Measuring the impact of oceanographic indices on species distribution shifts: The spatially varying effect of cold‐pool extent in the eastern Bering Sea

Details

• Journal Title:
  Limnology and Oceanography
• Personal Author:
  Thorson, James T.
• NOAA Program & Office:
  NMFS (National Marine Fisheries Service) ; AFSC (Alaska Fisheries Science Center)
• Description:
  Oceanographers have spent decades developing annual indices that summarize physical conditions in marine ecosystems. Examples include the Paci fic Decadal Oscillation, summarizing annual variation in the loca- tion of warm waters in the North Paci fic, and cold-pool extent (CPE), summarizing the area with cold near- bottom waters in the eastern Bering Sea. However, these indices are rarely included in the species distribution models that are used to identify and forecast distribution shifts under future climate scenarios. I therefore reviewthree interpretations of spatially varying coef ficient models, explain how they can be used to estimate spatial patterns of population density associated with oceanographic indices, and add this option to the multivariate
• Keywords:
  Aquatic Science Oceanography
• Source:
  Limnology and Oceanography, 64(6), 2632-2645
• DOI:
  https://doi.org/10.1002/lno.11238
• ISSN:
  0024-3590 ; 1939-5590
• Format:
  PDF
• Publisher:
  Wiley
• Document Type:
  Journal Article
• License:
  https://creativecommons.org/publicdomain/zero/1.0/
• Rights Information:
  CC0 Public Domain
• Rights Statement:
  This article is a U.S. Government work and is in the public domain in the USA.
• Compliance:
  Library
• Main Document Checksum:
  urn:sha256:15b5cd067225dca86323c7bc76d2251c52615621f4be819a31424781afe97093
• Download URL:
  https://repository.library.noaa.gov/view/noaa/54864/noaa_54864_DS1.pdf
• File Type:
  [PDF - 2.58 MB ]