• Distributions of tropical precipitation cluster power and their changes under global warming. Part I: observational baseline and comparison to a high-resolution atmospheric model Cite CITE Title : Distributions of tropical precipitation cluster power and their changes under global warming. Part I: observational baseline and comparison to a high-resolution atmospheric model Personal Author(s) : Quinn, Kevin M.;Neelin, J. David; Corporate Authors(s) : United States. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. Office of Oceanic and Atmospheric Research;Earth System Research Laboratory (U.S.);Physical Sciences Laboratory (U.S.);Modeling, Analysis, Predictions, and Projections Program (U.S.); Published Date : 2017 Source : Journal of Climate, 30(20), 8045-8059. DOI : https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0683.1 Journal Title : Journal of Climate File Format: Copy Export RIS [PDF - 2.24 MB] Personal Author: Quinn, Kevin M. ; Neelin, J. David ; 2017 | Journal of Climate, 30(20), 8045-8059. Description: Distributions of precipitation cluster power (latent heat release rate integrated over contiguous precipitating pixels) are examined in 1°–2°-reso... File Type: [PDF - 2.24 MB] File Type: [PDF - 2.24 MB] Historical and Projected Eastern Pacific and Intra-Americas Sea TD-Wave Activity in a Selection of IPCC AR5 Models Cite CITE Title : Historical and Projected Eastern Pacific and Intra-Americas Sea TD-Wave Activity in a Selection of IPCC AR5 Models Personal Author(s) : Serra, Yolande L.;Geil, Kerrie; Corporate Authors(s) : United States. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. Office of Oceanic and Atmospheric Research;Modeling, Analysis, Predictions, and Projections Program (U.S.);University of Washington. Joint Institute for the Study of the Atmosphere and Ocean; Published Date : 2016 Source : Journal of Climate, 30(7), 2269-2294 DOI : https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0453.1 Journal Title : Journal of Climate File Format: Copy Export RIS [PDF - 6.08 MB] Personal Author: Serra, Yolande L. ; Geil, Kerrie ; 2016 | Journal of Climate, 30(7), 2269-2294 Description: The tracks of westward-propagating synoptic disturbances across the Intra-Americas Sea (IAS) and far-eastern Pacific, known as easterly waves or tropi... File Type: [PDF - 6.08 MB] File Type: [PDF - 6.08 MB] CGCM and AGCM Seasonal Climate Predictions -- A study in CCSM4 Cite CITE Title : CGCM and AGCM Seasonal Climate Predictions -- A study in CCSM4 Personal Author(s) : Infanti, Johnna;Kirtman, Ben; Published Date : 2017 Source : J. Geophys. Res. Atmos., 122, 7416– 7432 DOI : https://doi.org/10.1002/2016JD026391 Journal Title : Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres File Format: Copy Export RIS [PDF - 2.75 MB] Personal Author: Infanti, Johnna ; Kirtman, Ben ; 2017 | J. Geophys. Res. Atmos., 122, 7416– 7432 Description: Seasonal climate predictions are formulated from known present conditions and simulate the near‐term climate for approximately a year in the future.... File Type: [PDF - 2.75 MB] File Type: [PDF - 2.75 MB] The Relationship between Boundary Layer Stability and Cloud Cover in the Post-Cold-Frontal Region Cite CITE Title : The Relationship between Boundary Layer Stability and Cloud Cover in the Post-Cold-Frontal Region Personal Author(s) : Naud, C. M.;Booth, J. F.;Del Genio, A. D.; Published Date : 2016 Source : Journal of Climate, 29(22), 8129-8149 DOI : https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0700.1 Journal Title : Journal of Climate File Format: Copy Export RIS [PDF - 1.93 MB] Personal Author: Naud, C. M. ; Booth, J. F. ; ... 