Trends in Satellite-Based Ocean Parameters through Integrated Time Series Decomposition and Spectral Analysis. Part II: NOAA/NCEI Blended Seawinds

Details

• Journal Title:
  Journal of Atmospheric and Oceanic Technology
• Personal Author:
  Saha, Korak ; Dash, Prasanjit ; Frech, James ; Zhang, Huai-Min ; DiGiacomo, Paul ; Miller, Steven D.
• NOAA Program & Office:
  NESDIS (National Environmental Satellite, Data, and Information Service) ; OAR (Oceanic and Atmospheric Research) ; CISESS (Cooperative Institute for Satellite Earth System Studies) ; NCEI (National Centers for Environmental Information) ; STAR (Center for Satellite Applications and Research)
• Description:
  Seawind is essential in studying extreme weather and climate events globally over the oceans. It has significant impacts through air–sea interactions, upper ocean mixing, and energy flux generation. The sea surface wind is also a critical element in blue economy strategic planning, offshore renewable energy, marine transportation, marine ecosystem, and fisheries. As per the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) working group report, there is low confidence level in wind trends due to insufficient evidence. This study uses signal decomposition, namely, the multiple seasonal-trend decomposition using locally estimated scatterplot smoothing (MSTL) on NCEI blended seawinds, version 2.0 (NBSv2.0; 1988–2022), to derive the nonlinear dynamic trend of global blended sea surface winds showing variations of 0.3–0.8 m s−1 and a global rate (linear approximation) of 0.022% ± 20% m s−1 decade−1. Implementing MSTL requires specifying periods, which is achieved using time-dependent spectral wavelet analysis to extract significant seasonalities in the dataset. The calculated average trend rates are notably higher for the Southern Hemisphere oceans than for the Northern Hemisphere, with peaks ∼0.1–0.15 m s−1 decade−1 around the higher midlatitudes. Conversely, the tropical and near-equatorial bands show either a decreasing trend rate or weakly increasing trends. Areas with significantly increasing trend rates are mainly located in the west of the North Atlantic and the North Pacific, the Arctic, and the eastern tropical Pacific Ocean (ETPO)/central Pacific oceans, and a decreasing trend is visible over the rest of the Northern Hemisphere (specifically over the North Indian and the Northern Pacific oceans). In contrast, the Southern Hemisphere has mostly increasing trend rates except for the tropical southern Indian Ocean.
• Source:
  Journal of Atmospheric and Oceanic Technology, 42(3), 281-294
• DOI:
  https://doi.org/10.1175/JTECH-D-24-0008.1
• ISSN:
  0739-0572 ; 1520-0426
• Format:
  PDF
• Publisher:
  American Meteorological Society
• Document Type:
  Journal Article
• Funding:
  Grant no. NA19NES4320002 ; Grant no. NA19NES4320002 ; Grant no. NA19OAR4320073
• Rights Information:
  Other
• Compliance:
  Submitted
• Main Document Checksum:
  urn:sha-512:f7226258bc5a2c7ad342b055c34ebc0efe402905948fedaa415ed77fcc0714158a06d5183eab8e42799e2014c724281a761678ff41e5a449496237f2cb9d1909
• Download URL:
  https://repository.library.noaa.gov/view/noaa/70836/noaa_70836_DS1.pdf
• File Type:
  [PDF - 17.49 MB ]