To evaluate the utility of trajectory analysis in the tropical upper troposphere/lower stratosphere, Lagrangian predictions of ozone mixing ratio are compared to observations from the Airborne Tropical TRopopause EXperiment. Model predictions are based on backward trajectories that are initiated along flight tracks. Ozone mixing ratios from analysis data interpolated onto source locations (at trajectory termini) provide initial conditions for chemical production models that are integrated forward in time along parcel trajectories. Model sensitivities are derived from ensembles of predictions using two sets of dynamical forcing fields, four sets of source ozone mixing ratios, three trajectory formulations (adiabatic, diabatic, and kinematic), and two chemical production models. Direct comparisons of analysis ozone mixing ratios to observations have large random errors that are reduced by averaging over 75min (similar to 800km) long flight tracks. These averaged values have systematic errors that motivate a similarly systematic adjustment to source ozone mixing ratios. Sensitivity experiments reveal a prediction error minimum in parameter space and, thus, a consistent diagnostic picture: The best predictions utilize the source ozone adjustment and a chemical production model derived from Whole Atmosphere Community Climate Model (a chemistry-climate model) chemistry. There seems to be slight advantages to using ERA-Interim winds compared to Modern-Era Retrospective Analysis for Research and Applications and to using kinematic trajectories compared to diabatic; however, both diabatic and kinematic formulations are clearly preferable to adiabatic trajectories. For these predictions, correlations with observations typically decrease as model error is reduced and, thus, fail as a model comparison metric. Plain Language Summary To evaluate the utility of trajectory analysis in the tropical upper troposphere/lower stratosphere, predictions of ozone mixing ratio are compared to observations from the Airborne Tropical TRopopause EXperiment. Model predictions are based on backward trajectories that are initiated along flight tracks. Ozone mixing ratios from analysis data interpolated onto source locations (at trajectory termini) provide initial conditions for chemical production models that are integrated forward in time along parcel trajectories. Model sensitivities are derived from ensembles of predictions using two sets of dynamical forcing fields, four sets of source ozone mixing ratios, three trajectory formulations, and two chemical production models. Direct comparisons of analysis ozone mixing ratios to observations have large random errors that are reduced by averaging over 75min (similar to 800km) long flight tracks. These averaged values have systematic errors that motivate a similarly systematic adjustment to source ozone mixing ratios. Sensitivity experiments reveal a prediction error minimum in parameter space and, thus, a consistent diagnostic picture: The best predictions utilize the source ozone adjustment and chemical production derived from National Center for Atmospheric Researchs Whole Atmosphere Community Climate Model. For these predictions, correlations with observations typically decrease as model error is reduced and, thus, fail as a model comparison metric.
Wells, K. C.; Millet, D. B.; Bousserez, N.; Henze, D. K.; Griffis, T. J.; Chaliyakunnel, S.; Dlugokencky, E. J.; Saikawa, E.; Xiang, G.; Prinn, R. G.; O'Doherty, S.; Young, D.; Weiss, R. F.; Dutton, G. S.; Elkins, J. W.; Krummel, P. B.; Langenfelds, R.; Steele, L. P.;
Published Date:
2018
Source:
Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 18(2), 735-756.
Description:
We present top-down constraints on global monthly N2O emissions for 2011 from a multi-inversion approach and an ensemble of surface observations. The inversions employ the GEOS-Chem adjoint and an array of aggregation strategies to test how well curr...
Raczka, B.; Biraud, S. C.; Ehleringer, J. R.; Lai, C. T.; Miller, J. B.; Pataki, D. E.; Saleska, S. R.; Torn, M. S.; Vaughn, B. H.; Wehr, R.; Bowling, D. R.;
Published Date:
2017
Source:
Journal of Geophysical Research-Biogeosciences, 122(8), 1969-1987.
Description:
The seasonal pattern of the carbon isotope content (delta C-13) of atmospheric CO2 depends on local and nonlocal land-atmosphere exchange and atmospheric transport. Previous studies suggested that the delta C-13 of the net land-atmosphere CO2 flux (d...
Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres, 123(15), 7950-7973.
Description:
In this study, we analyze a set of agroclimatological indices across West Africa and assess their projected changes for the future. We apply the regional climate model CCLM (COnsortium for Small-scale MOdelling in CLimate Mode) with a high spatial re...
Kenagy, H. S.; Sparks, T. L.; Ebben, C. J.; Wooldrige, P. J.; Lopez-Hilfiker, F. D.; Lee, B. H.; Thornton, J. A.; McDuffie, E. E.; Fibiger, D. L.; Brown, S. S.; Montzka, D. D.; Weinheimer, A. J.; Schroder, J. C.; Campuzano-Jost, P.; Day, D. A.; Jimenez, J. L.; Dibb, J. E.; Campos, T.; Shah, V.; Jaegle, L.; Cohen, R. C.;
Published Date:
2018
Source:
Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres, 123(17), 9813-9827.
Description:
Although urban NOx lifetimes have been examined extensively during summertime conditions, wintertime NOx chemistry has been comparatively less studied. We use measurements of NOx and its oxidation products from the aircraft-based WINTER (Wintertime I...
