• Madden-Julian Oscillation Pacific teleconnections: the impact of the basic state and MJO representation in General Circulation Models Cite CITE Title : Madden-Julian Oscillation Pacific teleconnections: the impact of the basic state and MJO representation in General Circulation Models Personal Author(s) : Henderson, Stephanie A.;Maloney, Eric D.;Son, Seok-Woo; Corporate Authors(s) : United States. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. Office of Oceanic and Atmospheric Research;Modeling, Analysis, Predictions, and Projections Program (U.S.); Published Date : 2017 Source : Journal of Climate, 30(12), 4567-4587. DOI : https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0789.1 Journal Title : Journal of Climate File Format: Copy Export RIS [PDF - 4.50 MB] Personal Author: Henderson, Stephanie A. ; Maloney, Eric D. ... 2017 | Journal of Climate, 30(12), 4567-4587. Description: Teleconnection patterns associated with the Madden–Julian oscillation (MJO) significantly alter extratropical circulations, impacting weather and cl... File Type: [PDF - 4.50 MB] File Type: [PDF - 4.50 MB] Spatial patterns and intensity of the surface storm tracks in CMIP5 models Cite CITE Title : Spatial patterns and intensity of the surface storm tracks in CMIP5 models Personal Author(s) : Booth, James F.;Kwon, Young-Oh;Ko, Stanley;Small, R. Justin;Msadek, Rym; Corporate Authors(s) : United States. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. Office of Oceanic and Atmospheric Research;Modeling, Analysis, Predictions, and Projections Program (U.S.); Published Date : 2017 Source : ournal of Climate, 30(13), 4965-4981. DOI : https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0228.1 Journal Title : Journal of Climate File Format: Copy Export RIS [PDF - 2.70 MB] Personal Author: Booth, James F. ; Kwon, Young-Oh ... 2017 | ournal of Climate, 30(13), 4965-4981. Description: To improve the understanding of storm tracks and western boundary current (WBC) interactions, surface storm tracks in 12 CMIP5 models are examined aga... File Type: [PDF - 2.70 MB] File Type: [PDF - 2.70 MB] Relationships between radiation, clouds, and convection during DYNAMO Cite CITE Title : Relationships between radiation, clouds, and convection during DYNAMO Personal Author(s) : Ciesielski, Paul E.;Johnson, Richard H.;Jiang, Xianan;Zhang, Yunyan;Xie, Shaocheng; Published Date : 2017 Source : J. Geophys. Res. Atmos., 122, 2529– 2548 DOI : https://doi.org/10.1002/2016JD025965 Journal Title : Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres File Format: Copy Export RIS [PDF - 3.79 MB] Personal Author: Ciesielski, Paul E. ; Johnson, Richard H. ... 2017 | J. Geophys. Res. Atmos., 122, 2529– 2548 Description: The relationships between radiation, clouds, and convection on an intraseasonal time scale are examined with data taken during the Dynamics of the Mad... File Type: [PDF - 3.79 MB] File Type: [PDF - 3.79 MB] The US CLIVAR Eastern Tropical Oceans Synthesis Working Group Cite CITE Title : The US CLIVAR Eastern Tropical Oceans Synthesis Working Group Personal Author(s) : Zuidema, Paquita;Chang, Ping;Medeiros, Brian;Kirtman, Ben P.;Mechoso, Roberto;Schneider, Edwin K.;Toniazzo, Thomas;Richter, Ingo;Small, R. Justin;Bellomo, Katinka;Brandt, Peter;de Szoeke, Simon;Farrar, J. Thomas;Jung, Eunsil;Kato, Seiji;Li, Mingkui;Patricola, Christina;Wang, Zaiyu;Wood, Robert;Xu, Zhao; Corporate Authors(s) : United States. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. Office of Oceanic and Atmospheric Research;Modeling, Analysis, Predictions, and Projections Program (U.S.); Published Date : 2017 Source : Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 97(12), 2305-2328. DOI : https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-15-00274.1 Journal Title : Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society File Format: Copy Export RIS [PDF - 7.62 MB] Personal Author: Zuidema, Paquita ; Chang, Ping ... 