2016 | Journal of Climate, 29(22), 8129-8149 Description: Using NASA Aqua MODIS and AIRS data, the relationship between low-level cloud cover (cloud top below the 700-hPa level) and boundary layer stability i... File Type: [PDF - 1.93 MB] File Type: [PDF - 1.93 MB] Predicting the U.S. Drought Monitor Using Precipitation, Soil Moisture, and Evapotranspiration Anomalies. Part II: Intraseasonal Drought Intensification Forecasts Cite CITE Title : Predicting the U.S. Drought Monitor Using Precipitation, Soil Moisture, and Evapotranspiration Anomalies. Part II: Intraseasonal Drought Intensification Forecasts Personal Author(s) : Lorenz, D. J.;Otkin, J. A.;Svoboda, M.;Hain, C. R.;Anderson, M. C.;Zhong, Y.; Published Date : 2017 Source : Journal of Hydrometeorology, 18(7), 1963-1982 DOI : https://doi.org/10.1175/JHM-D-16-0067.1 Journal Title : Journal of Hydrometeorology File Format: Copy Export RIS [PDF - 19.53 MB] Personal Author: Lorenz, D. J. ; Otkin, J. A. ; ... 2017 | Journal of Hydrometeorology, 18(7), 1963-1982 Description: Probabilistic forecasts of U.S. Drought Monitor (USDM) intensification over 2-, 4-, and 8-week time periods are developed based on recent anomalies in... File Type: [PDF - 19.53 MB] File Type: [PDF - 19.53 MB] Predicting U.S. Drought Monitor States Using Precipitation, Soil Moisture, and Evapotranspiration Anomalies. Part I: Development of a Nondiscrete USDM Index Cite CITE Title : Predicting U.S. Drought Monitor States Using Precipitation, Soil Moisture, and Evapotranspiration Anomalies. Part I: Development of a Nondiscrete USDM Index Personal Author(s) : Lorenz, D. J.;Otkin, J. A.;Svoboda, M.;Hain, C. R.;Anderson, M. C.;Zhong, Y.; Published Date : 2017 Source : Journal of Hydrometeorology, 18(7), 1943-1962 DOI : https://doi.org/10.1175/JHM-D-16-0066.1 Journal Title : Journal of Hydrometeorology File Format: Copy Export RIS [PDF - 13.83 MB] Personal Author: Lorenz, D. J. ; Otkin, J. A. ; ... 2017 | Journal of Hydrometeorology, 18(7), 1943-1962 Description: The U.S. Drought Monitor (USDM) classifies drought into five discrete dryness/drought categories based on expert synthesis of numerous data sources. I... File Type: [PDF - 13.83 MB] File Type: [PDF - 13.83 MB] The US CLIVAR Eastern Tropical Oceans Synthesis Working Group Cite CITE Title : The US CLIVAR Eastern Tropical Oceans Synthesis Working Group Personal Author(s) : Zuidema, Paquita;et al.; Corporate Authors(s) : United States. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. Office of Oceanic and Atmospheric Research;Modeling, Analysis, Predictions, and Projections Program (U.S.); Published Date : 2017 Source : Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 97(12), 2305-2328. DOI : https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-15-00274.1 Journal Title : Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society File Format: Copy Export RIS [PDF - 7.62 MB] Personal Author: Zuidema, Paquita ; et al. ; 2017 | Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 97(12), 2305-2328. Description: Well-known problems trouble coupled general circulation models of the eastern Atlantic and Pacific Ocean basins. Model climates are significantly more... File Type: [PDF - 7.62 MB] File Type: [PDF - 7.62 MB] Importance of Resolving Kuroshio Front and Eddy Influence in Simulating the North Pacific Storm Track Cite CITE Title : Importance of Resolving Kuroshio Front and Eddy Influence in Simulating the North Pacific Storm Track Personal Author(s) : Ma, X.;Chang, P.;Saravanan, R.;Montuoro, R.;Nakamura, H.;Wu, D.;Lin, X.;Wu, L.; Corporate Authors(s) : United States. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. Office of Oceanic and Atmospheric Research;Modeling, Analysis, Predictions, and Projections Program (U.S.); Published Date : 2017 Source : Journal of Climate, 30(5), 1861-1880. DOI : https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0154.1 Journal Title : Journal of Climate File Format: Copy Export RIS [PDF - 3.56 MB] Personal Author: Ma, X. ; Chang, P. ; ... 2017 | Journal of Climate, 30(5), 1861-1880. Description: Local and remote atmospheric responses to mesoscale SST anomalies associated with the oceanic front and eddies in the Kuroshio Extension region (KER) ... File Type: [PDF - 3.56 MB] File Type: [PDF - 3.56 MB] Madden-Julian Oscillation Pacific teleconnections: the impact of the basic state and MJO representation in General Circulation Models Cite CITE Title : Madden-Julian Oscillation Pacific teleconnections: the impact of the basic state and MJO representation in General Circulation Models Personal Author(s) : Henderson, Stephanie;Maloney, Eric;Son, Seok-Woo; Corporate Authors(s) : United States. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. Office of Oceanic and Atmospheric Research;Modeling, Analysis, Predictions, and Projections Program (U.S.); Published Date : 2017 Source : Journal of Climate, 30(12), 4567-4587. DOI : https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0789.1 Journal Title : Journal of Climate File Format: Copy Export RIS [PDF - 4.50 MB] Personal Author: Henderson, Stephanie ; Maloney, Eric ; ... 2017 | Journal of Climate, 30(12), 4567-4587. Description: Teleconnection patterns associated with the Madden–Julian oscillation (MJO) significantly alter extratropical circulations, impacting weather and cl... File Type: [PDF - 4.50 MB] File Type: [PDF - 4.50 MB] Do statistical pattern corrections improve seasonal climate predictions in the North American Multi-model Ensemble models? Cite CITE Title : Do statistical pattern corrections improve seasonal climate predictions in the North American Multi-model Ensemble models? Personal Author(s) : Barnston, Anthony G.;Tippett, Michael K.; Corporate Authors(s) : United States. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. Office of Oceanic and Atmospheric Research;Modeling, Analysis, Predictions, and Projections Program (U.S.); Published Date : 2017 Source : Journal of Climate, 30(20), 8335-8355. DOI : https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-17-0054.1 Journal Title : Journal of Climate File Format: Copy Export RIS [PDF - 4.34 MB] Personal Author: Barnston, Anthony G. ; Tippett, Michael K. ; 2017 | Journal of Climate, 30(20), 8335-8355. Description: Canonical correlation analysis (CCA)-based statistical corrections are applied to seasonal mean precipitation and temperature hindcasts of the individ... File Type: [PDF - 4.34 MB] File Type: [PDF - 4.34 MB] Spatial patterns and intensity of the surface storm tracks in CMIP5 models Cite CITE Title : Spatial patterns and intensity of the surface storm tracks in CMIP5 models Personal Author(s) : Booth, James;Kwon, Young-OH;Ko, Stanley;Small, R. Justin;Msadek, Rym; Corporate Authors(s) : United States. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. Office of Oceanic and Atmospheric Research;Modeling, Analysis, Predictions, and Projections Program (U.S.); Published Date : 2017 Source : ournal of Climate, 30(13), 4965-4981. DOI : https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0228.1 Journal Title : Journal of Climate File Format: Copy Export RIS [PDF - 2.70 MB] Personal Author: Booth, James ; Kwon, Young-OH ; ... 2017 | ournal of Climate, 30(13), 4965-4981. Description: To improve the understanding of storm tracks and western boundary current (WBC) interactions, surface storm tracks in 12 CMIP5 models are examined aga... File Type: [PDF - 2.70 MB] File Type: [PDF - 2.70 MB] Statistical Seasonal Prediction Based on Regularized Regression Cite CITE Title : Statistical Seasonal Prediction Based on Regularized Regression Personal Author(s) : DelSole, Timothy;Banerjee, Arindam; Corporate Authors(s) : United States. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. Office of Oceanic and Atmospheric Research;Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory (U.S.);Pacific Marine Environmental Laboratory (U.S.); Published Date : 2016 Source : Journal of Climate, 30(4), 1345-1361. DOI : https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0249.1 Journal Title : Journal of Climate File Format: Copy Export RIS [PDF - 1.99 MB] Personal Author: DelSole, Timothy ; Banerjee, Arindam ; 2016 | Journal of Climate, 30(4), 1345-1361. Description: This paper proposes a regularized regression procedure for finding a predictive relation between one variable and a field of other variables. The proc... File Type: [PDF - 1.99 MB] File Type: [PDF - 1.99 MB] Relationships between radiation, clouds, and convection during DYNAMO Cite CITE Title : Relationships between radiation, clouds, and convection during DYNAMO Personal Author(s) : Ciesielski, P. E.;Johnson, R. H.;Jiang, X.;Zhang, Y.;Xie, S.; Published Date : 2017 Source : J. Geophys. Res. Atmos., 122, 2529– 2548 DOI : https://doi.org/10.1002/2016JD025965 Journal Title : Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres File Format: Copy Export RIS [PDF - 3.79 MB] Personal Author: Ciesielski, P. E. ; Johnson, R. H. ; ... 