• Fundamental causes of propagating and non-propagating MJOs in MJOTF/GASS models Cite CITE Title : Fundamental causes of propagating and non-propagating MJOs in MJOTF/GASS models Personal Author(s) : Wang, Lu;Li, Tim;Maloney, Eric;Wang, Bin; Corporate Authors(s) : United States. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. Office of Oceanic and Atmospheric Research;Modeling, Analysis, Predictions, and Projections Program (U.S.);United States. National Weather Service.;National Centers for Environmental Prediction (U.S.); Published Date : 2017 Source : Journal of Climate, 30(10), 3743-3769. DOI : https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0765.1 Journal Title : Journal of Climate File Format: Copy Export RIS [PDF - 6.60 MB] Personal Author: Wang, Lu ; Li, Tim ... 2017 | Journal of Climate, 30(10), 3743-3769. Description: This study investigates the fundamental causes of differences in the Madden–Julian oscillation (MJO) eastward propagation among models that particip... File Type: [PDF - 6.60 MB] File Type: [PDF - 6.60 MB] Distributions of Tropical Precipitation Cluster Power and Their Changes Under Global Warming. Part II: long-term time-dependence in Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 models Cite CITE Title : Distributions of Tropical Precipitation Cluster Power and Their Changes Under Global Warming. Part II: long-term time-dependence in Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 models Personal Author(s) : Quinn, Kevin M.;Neelin, J. David; Corporate Authors(s) : United States. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. Office of Oceanic and Atmospheric Research;Modeling, Analysis, Predictions, and Projections Program (U.S.); Published Date : 2017 Source : Journal of Climate, 30(20), 8045-8059. DOI : https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0701.1 Journal Title : Journal of Climate File Format: Copy Export RIS [PDF - 2.24 MB] Personal Author: Quinn, Kevin M. ; Neelin, J. David 2017 | Journal of Climate, 30(20), 8045-8059. Description: Distributions of precipitation cluster power (latent heat release rate integrated over contiguous precipitating pixels) are examined in 1°–2°-reso... File Type: [PDF - 2.24 MB] File Type: [PDF - 2.24 MB] Increased Quasi-Stationarity and Persistence of Winter Ural Blocking and Eurasian Extreme Cold Events in Response to Arctic Warming. Part II: A Theoretical Explanation Cite CITE Title : Increased Quasi-Stationarity and Persistence of Winter Ural Blocking and Eurasian Extreme Cold Events in Response to Arctic Warming. Part II: A Theoretical Explanation Personal Author(s) : Luo, Dehai;Yao, Yao;Dai, Aiguo;Simmonds, Ian;Zhong, Linhao; Corporate Authors(s) : United States. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. Office of Oceanic and Atmospheric Research;Modeling, Analysis, Predictions, and Projections Program (U.S.); Published Date : 2017 Source : Journal of Climate, 30(10), 3569-3587. DOI : https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0262.1 Journal Title : Journal of Climate File Format: Copy Export RIS [PDF - 21.59 MB] Personal Author: Luo, Dehai ; Yao, Yao ... 2017 | Journal of Climate, 30(10), 3569-3587. Description: In Part I of this study, it was shown that the Eurasian cold anomalies related to Arctic warming depend strongly on the quasi stationarity and persist... File Type: [PDF - 21.59 MB] File Type: [PDF - 21.59 MB] Recent winter precipitation changes over eastern China in different warming periods and the associated east Asian jets and oceanic conditions Cite CITE Title : Recent winter precipitation changes over eastern China in different warming periods and the associated east Asian jets and oceanic conditions Personal Author(s) : Huang, Danqing;Dai, Aiguo;Zhu, Jian;Zhang, Yaocun;Kuang, Xueyuan; Corporate Authors(s) : United States. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. Office of Oceanic and Atmospheric Research;Modeling, Analysis, Predictions, and Projections Program (U.S.); Published Date : 2017 Source : Journal of Climate, 30(12), 4443-4462. DOI : https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0517.1 Journal Title : Journal of Climate File Format: Copy Export RIS [PDF - 5.02 MB] Personal Author: Huang, Danqing ; Dai, Aiguo ... 