2017 | Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 97(12), 2305-2328. Description: Well-known problems trouble coupled general circulation models of the eastern Atlantic and Pacific Ocean basins. Model climates are significantly more... File Type: [PDF - 7.62 MB] File Type: [PDF - 7.62 MB] Importance of Resolving Kuroshio Front and Eddy Influence in Simulating the North Pacific Storm Track Cite CITE Title : Importance of Resolving Kuroshio Front and Eddy Influence in Simulating the North Pacific Storm Track Personal Author(s) : Ma, Xiaohui;Chang, Ping;Saravanan, R.;Montuoro, Raffaele;Nakamura, Hisashi;Wu, Dexing;Lin, Xiaopei;Wu, Lixin; Corporate Authors(s) : United States. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. Office of Oceanic and Atmospheric Research;Modeling, Analysis, Predictions, and Projections Program (U.S.); Published Date : 2017 Source : Journal of Climate, 30(5), 1861-1880. DOI : https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0154.1 Journal Title : Journal of Climate File Format: Copy Export RIS [PDF - 3.56 MB] Personal Author: Ma, Xiaohui ; Chang, Ping ... 2017 | Journal of Climate, 30(5), 1861-1880. Description: Local and remote atmospheric responses to mesoscale SST anomalies associated with the oceanic front and eddies in the Kuroshio Extension region (KER) ... File Type: [PDF - 3.56 MB] File Type: [PDF - 3.56 MB] An Assessment of the Role of Anthropogenic Climate Change in the Alaska Fire Season of 2015 Cite CITE Title : An Assessment of the Role of Anthropogenic Climate Change in the Alaska Fire Season of 2015 Personal Author(s) : Partain, James L.;Alden, Sharon;Strader, Heidi;Bhatt, Uma S.;Bieniek, Peter A.;Brettschneider, Brian R.;Walsh, John E.;Lader, Rick T.;Olsson, Peter Q.;Rupp, T. Scott;Thoman, Richard L.;York, Alison D.;Ziel, Robert H.; Published Date : 2016 Source : Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 97(12), S14-S18 DOI : https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-16-0149.1 Journal Title : Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society File Format: Copy Export RIS [PDF - 1.07 MB] Personal Author: Partain, James L. ; Alden, Sharon ... 2016 | Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 97(12), S14-S18 Description: The 2015 Alaska fire season burned 5.1million acres, the second largest burned area since1940, exceeded only by the 2004 Alaska fire seasonwhen 6.2 mi... File Type: [PDF - 1.07 MB] File Type: [PDF - 1.07 MB] Observing and Predicting the 2015-16 El Nino Cite CITE Title : Observing and Predicting the 2015-16 El Nino Personal Author(s) : L’Heureux, Michelle L.;Takahashi, Ken;Watkins, Andrew B.;Barnston, Anthony G.;Becker, Emily J.;Di Liberto, Tom E.;Gamble, Felicity;Gottschalck, Jon;Halpert, Michael S.;Huang, Boyin;Mosquera-Vásquez, Kobi;Wittenberg, Andrew T.; Corporate Authors(s) : United States. National Weather Service.;National Centers for Environmental Prediction (U.S.);Climate Prediction Center (U.S.);United States. National Environmental Satellite, Data, and Information Service.;National Centers for Environmental Information (U.S.);United States. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. Office of Oceanic and Atmospheric Research;Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory (U.S.);Modeling, Analysis, Predictions, and Projections Program (U.S.); Published Date : 2016 Source : Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 98(7), 1363-1382. DOI : https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-16-0009.1 Journal Title : Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society File Format: Copy Export RIS [PDF - 11.71 MB] Personal Author: L’Heureux, Michelle L. ; Takahashi, Ken ... 2016 | Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 98(7), 1363-1382. Description: The El Niño of 2015/16 was among the strongest El Niño events observed since 1950 and took place almost two decades after the previous major event i... File Type: [PDF - 11.71 MB] File Type: [PDF - 11.71 MB] Improved ENSO forecasting using Bayesian updating and the North American Multi Model Ensemble (NMME) Cite CITE Title : Improved ENSO forecasting using Bayesian updating and the North American Multi Model Ensemble (NMME) Personal Author(s) : Zhang, Wei;Villarini, Gabriele;Slater, Louise;Vecchi, Gabriel A.;Bradley, A. Allen; Corporate Authors(s) : United States. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. Office of Oceanic and Atmospheric Research;Modeling, Analysis, Predictions, and Projections Program (U.S.);United States. National Weather Service.;National Centers for Environmental Prediction (U.S.); Published Date : 2017 Source : Journal of Climate, 30(22), 9007-9025 DOI : https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-17-0073.1 Journal Title : Journal of Climate File Format: Copy Export RIS [PDF - 3.72 MB] Personal Author: Zhang, Wei ; Villarini, Gabriele ... 2017 | Journal of Climate, 30(22), 9007-9025 Description: This study assesses the forecast skill of eight North American Multimodel Ensemble (NMME) models in predicting Niño-3/-3.4 indices and improves their... File Type: [PDF - 3.72 MB] File Type: [PDF - 3.72 MB] Full Access On the Role of Tropical Ocean Forcing of the Persistent North American West Coast Ridge of Winter 2013/14a Cite CITE Title : Full Access On the Role of Tropical Ocean Forcing of the Persistent North American West Coast Ridge of Winter 2013/14a Personal Author(s) : Seager, Richard;Henderson, Naomi; Corporate Authors(s) : United States. National Weather Service;National Centers for Environmental Prediction (U.S.); Published Date : 2016 Source : Journal of Climate, 29(22), 8027-8049. DOI : https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0145.1 Journal Title : Journal of Climate File Format: Copy Export RIS [PDF - 15.46 MB] Personal Author: Seager, Richard ; Henderson, Naomi 2016 | Journal of Climate, 29(22), 8027-8049. Description: The causes of the high pressure ridge at the North American west coast during winter 2013/14, the driest winter of the recent California drought, are ... File Type: [PDF - 15.46 MB] File Type: [PDF - 15.46 MB] Simulations of MJO Propagation across the Maritime Continent: Impacts of SST Feedback Cite CITE Title : Simulations of MJO Propagation across the Maritime Continent: Impacts of SST Feedback Personal Author(s) : Zhu, Jieshun;Wang, Wanqiu;Kumar, Arun; Corporate Authors(s) : United States. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. Office of Oceanic and Atmospheric Research;Modeling, Analysis, Predictions, and Projections Program (U.S.);United States. National Weather Service.;National Centers for Environmental Prediction (U.S.); Published Date : 2017 Source : Journal of Climate, 30(5), 1689-1704. DOI : https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0367.1 Journal Title : Journal of Climate File Format: Copy Export RIS [PDF - 3.29 MB] Personal Author: Zhu, Jieshun ; Wang, Wanqiu ... 2017 | Journal of Climate, 30(5), 1689-1704. Description: The observed Madden–Julian oscillation (MJO) tends to propagate eastward across the Maritime Continent from the eastern equatorial Indian Ocean to t... File Type: [PDF - 3.29 MB] File Type: [PDF - 3.29 MB] Linking the Tropical Northern Hemisphere Pattern to the Pacific Warm Blob and Atlantic Cold Blob Cite CITE Title : Linking the Tropical Northern Hemisphere Pattern to the Pacific Warm Blob and Atlantic Cold Blob Personal Author(s) : Liang, Yu-Chiao;Yu, Jin-Yi;Saltzman, Eric S.;Wang, Fan; Corporate Authors(s) : United States. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. Office of Oceanic and Atmospheric Research;Earth System Research Laboratory (U.S.);Physical Sciences Laboratory (U.S.);Modeling, Analysis, Predictions, and Projections Program (U.S.);United States. National Weather Service.;Climate Prediction Center (U.S.); Published Date : 2017 Source : Journal of Climate, 30(22), 9041-9057. DOI : https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-17-0149.1 Journal Title : Journal of Climate File Format: Copy Export RIS [PDF - 7.06 MB] Personal Author: Liang, Yu-Chiao ; Yu, Jin-Yi ... 2017 | Journal of Climate, 30(22), 9041-9057. Description: During 2013–15, prolonged near-surface warming in the northeastern Pacific was observed and has been referred to as the Pacific warm blob. Here, sta... File Type: [PDF - 7.06 MB] File Type: [PDF - 7.06 MB] The Global Ocean Water Cycle in Atmospheric Reanalysis, Satellite, and Ocean Salinity Cite CITE Title : The Global Ocean Water Cycle in Atmospheric Reanalysis, Satellite, and Ocean Salinity Personal Author(s) : Yu, Lisan;Jin, Xiangze;Josey, Simon A.;Lee, Tong;Kumar, Arun;Wen, Caihong;Xue, Yan; Corporate Authors(s) : United States. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. Office of Oceanic and Atmospheric Research;Earth System Research Laboratory (U.S.);Physical Sciences Laboratory (U.S.);Modeling, Analysis, Predictions, and Projections Program (U.S.);United States. National Weather Service.;National Centers for Environmental Prediction (U.S.); Published Date : 2017 Source : Journal of Climate, 30(10), 3829-3852. DOI : https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0479.1 Journal Title : Journal of Climate File Format: Copy Export RIS [PDF - 3.82 MB] Personal Author: Yu, Lisan ; Jin, Xiangze ... 2017 | Journal of Climate, 30(10), 3829-3852. Description: This study provides an assessment of the uncertainty in ocean surface (OS) freshwater budgets and variability using evaporation E and precipitation P ... File Type: [PDF - 3.82 MB] File Type: [PDF - 3.82 MB] Characteristics and Impacts of the Extratropical Rossby Wave Breaking during the Atlantic Hurricane Season Cite CITE Title : Characteristics and Impacts of the Extratropical Rossby Wave Breaking during the Atlantic Hurricane Season Personal Author(s) : Zhang, Gan;Wang, Zhuo;Peng, Melinda S.;Magnusdottir, Gudrun; Corporate Authors(s) : United States. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. Office of Oceanic and Atmospheric Research;Modeling, Analysis, Predictions, and Projections Program (U.S.); Published Date : 2017 Source : Journal of Climate, 30(7), 2363-2379. DOI : https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0425.1 Journal Title : Journal of Climate File Format: Copy Export RIS [PDF - 4.12 MB] Personal Author: Zhang, Gan ; Wang, Zhuo ... 2017 | Journal of Climate, 30(7), 2363-2379. Description: This study investigates the characteristics of extratropical Rossby wave breaking (RWB) during the Atlantic hurricane season and its impacts on Atlant... File Type: [PDF - 4.12 MB] File Type: [PDF - 4.12 MB] Predicting U.S. Drought Monitor States Using Precipitation, Soil Moisture, and Evapotranspiration Anomalies. Part I: Development of a Nondiscrete USDM Index Cite CITE Title : Predicting U.S. Drought Monitor States Using Precipitation, Soil Moisture, and Evapotranspiration Anomalies. Part I: Development of a Nondiscrete USDM Index Personal Author(s) : Lorenz, David J.;Otkin, Jason A.;Svoboda, Mark;Hain, Christopher R.;Anderson, Martha C.;Zhong, Yafang; Published Date : 2017 Source : Journal of Hydrometeorology, 18(7), 1943-1962 DOI : https://doi.org/10.1175/JHM-D-16-0066.1 Journal Title : Journal of Hydrometeorology File Format: Copy Export RIS [PDF - 13.83 MB] Personal Author: Lorenz, David J. ; Otkin, Jason A. ... 2017 | Journal of Hydrometeorology, 18(7), 1943-1962 Description: The U.S. Drought Monitor (USDM) classifies drought into five discrete dryness/drought categories based on expert synthesis of numerous data sources. I... File Type: [PDF - 13.83 MB] File Type: [PDF - 13.83 MB] The Relationship between Boundary Layer Stability and Cloud Cover in the Post-Cold-Frontal Region Cite CITE Title : The Relationship between Boundary Layer Stability and Cloud Cover in the Post-Cold-Frontal Region Personal Author(s) : Naud, Catherine M.;Booth, James F.;Del Genio, Anthony D.; Published Date : 2016 Source : Journal of Climate, 29(22), 8129-8149 DOI : https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0700.1 Journal Title : Journal of Climate File Format: Copy Export RIS [PDF - 1.93 MB] Personal Author: Naud, Catherine M. ; Booth, James F. ... 2016 | Journal of Climate, 29(22), 8129-8149 Description: Using NASA Aqua MODIS and AIRS data, the relationship between low-level cloud cover (cloud top below the 700-hPa level) and boundary layer stability i... File Type: [PDF - 1.93 MB] File Type: [PDF - 1.93 MB] CGCM and AGCM Seasonal Climate Predictions -- A study in CCSM4 Cite CITE Title : CGCM and AGCM Seasonal Climate Predictions -- A study in CCSM4 Personal Author(s) : Infanti, Johnna M.;Kirtman, Ben P.; Published Date : 2017 Source : J. Geophys. Res. Atmos., 122, 7416– 7432 DOI : https://doi.org/10.1002/2016JD026391 Journal Title : Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres File Format: