Wave Probabilities Consistent with Official Tropical Cyclone Forecasts

Sampson, Charles R.; Hansen, James A.; Wittmann, Paul A.; Knaff, John A.; Schumacher, Andrea

doi:10.1175/WAF-D-15-0093.1

Advanced Search

Select up to three search categories and corresponding keywords using the fields to the right. Refer to the Help section for more detailed instructions.

Search our Collections & Repository

Advanced Search
Custom Query

All these words:

For very narrow results

This exact word or phrase:

When looking for a specific result

Any of these words:

Best used for discovery & interchangable words

None of these words:

Recommended to be used in conjunction with other fields

Language:

Dates

Publication Date Range:

to

Document Data

Title:

Document Type:

Library

Collection:

Series:

People

Author:

Clear All

Query Builder

Query box

Clear All

For additional assistance using the Custom Query please check out our Help Page

i

Wave Probabilities Consistent with Official Tropical Cyclone Forecasts

2016
By Sampson, Charles R. ; Hansen, James A. ; Wittmann, Paul A. ; ...
Source: Weather and Forecasting, 31(6), 2035-2045

[PDF-2.10 MB]

Details You May Also Like

Details:

Journal Title:

Weather and Forecasting
Personal Author:

Sampson, Charles R. ; Hansen, James A. ; Wittmann, Paul A. ; Knaff, John A. ; Schumacher, Andrea

Sampson, Charles R. ; Hansen, James A. ; Wittmann, Paul A. ; Knaff, John A. ; Schumacher, Andrea Less -
NOAA Program & Office:

NESDIS (National Environmental Satellite, Data, and Information Service) ; STAR (Center for Satellite Applications and Research) ; CIRA (Cooperative Institute for Research in the Atmosphere)

NESDIS (National Environmental Satellite, Data, and Information Service) ; STAR (Center for Satellite Applications and Research) ; CIRA (Cooperative Institute for Research in the Atmosphere) Less -
Description:

Development of a 12-ft-seas significant wave height ensemble consistent with the official tropical cyclone intensity, track, and wind structure forecasts and their errors from the operational U.S. tropical cyclone forecast centers is described. To generate the significant wave height ensemble, a Monte Carlo wind speed probability algorithm that produces forecast ensemble members is used. These forecast ensemble members, each created from the official forecast and randomly sampled errors from historical official forecast errors, are then created immediately after the official forecast is completed.
Keywords:

[+]

Ensembles Forecasting Techniques Operational Forecasting Probability Forecasts/Models/Distribution
Source:

Weather and Forecasting, 31(6), 2035-2045
DOI:

https://doi.org/10.1175/WAF-D-15-0093.1
Document Type:

Journal Article
Rights Information:

Other
Compliance:

Submitted
Main Document Checksum:

[+]

urn:sha256:89f0543427bb8b87fb9f69e4485dc5a3dbbb7bf1638410dbf6b85113bc5d735d
Download URL:

https://repository.library.noaa.gov/view/noaa/41109/noaa_41109_DS1.pdf
File Type:

No Additional Files

More +

Wave Probabilities Consistent with Official Tropical Cyclone Forecasts

Details:

Supporting Files

You May Also Like