CIRES (Cooperative Institute for Research in Environmental Sciences)

Many operational drought indices focus primarily on precipitation and temperature when depicting hydroclimatic anomalies, and this perspective can be augmented by analyses and products that reflect the evaporative dynamics of drought. The linkage between atmospheric evaporative demand E-0 and actual evapotranspiration (ET) is leveraged in a new drought index based solely on E-0-the Evaporative Demand Drought Index (EDDI). EDDI measures the signal of drought through the response of E-0 to surface drying anomalies that result from two distinct land surface-atmosphere interactions: 1) a complementary relationship between E-0 and ET that develops under moisture limitations at the land surface, leading to ET declining and increasing E-0, as in sustained droughts, and 2) parallel ET and E-0 increases arising from increased energy availability that lead to surface moisture limitations, as in flash droughts. To calculate EDDI from E-0, a long-term, daily reanalysis of reference ET estimated from the American Society of Civil Engineers (ASCE) standardized reference ET equation using radiation and meteorological variables from the North American Land Data Assimilation System phase 2 (NLDAS-2) is used. EDDI is obtained by deriving empirical probabilities of aggregated E-0 depths relative to their climatologic means across a user-specific time period and normalizing these probabilities. Positive EDDI values then indicate drier-than-normal conditions and the potential for drought. EDDI is a physically based, multiscalar drought index that that can serve as an indicator of both flash and sustained droughts, in some hydroclimates offering early warning relative to current operational drought indices. The performance of EDDI is assessed against other commonly used drought metrics across CONUS in Part II.

Office of Oceanic and Atmospheric Research (OAR)