The movement of tropical cyclones (TCs), particularly around the time of landfall, can substantially affect the resulting damage. Recently, trends in TC translation speed and the likelihood of stalled TCs such as Harvey have received significant attention, but findings have remained inconclusive. Here, we examine how the June-September steering wind and translation speed of landfalling Texas TCs change in the future under anthropogenic climate change. Using several large-ensemble/multi-model datasets, we find pronounced regional variations in the meridional steering wind response over North America, but-consistently across models-stronger June-September-averaged northward steering winds over Texas. A cluster analysis of daily wind patterns shows more frequent circulation regimes that steer landfalling TCs northward in the future. Downscaling experiments show a 10-percentage-point shift from the slow-moving to the fast-moving end of the translation-speed distribution in the future. Together, these analyses indicate increases in the likelihood of faster-moving landfalling Texas TCs in the late 21st century.
Orbach, Dara N.; Brennan, Patricia L. R.; Hedrick, Brandon P.; Keener, William; Webber, Marc A.; Mesnick, Sarah L.;
Published Date:
2020
Source:
Sci Rep. 2020 Feb 24;10(1):3257.
Description:
Asymmetric genitalia and lateralized mating behaviors occur in several taxa, yet whether asymmetric morphology in one sex correlates or coevolves with lateralized mating behavior in the other sex remains largely unexplored. While lateralized mating b...
Giron-Nava, Alfredo; Munch, Stephan B.; Johnson, Andrew F.; Deyle, Ethan; James, Chase C.; Saberski, Erik; Pao, Gerald M.; Aburto-Oropeza, Octavio; Sugihara, George;
Published Date:
2020
Source:
Sci Rep. 2020 Apr 24;10(1):6977.
Description:
The systematic substitution of direct observational data with synthesized data derived from models during the stock assessment process has emerged as a low-cost alternative to direct data collection efforts. What is not widely appreciated, however, i...
Lee, Li Keat; Lim, Zhen Fei; Gu, Haifeng; Chan, Leo Lai; Litaker, R. Wayne; Tester, Patricia A.; Leaw, Chui Pin; Lim, Po Teen;
Published Date:
2020
Source:
Sci Rep. 2020 Jul 9;10(1):11251.
Description:
Microhabitats influence the distribution and abundance of benthic harmful dinoflagellate (BHAB) species. Currently, much of the information on the relationships between BHABs and microhabitat preferences is based on non-quantitative anecdotal observa...
Andersson, Erik R.; Stewart, Joseph A.; Work, Thierry M.; Woodley, Cheryl M.; Schock, Tracey B.; Day, Rusty D.;
Published Date:
2020
Source:
Sci Rep. 2020 May 19;10(1):8252.
Description:
Coral growth anomalies (GAs) are tumor-like lesions that are detrimental to colony fitness and are commonly associated with high human population density, yet little is known about the disease pathology or calcification behavior. SEM imagery, skeleta...
Seeley, Meredith E.; Song, Bongkeun; Passie, Renia; Hale, Robert C.;
Published Date:
2020
Source:
Nat Commun. 2020 May 12;11(1):2372.
Description:
Microplastics are ubiquitous in estuarine, coastal, and deep sea sediments. The impacts of microplastics on sedimentary microbial ecosystems and biogeochemical carbon and nitrogen cycles, however, have not been well reported. To evaluate if microplas...
Several seamounts have been identified as hotspots of marine life in the Azores, acting as feeding stations for top predators, including cetaceans. Passive acoustic monitoring is an efficient tool to study temporal variations in the occurrence and be...
Tavares, Kammie-Dominique; Fletcher, Charles H.; Anderson, Tiffany R.;
Published Date:
2020
Source:
Sci Rep. 2020 Aug 12;10(1):13633.
Description:
Shoreline hardening, which causes beach loss globally, will accelerate with sea level rise (SLR), causing more beach loss if management practices are not changed. To improve beach conservation efforts, current and future shoreline hardening patterns ...
El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) events modulate oceanographic processes that control temperature and productivity in tropical waters, yet potential interactions with low frequency climate variability, such as the Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO...
Graham, Neal T.; Hejazi, Mohamad I.; Kim, Son H.; Davies, Evan G. R.; Edmonds, James A.; Miralles-Wilhelm, Fernando;
Published Date:
2020
Source:
Nat Commun. 2020 Jul 20;11(1):3632.
Description:
Water stressed regions rely heavily on the import of water-intensive goods to offset insufficient food production driven by socioeconomic and environmental factors. The water embedded in these traded commodities, virtual water, has received increasin...
