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National Weather Service (NWS) National Weather Service (NWS)
National Weather Service (NWS)

This collection contains reports and materials published by the National Weather Service and NWS researchers. Included are technical reports and memorandums, as well as special publications and some video covering a variety of topics such as climate science, space weather, the atmosphere and meteorology.

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    Assessing the benefit of variational quality control for assimilating Aeolus Mie and Rayleigh wind profiles in NOAA's global forecast system during tropical cyclones
    Cite
    Filetype[PDF - 26.61 MB]
    Personal Author:
    Apodaca, Karina ;
    Cucurull, Lidia
    ...
    2023 | Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 149(756), 2761-2783
    Description:
    In this article, we show a “proof‐of‐concept” study to assess the utility of a variational quality control algorithm in increasing the number ...
    File Type:
    Filetype[PDF - 26.61 MB]
    File Type:
    Filetype[PDF - 26.61 MB]
    Forecast Applications of GLM Gridded Products: A Data Fusion Perspective
    Cite
    Filetype[PDF - 5.31 MB]
    Personal Author:
    Thiel, Kevin C. ;
    Calhoun, Kristin M.
    ...
    2023 | Weather and Forecasting, 38(11), 2253-2270
    Description:
    The recently deployed GOES-R series Geostationary Lightning Mapper (GLM) provides forecasters with a new, rapidly updating lightning data source to di...
    File Type:
    Filetype[PDF - 5.31 MB]
    File Type:
    Filetype[PDF - 5.31 MB]
    Interpreting Warn-on-Forecast System Guidance, Part I: Review of Probabilistic Guidance Concepts, Product Design, and Best Practices
    Cite
    Filetype[PDF - 1.90 MB]
    Personal Author:
    Skinner, Patrick S. ;
    Wilson, Katie A.
    ...
    2023 | Journal of Operational Meteorology (2023)
    Description:
    The Warn-on-Forecast System (WoFS) is a convection-allowing ensemble prediction system designed to primarily provide guidance on thunderstorm hazards ...
    File Type:
    Filetype[PDF - 1.90 MB]
    File Type:
    Filetype[PDF - 1.90 MB]
    A modified vertical eddy diffusivity parameterization in the HWRF model based on large eddy simulations and its impact on the prediction of two landfalling hurricanes
    Cite
    Filetype[PDF - 6.15 MB]
    Personal Author:
    Li, Xin ;
    Pu, Zhaoxia
    ...
    2023 | Frontiers in Earth Science, 11
    Description:
    Vertical eddy diffusivity (VED) in the planetary boundary layer (PBL) has a significant impact on forecasts of tropical cyclone (TC) structure and int...
    File Type:
    Filetype[PDF - 6.15 MB]
    File Type:
    Filetype[PDF - 6.15 MB]
    Warn-on-Forecast System: From Vision to Reality
    Cite
    Filetype[PDF - 6.54 MB]
    Personal Author:
    Heinselman, Pamela L. ;
    Burke, Patrick C.
    ...
    2024 | Weather and Forecasting, 39(1), 75-95
    Description:
    In 2009, advancements in NWP and computing power inspired a vision to advance hazardous weather warnings from a warn-on-detection to a warn-on-forecas...
    File Type:
    Filetype[PDF - 6.54 MB]
    File Type:
    Filetype[PDF - 6.54 MB]
    Long‐Term Bias Stability of the GOES‐NOP Magnetometers
    Cite
    Filetype[PDF - 12.80 MB]
    Personal Author:
    Califf, S. ;
    Rich, F. J.
    ...
    2023 | Earth and Space Science, 10(11)
    Description:
    We characterize the long‐term bias stability of the GOES‐NOP series magnetometers (GOES‐13, 14, and 15) using data from 2013 through 2018. Bias ...
