• Assessing Systematic Impacts of PBL Schemes on Storm Evolution in the NOAA Warn-on-Forecast System [PDF - 2.28 MB] Personal Author: Potvin, Corey K. ; Skinner, Patrick S. ; ... Published Date: 2020 Source: Mon. Wea. Rev. (2020) 148 (6): 2567–2590. Description: The NOAA Warn-on-Forecast System (WoFS) is an experimental rapidly updating convection-allowing ensemble designed to provide probabilistic operational... File Type: [PDF - 2.28 MB] File Type: [PDF - 2.28 MB] Variational Assimilation of Radar Data and GLM Lightning-Derived Water Vapor for the Short-Term Forecasts of High-Impact Convective Events [PDF - 5.43 MB] Personal Author: Fierro, Alexandre O. ; Wang, Yunheng ; ... Published Date: 2019 Source: Mon. Wea. Rev. (2019) 147 (11): 4045–4069. Description: The assimilation of water vapor mass mixing ratio derived from total lightning data from the Geostationary Lightning Mapper (GLM) within a three-dimen... File Type: [PDF - 5.43 MB] File Type: [PDF - 5.43 MB] Neighborhood- and Object-Based Probabilistic Verification of the OU MAP Ensemble Forecasts during 2017 and 2018 Hazardous Weather Testbeds [PDF - 3.14 MB] Personal Author: Johnson, Aaron ; Wang, Xuguang ; ... Published Date: 2020 Source: Wea. Forecasting (2020) 35 (1): 169–191. Description: An object-based probabilistic (OBPROB) forecasting framework is developed and applied, together with a more traditional neighborhood-based framework, ... File Type: [PDF - 3.14 MB] File Type: [PDF - 3.14 MB] Assimilation of GOES-R Geostationary Lightning Mapper Flash Extent Density Data in GSI EnKF for the Analysis and Short-Term Forecast of a Mesoscale Convective System [PDF - 7.28 MB] Personal Author: Kong, Rong ; Xue, Ming ; ... Published Date: 2020 Source: Mon. Wea. Rev. (2020) 148 (5): 2111–2133. Description: The recently launched Geostationary Operational Environmental Satellite “R-series” (GOES-R) satellites carry the Geostationary Lightning Mapper (G... File Type: [PDF - 7.28 MB] File Type: [PDF - 7.28 MB] Assimilation of Radar Radial Velocity, Reflectivity, and Pseudo–Water Vapor for Convective-Scale NWP in a Variational Framework [PDF - 14.66 MB] Personal Author: Lai, Anwei ; Gao, Jidong ; ... Published Date: 2019 Source: Mon. Wea. Rev. (2019) 147 (8): 2877–2900. Description: To improve severe thunderstorm prediction, a novel pseudo-observation and assimilation approach involving water vapor mass mixing ratio is proposed to... File Type: [PDF - 14.66 MB] File Type: [PDF - 14.66 MB] Synergetic Use of the WSR-88D Radars, GOES-R Satellites, and Lightning Networks to Study Microphysical Characteristics of Hurricanes [PDF - 6.72 MB] Personal Author: Hux, Jiaxi ; Rosenfeld, Daniel ; ... Published Date: 2020 Source: J. Appl. Meteor. Climatol. (2020) 59 (6): 1051–1068. Description: This study analyzes the microphysics and precipitation pattern of Hurricanes Harvey (2017) and Florence (2018) in both the eyewall and outer rainband ... File Type: [PDF - 6.72 MB] File Type: [PDF - 6.72 MB] Projecting the Most Likely Annual Urban Heat Extremes in the Central United States [PDF - 3.33 MB] Personal Author: Jahn, David E. ; Gallus, William A. ; ... Published Date: 2019 Source: Atmosphere 2019, 10(12), 727. Description: Climate studies based on global climate models (GCMs) project a steady increase in annual average temperature and severe heat extremes in central Nort... File Type: [PDF - 3.33 MB] File Type: [PDF - 3.33 MB] Ensemble-Based Targeted Observation Method Applied to Radar Radial Velocity Observations on Idealized Supercell Low-Level Rotation Forecasts: A Proof of Concept [PDF - 1.10 MB] Personal Author: Kerr, Christopher A. ; Wang, Xuguang ; Published Date: 2020 Source: Mon. Wea. Rev. (2020) 148 (3): 877–890. Description: The potential future installation of a multifunction phased-array radar (MPAR) network will provide capabilities of case-specific adaptive scanning. K... File Type: [PDF - 1.10 MB] File Type: [PDF - 1.10 MB] Nocturnal Convection Initiation during PECAN 2015 [PDF - 14.87 MB] Personal Author: Weckwerth, Tammy M., 1966- ; Hanesiak, John ; ... Published Date: 2019 Source: Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc. (2019) 100 (11): 2223–2239. Description: Nocturnal convection initiation (NCI) is more difficult to anticipate and forecast than daytime convection initiation (CI). A major component of the P... File Type: [PDF - 14.87 MB] File Type: [PDF - 14.87 MB] A Method to Control the Environmental Wind Profile in Idealized Simulations of Deep Convection with Surface Friction [PDF - 2.35 MB] Personal Author: Dawson, Daniel T. ; Roberts, Brett ; ... Published Date: 2019 Source: Mon. Wea. Rev. (2019) 147 (11): 3935–3954. Description: In idealized, horizontally homogeneous, cloud model simulations of convective storms, the action of surface friction