have identified the Four Corners region in the Southwest United States as an area of...
      File Type:
      Filetype[PDF - 1.96 MB]
    17. New approaches to quantifying aerosol influence on the cloud radiative effect
      Personal Author:
      Feingold, G.; McComiskey, A.; Yamaguchi, T.; Johnson, J. S.; Carslaw, K. S.; Schmidt, K. S.;
      Published Date:
      2016
      Source:
      Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 113(21), 5812-5819.
      Description:
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      File Type:
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    18. No significant increase in long-term CH4 emissions on North Slope of Alaska despite significant increase in air temperature
      Personal Author:
      Sweeney, C.; Dlugokencky, E.; Miller, C. E.; Wofsy, S.; Karion, A.; Dinardo, S.; Chang, R. Y. W.; Miller, J. B.; Bruhwiler, L.; Crotwell, A. M.; Newberger, T.; McKain, K.; Stone, R. S.; Wolter, S. E.; Lang, P. E.; Tans, P.;
      Published Date:
      2016
      Source:
      Geophysical Research Letters, 43(12), 6604-6611.
      Description:
      Continuous measurements of atmospheric methane (CH4) mole fractions measured by NOAA's Global Greenhouse Gas Reference Network in Barrow, AK (BRW), show strong enhancements above background values when winds come from the land sector from July to Dec...
      File Type:
      Filetype[PDF - 536.86 KB]
    19. Detecting regional patterns of changing CO2 flux in Alaska
      Personal Author:
      Parazoo, N. C.; Commane, R.; Wofsy, S. C.; Koven, C. D.; Sweeney, C.; Lawrence, D. M.; Lindaas, J.; Chang, R. Y. W.; Miller, C. E.;
      Published Date:
      2016
      Source:
      Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 113(28), 7733-7738.
      Description:
      With rapid changes in climate and the seasonal amplitude of carbon dioxide (CO2) in the Arctic, it is critical that we detect and quantify the underlying processes controlling the changing amplitude of CO2 to better predict carbon cycle feedbacks in ...
      File Type:
      Filetype[PDF - 1.21 MB]