    File Type:
    Filetype[PDF - 12.80 MB]
    File Type:
    Filetype[PDF - 12.80 MB]
    Azimuthal Distribution of Deep Convection, Environmental Factors, and Tropical Cyclone Rapid Intensification: A Perspective from HWRF Ensemble Forecasts of Hurricane Edouard (2014)
    Cite
    Filetype[PDF - 5.14 MB]
    Personal Author:
    Leighton, Hua ;
    Gopalakrishnan, Sundararaman
    ...
    2018 | Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 75(1), 275-295.
    Description:
    Forecasts from the operational Hurricane Weather Research and Forecasting (HWRF)-based ensemble prediction system for Hurricane Edouard (2014) are ana...
    File Type:
    Filetype[PDF - 5.14 MB]
    File Type:
    Filetype[PDF - 5.14 MB]
    Using K DP Cores as a Downburst Precursor Signature
    Cite
    Filetype[PDF - 3.39 MB]
    Personal Author:
    Kuster, Charles M. ;
    Bowers, Barry R.
    ...
    2021 | Weather and Forecasting, 36(4), 1183-1198
    Description:
    Decades of research have investigated processes that contribute to downburst development, as well as identified precursor radar signatures that can ac...
    File Type:
    Filetype[PDF - 3.39 MB]
    File Type:
    Filetype[PDF - 3.39 MB]
    Intensified dust storm activity and Valley fever infection in the southwestern United States
    Cite
    Filetype[PDF - 645.56 KB]
    Personal Author:
    Tong, Daniel Q. ;
    Wang, Julian X. L.
    ...
    2017 | Geophysical Research Letters 44(9), 4304-4312, 2017
    Description:
    Climate models have consistently projected a drying trend in the southwestern United States, aiding speculation of increasing dust storms in this regi...
    File Type:
    Filetype[PDF - 645.56 KB]
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    Filetype[PDF - 645.56 KB]
    The Role of Eyewall Turbulent Transport in the Pathway to Intensification of Tropical Cyclones
    Cite
    Filetype[PDF - 4.28 MB]
    Personal Author:
    Zhu, Ping ;
    Hazelton, Andrew
    ...
    2021 | Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 126(17)
    Description:
    In a tropical cyclone (TC), turbulence not only exists in the planetary boundary layer (PBL) but also can be generated above the PBL by the cloud proc...
    File Type:
    Filetype[PDF - 4.28 MB]
    File Type:
    Filetype[PDF - 4.28 MB]
    PMEL Ocean Climate Stations as Reference Time Series and Research Aggregate Devices
    Cite
    Filetype[PDF - 3.20 MB]
    Personal Author:
    Feely, Richard ;
    Jiang, Li-Qing
    ...
    2023 | PMEL contribution; no. 5482
    Description:
    The chemistry of the global ocean is rapidly changing due to the uptake of anthropogenic carbon dioxide (CO2). This process, commonly referred to as o...
    File Type:
    Filetype[PDF - 3.20 MB]
    File Type:
    Filetype[PDF - 3.20 MB]
    A Hyperactive End to the Atlantic Hurricane Season: October–November 2020
    Cite
    Filetype[PDF - 5.23 MB]
    Personal Author:
    Klotzbach, Philip J. ;
    Wood, Kimberly M.
    ...
    2022 | Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 103(1), E110-E128
    Description:
    The active 2020 Atlantic hurricane season produced 30 named storms, 14 hurricanes, and 7 major hurricanes (category 3+ on the Saffir–Simpson hurrica...
    File Type:
    Filetype[PDF - 5.23 MB]
    File Type:
    Filetype[PDF - 5.23 MB]
    Quasi-Operational Testing of Real-Time Storm-Longevity Prediction via Machine Learning
    Cite
    Filetype[PDF - 2.30 MB]
    Personal Author:
    McGovern, Amy ;
    Karstens, Christopher D.
    ...
    2019 | Weather and Forecasting, 34(5), 1437-1451
    Description:
    Real-time prediction of storm longevity is a critical challenge for National Weather Service (NWS) forecasters. These predictions can guide forecaster...