2017 | Journal of Climate, 30(12), 4443-4462. Description: Global-mean surface temperature has experienced fast warming during 1985–98 but stabilized during 1999–2013, especially in boreal winter. Climate ... File Type: [PDF - 5.02 MB] File Type: [PDF - 5.02 MB] Understanding variations of the length and the seasonal rainfall anomalies of the Indian Summer Monsoon Cite CITE Title : Understanding variations of the length and the seasonal rainfall anomalies of the Indian Summer Monsoon Personal Author(s) : Misra, Vasubandhu;Bhardwaj, Amit;Noska, Ryne; Published Date : 2016 Source : Journal of Climate, 30(5), 1753-1763 DOI : https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0501.1 Journal Title : Journal of Climate File Format: Copy Export RIS [PDF - 12.95 MB] Personal Author: Misra, Vasubandhu ; Bhardwaj, Amit ... 2016 | Journal of Climate, 30(5), 1753-1763 Description: The canonical relationship between the length and the total seasonal rainfall anomalies of the Indian summer monsoon (ISM) is the association of the l... File Type: [PDF - 12.95 MB] File Type: [PDF - 12.95 MB] Statistical Seasonal Prediction Based on Regularized Regression Cite CITE Title : Statistical Seasonal Prediction Based on Regularized Regression Personal Author(s) : DelSole, Timothy;Banerjee, Arindam; Corporate Authors(s) : United States. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. Office of Oceanic and Atmospheric Research;Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory (U.S.);Pacific Marine Environmental Laboratory (U.S.); Published Date : 2016 Source : Journal of Climate, 30(4), 1345-1361. DOI : https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0249.1 Journal Title : Journal of Climate File Format: Copy Export RIS [PDF - 1.99 MB] Personal Author: DelSole, Timothy ; Banerjee, Arindam 2016 | Journal of Climate, 30(4), 1345-1361. Description: This paper proposes a regularized regression procedure for finding a predictive relation between one variable and a field of other variables. The proc... File Type: [PDF - 1.99 MB] File Type: [PDF - 1.99 MB] Formation mechanisms of Pacific/North American teleconnection with and without its canonical tropical convection pattern Cite CITE Title : Formation mechanisms of Pacific/North American teleconnection with and without its canonical tropical convection pattern Personal Author(s) : Dai, Ying;Feldstein, Steven B.;Tan, Benkui;Lee, Sukyoung; Corporate Authors(s) : United States. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. Office of Oceanic and Atmospheric Research;Earth System Research Laboratory (U.S.);Physical Sciences Laboratory (U.S.);Modeling, Analysis, Predictions, and Projections Program (U.S.); Published Date : 2017 Source : Journal of Climate, 30(9), 3139-3155. DOI : https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0411.1 Journal Title : Journal of Climate File Format: Copy Export RIS [PDF - 29.00 MB] Personal Author: Dai, Ying ; Feldstein, Steven B. ... 2017 | Journal of Climate, 30(9), 3139-3155. Description: The mechanisms that drive the Pacific–North American (PNA) teleconnection pattern with and without its canonical tropical convection pattern are inv... File Type: [PDF - 29.00 MB] File Type: [PDF - 29.00 MB] Do statistical pattern corrections improve seasonal climate predictions in the North American Multi-model Ensemble models? Cite CITE Title : Do statistical pattern corrections improve seasonal climate predictions in the North American Multi-model Ensemble models? Personal Author(s) : Barnston, Anthony G.;Tippett, Michael K.; Corporate Authors(s) : United States. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. Office of Oceanic and Atmospheric Research;Modeling, Analysis, Predictions, and Projections Program (U.S.); Published Date : 2017 Source : Journal of Climate, 30(20), 8335-8355. DOI : https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-17-0054.1 Journal Title : Journal of Climate File Format: Copy Export RIS [PDF - 4.34 MB] Personal Author: Barnston, Anthony G. ; Tippett, Michael K. 2017 | Journal of Climate, 30(20), 8335-8355. Description: Canonical correlation analysis (CCA)-based statistical corrections are applied to seasonal mean precipitation and temperature hindcasts of the individ... File Type: [PDF - 4.34 MB] File Type: [PDF - 4.34 MB] Full Access On the Role of Tropical Ocean Forcing of the Persistent North American West Coast Ridge of Winter 2013/14a Cite CITE Title : Full Access On the Role of Tropical Ocean Forcing of the Persistent North American West Coast Ridge of Winter 2013/14a Personal Author(s) : Seager, Richard;Henderson, Naomi; Corporate Authors(s) : United States. National Weather Service;National Centers for Environmental Prediction (U.S.); Published Date : 2016 Source : Journal of Climate, 29(22), 8027-8049. DOI : https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0145.1 Journal Title : Journal of Climate File Format: Copy Export RIS [PDF - 15.46 MB] Personal Author: Seager, Richard ; Henderson, Naomi 2016 | Journal of Climate, 29(22), 8027-8049. Description: The causes of the high pressure ridge at the North American west coast during winter 2013/14, the driest winter of the recent California drought, are ... File Type: [PDF - 15.46 MB] File Type: [PDF - 15.46 MB] Simulations of MJO Propagation across the Maritime Continent: Impacts of SST Feedback Cite CITE Title : Simulations of MJO Propagation across the Maritime Continent: Impacts of SST Feedback Personal Author(s) : Zhu, Jieshun;Wang, Wanqiu;Kumar, Arun; Corporate Authors(s) : United States. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. Office of Oceanic and Atmospheric Research;Modeling, Analysis, Predictions, and Projections Program (U.S.);United States. National Weather Service.;National Centers for Environmental Prediction (U.S.); Published Date : 2017 Source : Journal of Climate, 30(5), 1689-1704. DOI : https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0367.1 Journal Title : Journal of Climate File Format: Copy Export RIS [PDF - 3.29 MB] Personal Author: Zhu, Jieshun ; Wang, Wanqiu ... 2017 | Journal of Climate, 30(5), 1689-1704. Description: The observed Madden–Julian oscillation (MJO) tends to propagate eastward across the Maritime Continent from the eastern equatorial Indian Ocean to t... File Type: [PDF - 3.29 MB] File Type: [PDF - 3.29 MB] Linking the Tropical Northern Hemisphere Pattern to the Pacific Warm Blob and Atlantic Cold Blob Cite CITE Title : Linking the Tropical Northern Hemisphere Pattern to the Pacific Warm Blob and Atlantic Cold Blob Personal Author(s) : Liang, Yu-Chiao;Yu, Jin-Yi;Saltzman, Eric S.;Wang, Fan; Corporate Authors(s) : United States. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. Office of Oceanic and Atmospheric Research;Earth System Research Laboratory (U.S.);Physical Sciences Laboratory (U.S.);Modeling, Analysis, Predictions, and Projections Program (U.S.);United States. National Weather Service.;Climate Prediction Center (U.S.); Published Date : 2017 Source : Journal of Climate, 30(22), 9041-9057. DOI : https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-17-0149.1 Journal Title : Journal of Climate File Format: Copy Export RIS [PDF - 7.06 MB] Personal Author: Liang, Yu-Chiao ; Yu, Jin-Yi ... 2017 | Journal of Climate, 30(22), 9041-9057. Description: During 2013–15, prolonged near-surface warming in the northeastern Pacific was observed and has been referred to as the Pacific warm blob. Here, sta... File Type: [PDF - 7.06 MB] File Type: [PDF - 7.06 MB] The Global Ocean Water Cycle in Atmospheric Reanalysis, Satellite, and Ocean Salinity Cite CITE Title : The Global Ocean Water Cycle in Atmospheric Reanalysis, Satellite, and Ocean Salinity Personal Author(s) : Yu, Lisan;Jin, Xiangze;Josey, Simon A.;Lee, Tong;Kumar, Arun;Wen, Caihong;Xue, Yan; Corporate Authors(s) : United States. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. Office of Oceanic and Atmospheric Research;Earth System Research Laboratory (U.S.);Physical Sciences Laboratory (U.S.);Modeling, Analysis, Predictions, and Projections Program (U.S.);United States. National Weather Service.;National Centers for Environmental Prediction (U.S.); Published Date : 2017 Source : Journal of Climate, 30(10), 3829-3852. DOI : https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0479.1 Journal Title : Journal of Climate File Format: Copy Export RIS [PDF - 3.82 MB] Personal Author: Yu, Lisan ; Jin, Xiangze ... 2017 | Journal of Climate, 30(10), 3829-3852. Description: This study provides an assessment of the uncertainty in ocean surface (OS) freshwater budgets and variability using evaporation E and precipitation P ... File Type: [PDF - 3.82 MB] File Type: [PDF - 3.82 MB] Characteristics and Impacts of the Extratropical Rossby Wave Breaking during the Atlantic Hurricane Season Cite CITE Title : Characteristics and Impacts of the Extratropical Rossby Wave Breaking during the Atlantic Hurricane Season Personal Author(s) : Zhang, Gan;Wang, Zhuo;Peng, Melinda S.;Magnusdottir, Gudrun; Corporate Authors(s) : United States. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. Office of Oceanic and Atmospheric Research;Modeling, Analysis, Predictions, and Projections Program (U.S.); Published Date : 2017 Source : Journal of Climate, 30(7), 2363-2379. DOI : https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0425.1 Journal Title : Journal of Climate File Format: Copy Export RIS [PDF - 4.12 MB] Personal Author: Zhang, Gan ; Wang, Zhuo ... 2017 | Journal of Climate, 30(7), 2363-2379. Description: This study investigates the characteristics of extratropical Rossby wave breaking (RWB) during the Atlantic hurricane season and its impacts on Atlant... File Type: [PDF - 4.12 MB] File Type: [PDF - 4.12 MB] Predicting U.S. Drought Monitor States Using Precipitation, Soil Moisture, and Evapotranspiration Anomalies. Part I: Development of a Nondiscrete USDM Index Cite CITE Title : Predicting U.S. Drought Monitor States Using Precipitation, Soil Moisture, and Evapotranspiration Anomalies. Part I: Development of a Nondiscrete USDM Index Personal Author(s) : Lorenz, David J.;Otkin, Jason A.;Svoboda, Mark;Hain, Christopher R.;Anderson, Martha C.;Zhong, Yafang; Published Date : 2017 Source : Journal of Hydrometeorology, 18(7), 1943-1962 DOI : https://doi.org/10.1175/JHM-D-16-0066.1 Journal Title : Journal of Hydrometeorology File Format: Copy Export RIS [PDF - 13.83 MB] Personal Author: Lorenz, David J. ; Otkin, Jason A. ... 2017 | Journal of Hydrometeorology, 18(7), 1943-1962 Description: The U.S. Drought Monitor (USDM) classifies drought into five discrete dryness/drought categories based on expert synthesis of numerous data sources. I... File Type: [PDF - 13.83 MB] File Type: [PDF - 13.83 MB] The Relationship between Boundary Layer Stability and Cloud Cover in the Post-Cold-Frontal Region Cite CITE Title : The Relationship between Boundary Layer Stability and Cloud Cover in the Post-Cold-Frontal Region Personal Author(s) : Naud, Catherine M.;Booth, James F.;Del Genio, Anthony D.; Published Date : 2016 Source : Journal of Climate, 29(22), 8129-8149 DOI : https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0700.1 Journal Title : Journal of Climate File Format: Copy Export RIS [PDF - 1.93 MB] Personal Author: Naud, Catherine M. ; Booth, James F. ... 2016 | Journal of Climate, 29(22), 8129-8149 Description: Using NASA Aqua MODIS and AIRS data, the relationship between low-level cloud cover (cloud top below the 700-hPa level) and boundary layer stability i... File Type: [PDF - 1.93 MB] File Type: [PDF - 1.93 MB] CGCM and AGCM Seasonal Climate Predictions -- A study in CCSM4 Cite CITE Title : CGCM and AGCM Seasonal Climate Predictions -- A study in CCSM4 Personal Author(s) : Infanti, Johnna M.;Kirtman, Ben P.; Published Date : 2017 Source : J. Geophys. Res. Atmos., 122, 7416– 7432 DOI : https://doi.org/10.1002/2016JD026391 Journal Title : Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres File Format: Copy Export RIS [PDF - 2.75 MB] Personal Author: Infanti, Johnna M. ; Kirtman, Ben P. 2017 | J. Geophys. Res. Atmos., 122, 7416– 7432 Description: Seasonal climate predictions are formulated from known