Jarvinen, E.; Ignatius, K.; Nichman, L.; Kristensen, T. B.; Fuchs, C.; Hoyle, C. R.; Hoppel, N.; Corbin, J. C.; Craven, J.; Duplissy, J.; Ehrhart, S.; El Haddad, I.; Frege, C.; Gordon, H.; Jokinen, T.; Kallinger, P.; Kirkby, J.; Kiselev, A.; Naumann, K. H.; Petaja, T.; Pinterich, T.; Prevot, A. S. H.; Saathoff, H.; Schiebel, T.; Sengupta, K.; Simon, M.; Slowik, J. G.; Trostl, J.; Virtanen, A.; Vochezer, P.; Vogt, S.; Wagner, A. C.; Wagner, R.; Williamson, C.; Winkler, P. M.; Yan, C.; Baltensperger, U.; Donahue, N. M.; Flagan, R. C.; Gallagher, M.; Hansel, A.; Kulmala, M.; Stratmann, F.; Worsnop, D. R.; Mohler, O.; Leisner, T.; Schnaiter, M.;
Published Date:
2016
Source:
Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 16(7), 4423-4438.
Description:
Under certain conditions, secondary organic aerosol (SOA) particles can exist in the atmosphere in an amorphous solid or semi-solid state. To determine their relevance to processes such as ice nucleation or chemistry occurring within particles requir...
Butler, R.; Palmer, P. I.; Feng, L.; Andrews, S. J.; Atlas, E. L.; Carpenter, L. J.; Donets, V.; Harris, N. R. P.; Montzka, S. A.; Pan, L. L.; Salawitch, R. J.; Schauffler, S. M.;
Published Date:
2018
Source:
Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 18(17), 13135-13153.
Description:
We use the GEOS-Chem global 3-D atmospheric chemistry transport model to interpret atmospheric observations of bromoform (CHBr3) and dibromomethane (CH2Br2) collected during the CAST and CONTRAST aircraft measurement campaigns over the western Pacifi...
Fried, A.; Barth, M. C.; Bela, M.; Weibring, P.; Richter, D.; Walega, J.; Li, Y.; Pickering, K.; Apel, E.; Hornbrook, R.; Hills, A.; Riemer, D. D.; Blake, N.; Blake, D. R.; Schroeder, J. R.; Luo, Z. J.; Crawford, J. H.; Olson, J.; Rutledge, S.; Betten, D.; Biggerstaff, M. I.; Diskin, G. S.; Sachse, G.; Campos, T.; Flocke, F.; Weinheimer, A.; Cantrell, C.; Pollack, I.; Peischl, J.; Froyd, K.; Wisthaler, A.; Mikoviny, T.; Woods, S.;
Published Date:
2016
Source:
Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres, 121(12), 7430-7460.
Description:
We have developed semi-independent methods for determining CH2O scavenging efficiencies (SEs) during strong midlatitude convection over the western, south-central Great Plains, and southeastern regions of the United States during the 2012 Deep Convec...
Janssens-Maenhout, G.; Crippa, M.; Guizzardi, D.; Dentener, F.; Muntean, M.; Pouliot, G.; Keating, T.; Zhang, Q.; Kurokawa, J.; Wankmuller, R.; van der Gon, H. D.; Kuenen, J. J. P.; Klimont, Z.; Frost, G.; Darras, S.; Koffi, B.; Li, M.;
Published Date:
2015
Source:
Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 15(19), 11411-11432.
Description:
The mandate of the Task Force Hemispheric Transport of Air Pollution (TF HTAP) under the Convention on Long-Range Transboundary Air Pollution (CLRTAP) is to improve the scientific understanding of the intercontinental air pollution transport, to quan...
Brown, S. S.; Dube, W. P.; Tham, Y. J.; Zha, Q. Z.; Xue, L. K.; Poon, S.; Wang, Z.; Blake, D. R.; Tsui, W.; Parrish, D. D.; Wang, T.;
Published Date:
2016
Source:
Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres, 121(5), 2457-2475.
Description:
Nighttime reactions of nitrogen oxides influence ozone, volatile organic compounds, and aerosol and are thus important to the understanding of regional air quality. Despite large emissions and rapid recent growth of nitrogen oxide concentrations, the...
Kim, J.; Johnson, L. E.; Cifelli, R.; Choi, J.; Chandrasekar, V.;
Published Date:
2018
Source:
Water, 10(7), 21.
Description:
Soil moisture retention (SMR) capacity plays a key role in estimating the direct runoff when a multi-pulse storm event occurs. It is very important to know how much SMR will be recovered during the intervals of no rain of a multi-pulse storm. This st...
Fairall, C. W.; Matrosov, S. Y.; Williams, C. R.; Walsh, E. J.;
Published Date:
2018
Source:
Journal of Atmospheric and Oceanic Technology, 35(3), 593-608.
Description:
The NOAA W-band radar was deployed on a P-3 aircraft during a study of storm fronts off the U.S. West Coast in 2015 in the second CalWater (CalWater-2) field program. This paper presents an analysis of measured equivalent radar reflectivity factor Z(...