can substantially modify the near... File Type: [PDF - 2.35 MB] File Type: [PDF - 2.35 MB] Of Fire and Smoke Plumes, Polarimetric Radar Characteristics [PDF - 9.68 MB] Personal Author: Zrnić, Dušan S. ; Zhang, Pengfei ; ... Published Date: 2020 Source: Atmosphere 2020, 11(4), 363. Description: Weather surveillance radars routinely detect smoke of various origin. Of particular significance to the meteorological community are wildfires in fore... File Type: [PDF - 9.68 MB] File Type: [PDF - 9.68 MB] Springtime Onset of Isolated Convection Precipitation across the Southeastern United States: Framework and Regional Evolution [PDF - 5.63 MB] Personal Author: Rickenbach, Thomas M. ; Ferreira, Rosana Nieto ; ... Published Date: 2020 Source: Mon. Wea. Rev. (2020) 148 (3): 891–906. Description: This study examines the geographic and temporal characteristics of the springtime transition to the summer precipitation regime of isolated convection... File Type: [PDF - 5.63 MB] File Type: [PDF - 5.63 MB] A Polarimetric Radar Analysis of Ice Microphysical Processes in Melting Layers of Winter Storms Using S-Band Quasi-Vertical Profiles [PDF - 3.15 MB] Personal Author: Griffin, Erica M. ; Schuur, Terry James ; ... Published Date: 2020 Source: J. Appl. Meteor. Climatol. (2020) 59 (4): 751–767. Description: Quasi-vertical profiles (QVPs) obtained from a database of U.S. WSR-88D data are used to document polarimetric characteristics of the melting layer (M... File Type: [PDF - 3.15 MB] File Type: [PDF - 3.15 MB] Doppler Circulation as a Fairly Range-Insensitive Far-Field Tornado Detection and Precursor Parameter [PDF - 2.15 MB] Personal Author: Davies-Jones, Robert ; Wood, Vincent T. ; ... Published Date: 2020 Source: J. Atmos. Oceanic Technol. (2020) 37 (6): 1117–1133. Description: Formulas are obtained for observed circulation around and contraction rate of a Doppler radar grid cell within a surface of constant launch angle. The... File Type: [PDF - 2.15 MB] File Type: [PDF - 2.15 MB] The Hurricane Harvey (2017) Texas Rainstorm: Synoptic Analysis and Sensitivity to Soil Moisture [PDF - 9.09 MB] Personal Author: Galarneau, Thomas J. ; Xubin, Zeng ; Published Date: 2020 Source: Mon. Wea. Rev. (2020) 148 (6): 2479–2502. Description: A synoptic analysis and soil moisture (SM) sensitivity experiment is conducted on the record-breaking rainstorm in Texas associated with Hurricane Har... File Type: [PDF - 9.09 MB] File Type: [PDF - 9.09 MB] Optimal Temporal Frequency of NSSL Phased Array Radar Observations for an Experimental Warn-on-Forecast System [PDF - 8.30 MB] Personal Author: Stratman, Derek R. ; Yussouf, Nusrat ; ... Published Date: 2020 Source: Wea. Forecasting (2020) 35 (1): 193–214. Description: A potential replacement candidate for the aging operational WSR-88D infrastructure currently in place is the phased array radar (PAR) system. The curr... File Type: [PDF - 8.30 MB] File Type: [PDF - 8.30 MB] Postprocessing Next-Day Ensemble Probabilistic Precipitation Forecasts Using Random Forests [PDF - 5.07 MB] Personal Author: Loken, Eric D. ; Clark, Adam J. ; ... Published Date: 2019 Source: Wea. Forecasting (2019) 34 (6): 2017–2044. Description: Most ensembles suffer from underdispersion and systematic biases. One way to correct for these shortcomings is via machine learning (ML), which is adv... File Type: [PDF - 5.07 MB] File Type: [PDF - 5.07 MB] Test of a Weather-Adaptive Dual-Resolution Hybrid Warn-on-Forecast Analysis and Forecast System for Several Severe Weather Events [PDF - 15.96 MB] Personal Author: Wang, Yunheng ; Gao, Jidong ; ... Published Date: 2019 Source: Wea. Forecasting (2019) 34 (6): 1807–1827. Description: A real-time, weather adaptive, dual-resolution, hybrid Warn-on-Forecast (WoF) analysis and forecast system using the WRF-ARW forecast model has been d... File Type: [PDF - 15.96 MB] File Type: [PDF - 15.96 MB] Tornado Fatalities: An Environmental Perspective [PDF - 1.75 MB] Personal Author: Anderson-Frey, Alexandra K. ; Brooks, Harold ; Published Date: 2019 Source: Wea. Forecasting (2019) 34 (6): 1999–2015. Description: Deadly tornadoes are rare events, but that level of rarity varies with many factors. In this work, we summarize and update past research on tornado fa... File Type: [PDF - 1.75 MB] File Type: [PDF - 1.75 MB] An Analysis of Subdaily Severe Thunderstorm Probabilities for the United States [PDF - 648.54 KB] Personal Author: Krocak, Makenzie J. ; Brooks, Harold E. ; Published Date: 2020 Source: Wea. Forecasting (2020) 35 (1): 107–112. Description: One of the challenges of providing probabilistic information on a multitude of spatiotemporal scales is ensuring that information is both accurate and... File Type: [PDF - 648.54 KB] File Type: [PDF - 648.54 KB]

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