A sensitivity study of rising compound coastal inundation over large flood plains in a changing climate

Sheng, Y. Peter; Paramygin, Vladimir A.; Yang, Kun; Rivera-Nieves, Adail A.

doi:10.1038/s41598-022-07010-z

Advanced Search

Select up to three search categories and corresponding keywords using the fields to the right. Refer to the Help section for more detailed instructions.

Search our Collections & Repository

Advanced Search
Custom Query

All these words:

For very narrow results

This exact word or phrase:

When looking for a specific result

Any of these words:

Best used for discovery & interchangable words

None of these words:

Recommended to be used in conjunction with other fields

Language:

Dates

Publication Date Range:

to

Document Data

Title:

Document Type:

Library

Collection:

Series:

People

Author:

Clear All

Query Builder

Query box

Clear All

For additional assistance using the Custom Query please check out our Help Page

The NOAA IR serves as an archival repository of NOAA-published products including scientific findings, journal articles, guidelines, recommendations, or other information authored or co-authored by NOAA or funded partners. As a repository, the NOAA IR retains documents in their original published format to ensure public access to scientific information.

i

A sensitivity study of rising compound coastal inundation over large flood plains in a changing climate

2022
By Sheng, Y. Peter ; Paramygin, Vladimir A. ; Yang, Kun ; ...
Source: Scientific Reports, 12(1)

Details Supporting Files You May Also Like

Details:

Journal Title:

Scientific Reports
Personal Author:

Sheng, Y. Peter ; Paramygin, Vladimir A. ; Yang, Kun ; Rivera-Nieves, Adail A.

Sheng, Y. Peter ; Paramygin, Vladimir A. ; Yang, Kun ; Rivera-Nieves, Adail A. Less -
NOAA Program & Office:

NOS (National Ocean Service)
Description:

Coastal flood hazards and damage to coastal communities are increasing steeply and nonlinearly due to the compound impact of intensifying tropical cyclones (TCs) and accelerating sea-level rise (SLR). We expand the probabilistic coastal flood hazard analysis framework to facilitate coastal adaptation by simulating the compound impact of predicted intensifying TCs and rising sea levels in the twenty-first century. We compared the characteristics of landfalling TCs in Florida (FL) and southwest Florida (SWFL) for the late twentieth and twenty-first centuries predicted by several climate models and downscaling models. TCs predicted by four climate models, one without downscaling and three with downscaling, were used by a coupled surge-wave model to predict the future flood hazard due to compound effects of TCs and SLR over a large SWFL coastal flood plain. By 2100, the coastal inundation metrics of the 1% annual chance coastal flood could become almost 3–7 folds of their current values, depending on the climate and downscaling models, Representative Concentration Pathway scenarios, Atlantic Multi-decadal Oscillation phases, TCs, SLR, precipitation, and how TCs and SLR are incorporated. By 2100, the current 1% (100-year) inundation event could become a 3-year event, and the 0.2% (500-year) inundation event could become a 5-year event.
Keywords:

[+]

Climatology Hydrology Marine Sciences Climate Sciences Engineering Mathematics And Computing Multidisciplinary Natural Hazards Ocean Sciences
Source:

Scientific Reports, 12(1)
DOI:

https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-022-07010-z
Format:

PDF
Document Type:

Journal Article
Funding:

Grant no. NA17NOS4510094 ; Grant no. NA19NOS4780178 ; Grant no. NA11OAR4310105

Grant no. NA17NOS4510094 ; Grant no. NA19NOS4780178 ; Grant no. NA11OAR4310105 Less -
License:

https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
Rights Information:

CC BY
Compliance:

Submitted
Main Document Checksum:

[+]

urn:sha256:377d1a8bb84216d300fbc4b510581af47b1b0626889a39d2ba8c2f674018855e
Download URL:

https://repository.library.noaa.gov/view/noaa/48837/noaa_48837_DS1.pdf
File Type:

[PDF-3.35 MB]

Supplemental media

pdf