Assessment of the Eastern Gulf of Mexico Harmful Algal Bloom Operational Forecast System (GOMX HAB-OFS) : a comparative analysis of forecast skill and utilization from October 1, 2004 to April 30, 2008

Kavanaugh, Karen E.; Derner, Katherine; Fisher, Kathleen M.; David, Edward (Edward Patrick); Urizar, Cristina; Merlini, Robert

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Assessment of the Eastern Gulf of Mexico Harmful Algal Bloom Operational Forecast System (GOMX HAB-OFS) : a comparative analysis of forecast skill and utilization from October 1, 2004 to April 30, 2008

2013
By Kavanaugh, Karen E. ; Derner, Katherine ; Fisher, Kathleen M. ; ...
Series: NOAA technical report NOS CO-OPS ; 66

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Personal Author:

Kavanaugh, Karen E. ; Derner, Katherine ; Fisher, Kathleen M. ; David, Edward (Edward Patrick) ; Urizar, Cristina ; ... More +

Kavanaugh, Karen E. ; Derner, Katherine ; Fisher, Kathleen M. ; David, Edward (Edward Patrick) ; Urizar, Cristina ; Merlini, Robert Less -
Corporate Authors:

Center for Operational Oceanographic Products and Services (U.S.)
NOAA Program & Office:

NOS (National Ocean Service) ; CO-OPS (Center for Operational Oceanographic Products & Services)

NOS (National Ocean Service) ; CO-OPS (Center for Operational Oceanographic Products & Services) Less -
Description:

"This report provides an evaluation of the HAB-OFS products issued for Florida during the bloom years from May 1, 2005 to April 30, 2008, with a re-analysis of previously published data for October 1, 2004 to April 30, 2005 to allow comparison across all years (Fisher, et al., 2006). A bloom year (BY) refers to the time period from May 1, YYYY to April 30, YYYY, where BY2005-2006 spans the period from May 1, 2005 to April 30, 2006 and so on. This time period was selected to capture the typical initiation and termination period of K. brevis blooms in the Gulf of Mexico enabling interannual comparisons. The analysis includes an assessment of bulletin utilization, early warning capability and forecast quality (i.e. accuracy, reliability and skill). The results of this assessment will be used to guide enhancements to the operational forecast system with the goals of improving forecast quality through increased scientific understanding and the refinement of forecast models. Some of the recommendations may also be applicable to the HAB-OFS in the Western Gulf of Mexico (Texas), which was transitioned to operations in 2010"--Objective (page 2).
Content Notes:

Karen E. Kavanaugh, Katherine Derner, Kathleen M. Fisher, Edward Davis, Cristina Uriza, Robert Merlini.

"July 2013."

System requirements: Adobe Acrobat Reader.

Includes bibliographical references (pages 73-74).
Keywords:

[+]

Algal Blooms Algal Populations Evaluation Forecasting
Series:

NOAA technical report NOS CO-OPS ; 66
Document Type:

Technical Report
Place as Subject:

Florida ; Gulf Coast

Florida ; Gulf Coast Less -
Rights Information:

Public Domain
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urn:sha256:c8bed441f91541de983dbe4d8fd6d20527a9b3407b06a272ec99462928d9dd04
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https://repository.library.noaa.gov/view/noaa/14750/noaa_14750_DS1.pdf
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Assessment of the Eastern Gulf of Mexico Harmful Algal Bloom Operational Forecast System (GOMX HAB-OFS) : a comparative analysis of forecast skill and utilization from October 1, 2004 to April 30, 2008

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