2017 | J. Geophys. Res. Atmos., 122, 2529– 2548 Description: The relationships between radiation, clouds, and convection on an intraseasonal time scale are examined with data taken during the Dynamics of the Mad... File Type: [PDF - 3.79 MB] File Type: [PDF - 3.79 MB] Formation mechanisms of Pacific/North American teleconnection with and without its canonical tropical convection pattern Cite CITE Title : Formation mechanisms of Pacific/North American teleconnection with and without its canonical tropical convection pattern Personal Author(s) : Dai, Ying;Feldstein, Steven B.;Tan, Benkui;Lee, Sukyoung; Corporate Authors(s) : United States. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. Office of Oceanic and Atmospheric Research;Earth System Research Laboratory (U.S.);Physical Sciences Laboratory (U.S.);Modeling, Analysis, Predictions, and Projections Program (U.S.); Published Date : 2017 Source : Journal of Climate, 30(9), 3139-3155. DOI : https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0411.1 Journal Title : Journal of Climate File Format: Copy Export RIS [PDF - 29.00 MB] Personal Author: Dai, Ying ; Feldstein, Steven B. ; ... 2017 | Journal of Climate, 30(9), 3139-3155. Description: The mechanisms that drive the Pacific–North American (PNA) teleconnection pattern with and without its canonical tropical convection pattern are inv... File Type: [PDF - 29.00 MB] File Type: [PDF - 29.00 MB] Precipitation budget of the Madden-Julian Oscillation Cite CITE Title : Precipitation budget of the Madden-Julian Oscillation Personal Author(s) : Adames, Angel Corporate Authors(s) : United States. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. Office of Oceanic and Atmospheric Research;Modeling, Analysis, Predictions, and Projections Program (U.S.); Published Date : 2017 Source : Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 74(6), 1799-1817. DOI : https://doi.org/10.1175/JAS-D-16-0242.1 Journal Title : Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences File Format: Copy Export RIS [PDF - 4.32 MB] Personal Author: Adames, Angel 2017 | Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 74(6), 1799-1817. Description: Column moisture and moist static energy (MSE) budgets have become common tools in the study of the processes responsible for the maintenance and evolu... File Type: [PDF - 4.32 MB] File Type: [PDF - 4.32 MB] An investigation of microphysics and sub-grid scale variability in warm rain clouds using the A-train observations and a multi-scale modeling framework Cite CITE Title : An investigation of microphysics and sub-grid scale variability in warm rain clouds using the A-train observations and a multi-scale modeling framework Personal Author(s) : Takahashi, Hanii;Lebsock, Matthew;Suzuki, Kentaroh;Stephens, Graeme;Wang, Minghuai; Published Date : 2017 Source : J. Geophys. Res. Atmos., 122, 7493– 7504 DOI : https://doi.org/10.1002/2016JD026404 Journal Title : Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres File Format: Copy Export RIS [PDF - 7.05 MB] Personal Author: Takahashi, Hanii ; Lebsock, Matthew ; ... 