What caused the recent "Warm Arctic, Cold Continents" trend pattern in winter temperatures?
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What caused the recent "Warm Arctic, Cold Continents" trend pattern in winter temperatures?
  • Published Date:

    2016

  • Source:
    Geophysical Research Letters, 43(10), 5345-5352.
Filetype[PDF-2.72 MB]


Details:
  • Personal Author:
  • Description:
    The emergence of rapid Arctic warming in recent decades has coincided with unusually cold winters over Northern Hemisphere continents. It has been speculated that this "Warm Arctic, Cold Continents" trend pattern is due to sea ice loss. Here we use multiple models to examine whether such a pattern is indeed forced by sea ice loss specifically and by anthropogenic forcing in general. While we show much of Arctic amplification in surface warming to result from sea ice loss, we find that neither sea ice loss nor anthropogenic forcing overall yield trends toward colder continental temperatures. An alternate explanation of the cooling is that it represents a strong articulation of internal atmospheric variability, evidence for which is derived from model data, and physical considerations. Sea ice loss impact on weather variability over the high-latitude continents is found, however, to be characterized by reduced daily temperature variability and fewer cold extremes.
  • DOI:
    https://doi.org/10.1002/2016GL069024
  • Document Type:
    Journal Article
  • Collection(s):
    NOAA Cooperative Institutes
    Office of Oceanic and Atmospheric Research (OAR)
  • Main Document Checksum:
  • File Type:
    1. Filetype[PDF - 2.82 MB]
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      Creamean, J. M.; White, A. B.; Minnis, P.; Palikonda, R.; Spangenberg, D. A.; Prather, K. A.;
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      2016
      Source:
      Atmospheric Environment, 140, 298-310.
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      Ice formation in orographic mixed -phase clouds can enhance precipitation and depends on the type of aerosols that serve as ice nucleating particles (INPs). The resulting precipitation from these clouds is a viable source of water, especially for reg...
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      Zawislak, J.; Jiang, H. Y.; Alvey, G. R.; Zipser, E. J.; Rogers, R. F.; Zhang, J. A.; Stevenson, S. N.;
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      Monthly Weather Review, 144(9), 3333-3354.
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      2016
      Source:
      Environmental Research Letters, 11(6), 064009.
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      2016
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      2016
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      An intercomparison of landfalling atmospheric rivers (ARs) between four reanalysis data sets using one satellite-derived AR detection method as a metric to characterize landfalling atmospheric rivers (ARs) along the U.S. West Coast is performed over ...
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      2016
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      2016
      Source:
      Monthly Weather Review, 144(4), 1617-1632.
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      Published Date:
      2016
      Source:
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      Description:
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      Published Date:
      2016
      Source:
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      Description:
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    11. Filetype[PDF - 5.17 MB]
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      Published Date:
      2016
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      Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 97(6), 1033-1056.
      Description:
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      2016
      Source:
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      Description:
      Time series of U.S. daily heavy precipitation (95th percentile) are analyzed to determine factors responsible for regionality and seasonality in their 1979-2013 trends. For annual conditions, contiguous U.S. trends have been characterized by increase...
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      2016
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      Published Date:
      2016
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      The future rate of climate change in mountains has many potential human impacts, including those related to water resources, ecosystem services, and recreation. Analysis of the ensemble mean response of CMIP5 global climate models (GCMs) shows amplif...
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      Published Date:
      2016
      Source:
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      Description:
      Self-organizing maps (SOMs) were used to explore relationships between large-scale synoptic conditions, especially vertically integrated water vapor transport (IVT), and extreme precipitation events in the U.S. Intermountain West (IMW). By examining ...
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    16. Filetype[PDF - 1.46 MB]
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      2016
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      Earth System Science Data, 8(2), 383-413.
      Description:
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      2016
      Source:
      Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 16(7), 4743-4756.
      Description:
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      Description:
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