present conditions and simulate the near‐term climate for approximately a year in the future.... File Type: [PDF - 2.75 MB] File Type: [PDF - 2.75 MB] Predicting the U.S. Drought Monitor Using Precipitation, Soil Moisture, and Evapotranspiration Anomalies. Part II: Intraseasonal Drought Intensification Forecasts Cite CITE Title : Predicting the U.S. Drought Monitor Using Precipitation, Soil Moisture, and Evapotranspiration Anomalies. Part II: Intraseasonal Drought Intensification Forecasts Personal Author(s) : Lorenz, David J.;Otkin, Jason A.;Svoboda, Mark;Hain, Christopher R.;Anderson, Martha C.;Zhong, Yafang; Published Date : 2017 Source : Journal of Hydrometeorology, 18(7), 1963-1982 DOI : https://doi.org/10.1175/JHM-D-16-0067.1 Journal Title : Journal of Hydrometeorology File Format: Copy Export RIS [PDF - 19.53 MB] Personal Author: Lorenz, David J. ; Otkin, Jason A. ... 2017 | Journal of Hydrometeorology, 18(7), 1963-1982 Description: Probabilistic forecasts of U.S. Drought Monitor (USDM) intensification over 2-, 4-, and 8-week time periods are developed based on recent anomalies in... File Type: [PDF - 19.53 MB] File Type: [PDF - 19.53 MB] Detectable anthropogenic shift toward heavy precipitation over eastern China Cite CITE Title : Detectable anthropogenic shift toward heavy precipitation over eastern China Personal Author(s) : Ma, Shuangmei;Zhou, Tianjun;Stone, Dáithí A.;Polson, Debbie;Dai, Aiguo;Stott, Peter A.;von Storch, Hans;Qian, Yun;Burke, Claire;Wu, Peili;Zou, Liwei;Ciavarella, Andrew; Published Date : 2016 Source : Journal of Climate, 30(4), 1381-1396 DOI : https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0311.1 Journal Title : Journal of Climate File Format: Copy Export RIS [PDF - 5.12 MB] Personal Author: Ma, Shuangmei ; Zhou, Tianjun ... 2016 | Journal of Climate, 30(4), 1381-1396 Description: Changes in precipitation characteristics directly affect society through their impacts on drought and floods, hydro-dams, and urban drainage systems. ... File Type: [PDF - 5.12 MB] File Type: [PDF - 5.12 MB] Predictability of week 3-4 average temperature and precipitation over the contiguous United States Cite CITE Title : Predictability of week 3-4 average temperature and precipitation over the contiguous United States Personal Author(s) : DelSole, Timothy;Trenary, Laurie;Tippett, Michael K.;Pegion, Kathleen; Corporate Authors(s) : United States. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. Office of Oceanic and Atmospheric Research;Modeling, Analysis, Predictions, and Projections Program (U.S.); Published Date : 2017 Source : Journal of Climate, 30(10), 3499-3512. DOI : https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0567.1 Journal Title : Journal of Climate File Format: Copy Export RIS [PDF - 1.22 MB] Personal Author: DelSole, Timothy ; Trenary, Laurie ... 2017 | Journal of Climate, 30(10), 3499-3512. Description: This paper demonstrates that an operational forecast model can skillfully predict week-3–4 averages of temperature and precipitation over the contig... File Type: [PDF - 1.22 MB] File Type: [PDF - 1.22 MB] Precipitation budget of the Madden-Julian Oscillation Cite CITE Title : Precipitation budget of the Madden-Julian Oscillation Personal Author(s) : Adames, Ángel F. Corporate Authors(s) : United States. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. Office of Oceanic and Atmospheric Research;Modeling, Analysis, Predictions, and Projections Program (U.S.); Published Date : 2017 Source : Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 74(6), 1799-1817. DOI : https://doi.org/10.1175/JAS-D-16-0242.1 Journal Title : Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences File Format: Copy Export RIS [PDF - 4.32 MB] Personal Author: Adames, Ángel F. 2017 | Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 74(6), 1799-1817. Description: Column moisture and moist static energy (MSE) budgets have become common tools in the study of the processes responsible for the maintenance and evolu... File Type: [PDF - 4.32 MB] File Type: [PDF - 4.32 MB]

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