Carbon dioxide emissions from electricity generation are a major cause of anthropogenic climate change. The deployment of wind and solar power reduces these emissions, but is subject to the variability of the weather. In the present study, we calculate the cost-optimized configuration of variable electrical power generators using weather data with high spatial (13-km) and temporal (60-min) resolution over the contiguous US. Our results show that when using future anticipated costs for wind and solar, carbon dioxide emissions from the US electricity sector can be reduced by up to 80% relative to 1990 levels, without an increase in the levelized cost of electricity. The reductions are possible with current technologies and without electrical storage. Wind and solar power increase their share of electricity production as the system grows to encompass large-scale weather patterns. This reduction in carbon emissions is achieved by moving away from a regionally divided electricity sector to a national system enabled by high-voltage direct-current transmission.
Few if any high-resolution (annually resolved) paleoclimate records are available for the Hawaiian Islands prior to; similar to 1850 CE, after which s...
2016 | Journal of Atmospheric and Oceanic Technology, 33(3), 579-595.
Description:
This study consists of two parts. The first part describes the way in which vertical air motions and raindrop size distributions (DSDs) were retrieved...
The analysis produced by the ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF) may be dynamically inconsistent and contain unbalanced gravity waves that are absent in the...
2016 | Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 73(2), 467-486.
Description:
Hurricane Irene (2011) moved northward along the eastern coast of the United States and was expected to cause severe wind and flood damage. However, t...
The semiarid U.S. Great Plains is prone to severe droughts having major consequences for agricultural production, livestock health, and river navigati...
This study documents a very rapid increase in convective instability, vertical wind shear, and mesoscale forcing for ascent leading to the formation o...
Forced atmospheric teleconnections during 1979-2014 are examined using a 50-member ensemble of atmospheric general circulation model (AGCM) simulation...
Stratospheric ozone depletion plays a major role in driving climate change in the Southern Hemisphere. To date, many climate models prescribe the stra...
The land surface model (LSM) described in this manuscript was originally developed as part of the NOAA Rapid Update Cycle (RUC) model development effo...
Ensemble postprocessing is frequently applied to correct biases and deficiencies in the spread of ensemble forecasts. Methods involving weighted, regr...
Noise interferometry is the process by which approximations to acoustic Green's functions, which describe sound propagation between two locations, are...
The structural evolution of the inner core and near environment throughout the life cycle of Hurricane Edouard (2014) is examined using a synthesis of...
The Pacific decadal oscillation (PDO), the dominant year-round pattern of monthly North Pacific sea surface temperature (SST) variability, is an impor...
2016 | Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 97(8), 1427-+.
Description:
With a goal of improving operational numerical weather prediction (NWP), the Developmental Testbed Center (DTC) has been working with operational cent...
The Rapid Refresh (RAP), an hourly updated assimilation and model forecast system, replaced the Rapid Update Cycle (RUC) as an operational regional an...
2017 | International Journal of Climatology, 37(1), 197-203.
Description:
Contrary to the above title, a more typical question might be ‘How does climate variability and change impact atolls (and associated ecosystems and ...
2016 | Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 73(6), 2361-2384.
Description:
The intrusion of lower-stratospheric extratropical potential vorticity into the tropical upper troposphere in the weeks surrounding the occurrence of ...
2016 | Journal of Hydrometeorology, 17(7), 1905-1914.
Description:
The upper Sacramento River watershed is vital to California's water supply and is susceptible to major floods. Orographic precipitation in this comple...
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