Wolf, Martin J.; Zhang, Yue; Zawadowicz, Maria A.; Goodell, Megan; Froyd, Karl; Freney, Evelyn; Sellegri, Karine; Rösch, Michael; Cui, Tianqu; Winter, Margaux; Lacher, Larissa; Axisa, Duncan; DeMott, Paul J.; Levin, Ezra J. T.; Gute, Ellen; Abbatt, Jonathan; Koss, Abigail; Kroll, Jesse H.; Surratt, Jason D.; Cziczo, Daniel J.;
Published Date:
2020
Source:
Nat Commun. 2020 Oct 1;11(1):4834.
Description:
Atmospheric ice nucleating particles (INPs) influence global climate by altering cloud formation, lifetime, and precipitation efficiency. The role of secondary organic aerosol (SOA) material as a source of INPs in the ambient atmosphere has not been ...
Tagklis , Filippos; Bracco, A.; Ito, T.; Castelao, R. M.;
Published Date:
2020
Source:
Sci Rep. 2020 Oct 15;10(1):17489.
Description:
Submesoscale structures fill the ocean surface, and recent numerical simulations and indirect observations suggest that they may extend to the ocean interior. It remains unclear, however, how far-reaching their impact may be—in both space and time,...
Francis, Jennifer A.; Skific, Natasa; Vavrus, Stephen J.;
Published Date:
2020
Source:
Sci Rep. 2020 Sep 11;10(1):14953.
Description:
Extreme weather events in Asia have been occurring with increasing frequency as the globe warms in response to rising concentrations of greenhouse gases. Many of these events arise from weather regimes that persist over a region for days or even week...
Watters, George M.; Hinke, Jefferson T.; Reiss, Christian S.;
Published Date:
2020
Source:
Sci Rep. 2020 Feb 11;10(1):2314.
Description:
Low catch limits for forage species are often considered to be precautionary measures that can help conserve marine predators. Difficulties measuring the impacts of fisheries removals on dependent predators maintain this perspective, but consideratio...
The rise in the availability of bacterial genomes defines a need for synthesis: abstracting from individual taxa, to see larger patterns of bacterial lifestyles across systems. A key concept for such synthesis in ecology is the niche, the set of capa...
Szesciorka, Angela R.; Balance, Lisa T.; Širović, Ana; Rice, Ally; Ohman, Mark D.; Hildebrand, John A.; Franks, Peter J. S.;
Published Date:
2020
Source:
Sci Rep. 2020 May 7;10(1):7710.
Description:
Blue whales need to time their migration from their breeding grounds to their feeding grounds to avoid missing peak prey abundances, but the cues they use for this are unknown. We examine migration timing (inferred from the local onset and cessation ...
Grandy, Jonathan James; Onat, Bora; Tunnicliffe, Verena; Butterfield, David A.; Pawliszyn, Janusz;
Published Date:
2020
Source:
Sci Rep. 2020 Jan 28;10(1):1360.
Description:
Current methods for biochemical and biogeochemical analysis of the deep-sea hydrothermal vent ecosystems rely on water sample recovery, or in situ analysis using underwater instruments with limited range of analyte detection and limited sensitivity. ...
Coral reef habitats surrounding Cuba include relatively healthy, well-developed shallow and mesophotic (30-150 m) scleractinian communities at the cross-currents of the Tropical Western Atlantic (TWA). However, Cuba's coral communities are not immune...
Holsman, K. K.; Haynie, A. C.; Hollowed, A. B.; Reum, J. C. P.; Aydin, K.; Hermann, A. J.; Cheng, W.; Faig, A.; Ianelli, J. N.; Kearney, K. A.; Punt, A. E.;
Published Date:
2020
Source:
Nat Commun. 2020 Sep 11;11(1):4579.
Description:
Climate change is impacting fisheries worldwide with uncertain outcomes for food and nutritional security. Using management strategy evaluations for key US fisheries in the eastern Bering Sea we find that Ecosystem Based Fisheries Management (EBFM) m...
Zhu, Yunqian; Toon, Owen B.; Jensen, Eric J.; Bardeen, Charles G.; Mills, Michael J.; Tolbert, Margaret A.; Yu, Pengfei; Woods, Sarah;
Published Date:
2020
Source:
Nat Commun. 2020 Sep 10;11(1):4526.
Description:
Volcanic ash is often neglected in climate simulations because ash particles are assumed to have a short atmospheric lifetime, and to not participate in sulfur chemistry. After the Mt. Kelut eruption in 2014, stratospheric ash-rich aerosols were obse...