Copy Export RIS [PDF - 2.75 MB] Personal Author: Infanti, Johnna M. ; Kirtman, Ben P. 2017 | J. Geophys. Res. Atmos., 122, 7416– 7432 Description: Seasonal climate predictions are formulated from known present conditions and simulate the near‐term climate for approximately a year in the future.... File Type: [PDF - 2.75 MB] File Type: [PDF - 2.75 MB] Predicting the U.S. Drought Monitor Using Precipitation, Soil Moisture, and Evapotranspiration Anomalies. Part II: Intraseasonal Drought Intensification Forecasts Cite CITE Title : Predicting the U.S. Drought Monitor Using Precipitation, Soil Moisture, and Evapotranspiration Anomalies. Part II: Intraseasonal Drought Intensification Forecasts Personal Author(s) : Lorenz, David J.;Otkin, Jason A.;Svoboda, Mark;Hain, Christopher R.;Anderson, Martha C.;Zhong, Yafang; Published Date : 2017 Source : Journal of Hydrometeorology, 18(7), 1963-1982 DOI : https://doi.org/10.1175/JHM-D-16-0067.1 Journal Title : Journal of Hydrometeorology File Format: Copy Export RIS [PDF - 19.53 MB] Personal Author: Lorenz, David J. ; Otkin, Jason A. ... 2017 | Journal of Hydrometeorology, 18(7), 1963-1982 Description: Probabilistic forecasts of U.S. Drought Monitor (USDM) intensification over 2-, 4-, and 8-week time periods are developed based on recent anomalies in... File Type: [PDF - 19.53 MB] File Type: [PDF - 19.53 MB] Relation of Eurasian snow cover and Indian summer monsoon rainfall: Importance of the delayed hydrological effect Cite CITE Title : Relation of Eurasian snow cover and Indian summer monsoon rainfall: Importance of the delayed hydrological effect Personal Author(s) : Halder, Subhadeep;Dirmeyer, Paul A.; Published Date : 2016 Source : Journal of Climate, 30(4), 1273-1289 DOI : https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0033.1 Journal Title : Journal of Climate File Format: Copy Export RIS [PDF - 3.80 MB] Personal Author: Halder, Subhadeep ; Dirmeyer, Paul A. 2016 | Journal of Climate, 30(4), 1273-1289 Description: This observationally based study demonstrates the importance of the delayed hydrological response of snow cover and snowmelt over the Eurasian region ... File Type: [PDF - 3.80 MB] File Type: [PDF - 3.80 MB] Detectable anthropogenic shift toward heavy precipitation over eastern China Cite CITE Title : Detectable anthropogenic shift toward heavy precipitation over eastern China Personal Author(s) : Ma, Shuangmei;Zhou, Tianjun;Stone, Dáithí A.;Polson, Debbie;Dai, Aiguo;Stott, Peter A.;von Storch, Hans;Qian, Yun;Burke, Claire;Wu, Peili;Zou, Liwei;Ciavarella, Andrew; Published Date : 2016 Source : Journal of Climate, 30(4), 1381-1396 DOI : https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0311.1 Journal Title : Journal of Climate File Format: Copy Export RIS [PDF - 5.12 MB] Personal Author: Ma, Shuangmei ; Zhou, Tianjun ... 2016 | Journal of Climate, 30(4), 1381-1396 Description: Changes in precipitation characteristics directly affect society through their impacts on drought and floods, hydro-dams, and urban drainage systems. ... File Type: [PDF - 5.12 MB] File Type: [PDF - 5.12 MB] Predictability of week 3-4 average temperature and precipitation over the contiguous United States Cite CITE Title : Predictability of week 3-4 average temperature and precipitation over the contiguous United States Personal Author(s) : DelSole, Timothy;Trenary, Laurie;Tippett, Michael K.;Pegion, Kathleen; Corporate Authors(s) : United States. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. Office of Oceanic and Atmospheric Research;Modeling, Analysis, Predictions, and Projections Program (U.S.); Published Date : 2017 Source : Journal of Climate, 30(10), 3499-3512. DOI : https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0567.1 Journal Title : Journal of Climate File Format: Copy Export RIS [PDF - 1.22 MB] Personal Author: DelSole, Timothy ; Trenary, Laurie ... 2017 | Journal of Climate, 30(10), 3499-3512. Description: This paper demonstrates that an operational forecast model can skillfully predict week-3–4 averages of temperature and precipitation over the contig... File Type: [PDF - 1.22 MB] File Type: [PDF - 1.22 MB]

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