A 4-year record of aerosol size and hygroscopic growth factor distributions measured at the Department of Energy's Southern Great Plains (SGP) site in Oklahoma, U.S. were used to estimate supersaturation (S)-dependent cloud condensation nuclei concen...
Mahoney, K.; Swales, D.; Mueller, M. J.; Alexander, M.; Hughes, M.; Malloy, K.;
Published Date:
2018
Source:
Journal of Climate, 31(16), 6281-6297.
Description:
Atmospheric rivers (ARs) are well-known producers of precipitation along the U.S. West Coast. Depending on their intensity, orientation, and location of landfall, some ARs penetrate inland and cause heavy rainfall and flooding hundreds of miles from ...
Dimdore-Miles, O. B.; Palmer, P. I.; Bruhwiler, L. P.;
Published Date:
2018
Source:
Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 18(24), 17895-17907.
Description:
We consider the utility of the annual inter-polar difference (IPD) as a metric for changes in Arctic emissions of methane (CH4). The IPD has been previously defined as the difference between weighted annual means of CH4 mole fraction data collected a...
Sea surface temperature anomalies (SSTA) in portions of the extratropics are known to recur from one winter to the next without persisting through the intervening summer. Previous studies identified only a limited number of midlatitude regions where ...
Richardson, K.; Asmutis-Silvia, R.; Drinkwin, J.; Gilardi, K. V. K.; Giskes, I.; Jones, G.; O'Brien, K.; Pragnell-Raasch, H.; Ludwig, L.; Antonelis, K.; Barco, S.; Henry, A.; Knowlton, A.; Landry, S.; Mattila, D.; MacDonald, K.; Moore, M.; Morgan, J.; Robbins, J.; van der Hoop, J.; Hogan, E.;
Published Date:
2019
Source:
Marine Pollution Bulletin, 138, 222-229.
Description:
Abandoned, lost or discarded fishing gear (ALDFG) comprises a significant amount of global marine debris, with diverse impacts to marine environments, wildlife, and the fishing industry. Building evidence on ALDFG is critical to holistically understa...
Smith, M.; Stammerjohn, S.; Persson, O.; Rainville, L.; Liu, G. Q.; Perrie, W.; Robertson, R.; Jackson, J.; Thomson, J.;
Published Date:
2018
Source:
Journal of Geophysical Research-Oceans, 123(5), 3164-3185.
Description:
High-resolution measurements of the air-ice-ocean system during an October 2015 event in the Beaufort Sea demonstrate how stored ocean heat can be released to temporarily reverse seasonal ice advance. Strong on-ice winds over a vast fetch caused mixi...
Chakraborty, A.; Ervens, B.; Gupta, T.; Tripathi, S. N.;
Published Date:
2016
Source:
Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres, 121(8), 4317-4332.
Description:
Size-resolved fog water samples were collected in two consecutive winters at Kanpur, a heavily polluted urban area of India. Samples were analyzed by an aerosol mass spectrometer after drying and directly in other instruments. Residues of fine fog dr...
Kim, P. S.; Jacob, D. J.; Fisher, J. A.; Travis, K.; Yu, K.; Zhu, L.; Yantosca, R. M.; Sulprizio, M. P.; Jimenez, J. L.; Campuzano-Jost, P.; Froyd, K. D.; Liao, J.; Hair, J. W.; Fenn, M. A.; Butler, C. F.; Wagner, N. L.; Gordon, T. D.; Welti, A.; Wennberg, P. O.; Crounse, J. D.; St. Clair, J. M.; Teng, A. P.; Millet, D. B.; Schwarz, J. P.; Markovic, M. Z.; Perring, A. E.;
Heiblum, R. H.; Altaratz, O.; Koren, I.; Feingold, G.; Kostinski, A. B.; Khain, A. P.; Ovchinnikov, M.; Fredj, E.; Dagan, G.; Pinto, L.; Yaish, R.; Chen, Q.;
Published Date:
2016
Source:
Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres, 121(11), 6336-6355.
Description:
We study the evolution of warm convective cloud fields using large eddy simulations of continental and trade cumulus. Individual clouds are tracked a posteriori from formation to dissipation using a 3-D cloud-tracking algorithm, and results are prese...
Diallo, M.; Legras, B.; Ray, E.; Engel, A.; Anel, J. A.;
Published Date:
2017
Source:
Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 17(6), 3861-3878.
Description:
In this study, we construct a new monthly zonal mean carbon dioxide (CO2) distribution from the upper troposphere to the stratosphere over the 2000-2010 time period. This reconstructed CO2 product is based on a Lagrangian backward trajectory model dr...
Kuang, S.; Newchurch, M. J.; Thompson, A. M.; Stauffer, R. M.; Johnson, B. J.; Wang, L. H.;
Published Date:
2017
Source:
Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres, 122(20), 11227-11241.
Description:
Tropospheric ozone variability occurs because of multiple forcing factors including surface emission of ozone precursors, stratosphere-to-troposphere transport (STT), and meteorological conditions. Analyses of ozonesonde observations made in Huntsvil...