2017 | J. Geophys. Res. Atmos., 122, 7493– 7504 Description: A common problem in climate models is that they are likely to produce rain at a faster rate than is observed and therefore produce too much light rain... File Type: [PDF - 7.05 MB] File Type: [PDF - 7.05 MB] The Northern Hemisphere extra-tropical atmospheric circulation response to ENSO: How well do we know it and how do we evaluate models accordingly? Cite CITE Title : The Northern Hemisphere extra-tropical atmospheric circulation response to ENSO: How well do we know it and how do we evaluate models accordingly? Personal Author(s) : Deser, Clara;Simpson, Isla;McKinnon, Karen;Phillips, Adam; Published Date : 2017 Source : Journal of Climate, 30(13), 5059-5082 DOI : https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0844.1 Journal Title : Journal of Climate File Format: Copy Export RIS [PDF - 42.21 MB] Personal Author: Deser, Clara ; Simpson, Isla ; ... 2017 | Journal of Climate, 30(13), 5059-5082 Description: Application of random sampling techniques to composite differences between 18 El Niño and 14 La Niña events observed since 1920 reveals considerable... File Type: [PDF - 42.21 MB] File Type: [PDF - 42.21 MB] Application of the Land–Atmosphere Coupling Paradigm to the Operational Coupled Forecast System, Version 2 (CFSv2) Cite CITE Title : Application of the Land–Atmosphere Coupling Paradigm to the Operational Coupled Forecast System, Version 2 (CFSv2) Personal Author(s) : Dirmeyer, P. A.;Halder, S.; Corporate Authors(s) : United States. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. Office of Oceanic and Atmospheric Research;Modeling, Analysis, Predictions, and Projections Program (U.S.); Published Date : 2016 Source : Journal of Hydrometeorology, 18(1), 85-108. DOI : https://doi.org/10.1175/JHM-D-16-0064.1 Journal Title : Journal of Hydrometeorology File Format: Copy Export RIS [PDF - 6.66 MB] Personal Author: Dirmeyer, P. A. ; Halder, S. ; 2016 | Journal of Hydrometeorology, 18(1), 85-108. Description: Retrospective forecasts from CFSv2 are evaluated in terms of three elements of land–atmosphere coupling at subseasonal to seasonal time scales: sens... File Type: [PDF - 6.66 MB] File Type: [PDF - 6.66 MB] Linking Atmospheric River Hydrological Impacts on the U.S. West Coast to Rossby Wave Breaking Cite CITE Title : Linking Atmospheric River Hydrological Impacts on the U.S. West Coast to Rossby Wave Breaking Personal Author(s) : Hu, H.,;Dominguez, F.;Wang, Z.;Lavers, D. A.;Ralph, F. M.;Zhang, G.; Corporate Authors(s) : United States. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. Office of Oceanic and Atmospheric Research;Modeling, Analysis, Predictions, and Projections Program (U.S.); Published Date : 2017 Source : Journal of Climate, 30(9), 3381-3399. DOI : https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0386.1 Journal Title : Journal of Climate File Format: Copy Export RIS [PDF - 5.32 MB] Personal Author: Hu, H., ; Dominguez, F. ; ... 2017 | Journal of Climate, 30(9), 3381-3399. Description: Atmospheric rivers (ARs) have significant hydrometeorological impacts on the U.S. West Coast. This study presents the connection between the character... File Type: [PDF - 5.32 MB] File Type: [PDF - 5.32 MB] Rossby wave breaking and transient eddy forcing during Euro-Atlantic circulation regimes Cite CITE Title : Rossby wave breaking and transient eddy forcing during Euro-Atlantic circulation regimes Personal Author(s) : Swenson, Erik;Straus, David; Corporate Authors(s) : United States. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. Office of Oceanic and Atmospheric Research;Modeling, Analysis, Predictions, and Projections Program (U.S.); Published Date : 2017 Source : Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 74(6), 1735-1755 DOI : https://doi.org/10.1175/JAS-D-16-0263.1 Journal Title : Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences File Format: Copy Export RIS [PDF - 8.98 MB] Personal Author: Swenson, Erik ; Straus, David ; 2017 | Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 74(6), 1735-1755 Description: The occurrence of boreal winter Rossby wave breaking (RWB) along with the quantitative role of synoptic transient eddy momentum and heat fluxes direct... File Type: [PDF - 8.98 MB] File Type: [PDF - 8.98 MB]

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