    File Type:
    Filetype[PDF - 2.30 MB]
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    Filetype[PDF - 2.30 MB]
    The 30 December 2021 Colorado Front Range windstorm and Marshall Fire: Evolution of surface and 3-d structure, NWP guidance, NWS forecasts and decision support
    Cite
    Filetype[PDF - 20.27 MB]
    Personal Author:
    Benjamin, Stanley G. ;
    James, Eric P.
    ...
    2023 | Weather and Forecasting (2023)
    Description:
    The Marshall Fire on 30 December 2021 became the most destructive wildfire cost-wise in Colorado history as it evolved into a suburban firestorm in so...
    File Type:
    Filetype[PDF - 20.27 MB]
    File Type:
    Filetype[PDF - 20.27 MB]
    Generalization of Runoff Risk Prediction at Field Scales to a Continental‐Scale Region Using Cluster Analysis and Hybrid Modeling
    Cite
    Filetype[PDF - 2.50 MB]
    Personal Author:
    Ford, Chanse M. ;
    Hu, Yao
    ...
    2022 | Geophysical Research Letters, 49(17)
    Description:
    As surface water resources in the U.S. continue to be pressured by excess nutrients carried by agricultural runoff, the need to assess runoff risk at ...
    File Type:
    Filetype[PDF - 2.50 MB]
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    Filetype[PDF - 2.50 MB]
    Sensitivities of Subseasonal Unified Forecast System Simulations to Changes in Parameterizations of Convection, Cloud Microphysics, and Planetary Boundary Layer
    Cite
    Filetype[PDF - 4.59 MB]
    Personal Author:
    Green, Benjamin W. ;
    Sinsky, Eric
    ...
    2023 | Monthly Weather Review, 151(9), 2279-2294
    Description:
    NOAA has been developing a fully coupled Earth system model under the Unified Forecast System framework that will be responsible for global (ensemble)...
    File Type:
    Filetype[PDF - 4.59 MB]
    File Type:
    Filetype[PDF - 4.59 MB]
    Regional and Seasonal Biases in Convection-Allowing Model Forecasts of Near-Surface Temperature and Moisture
    Cite
    Filetype[PDF - 30.51 MB]
    Personal Author:
    Wade, Andrew R. ;
    Jirak, Israel L.
    ...
    2023 | Weather and Forecasting (2023)
    Description:
    This study investigates regional, seasonal biases in convection-allowing model forecasts of near-surface temperature and dewpoint in areas of particul...
    File Type:
    Filetype[PDF - 30.51 MB]
    File Type:
    Filetype[PDF - 30.51 MB]
    ProxyVis – a Proxy for Nighttime Visible Imagery Applicable to Geostationary Satellite Observations
    Cite
    Filetype[PDF - 15.85 MB]
    Personal Author:
    Chirokova, Galina ;
    Knaff, John A.
    ...
    2023 | Weather and Forecasting (2023)
    Description:
    Visible satellite imagery is widely used by operational weather forecast centers for tropical and extratropical cyclone analysis and marine forecastin...
    File Type:
    Filetype[PDF - 15.85 MB]
    File Type:
    Filetype[PDF - 15.85 MB]
    Deterministic Rapid Intensity Forecast Guidance for the Joint Typhoon Warning Center’s Area of Responsibility
    Cite
    Filetype[PDF - 5.99 MB]
    Personal Author:
    Sampson, C. R. ;
    Knaff, J. A.
    ...
    2023 | Weather and Forecasting (2023)
    Description:
    Intensity consensus forecasts can provide skillful overall guidance for intensity forecasting at the Joint Typhoon Warning Center as they provide amon...
    File Type:
    Filetype[PDF - 5.99 MB]
    File Type:
    Filetype[PDF - 5.99 MB]
    Evaluation of the Four-Dimensional Ensemble-Variational Hybrid Data Assimilation with Self-Consistent Regional Background Error Covariance for Improved Hurricane Intensity Forecasts
    Cite
    Filetype[PDF - 4.46 MB]
    Personal Author:
    Zhang, S. ;
    Pu, Z.
    2020 | Atmosphere. 11(9):1007
    Description:
    The feasibility of a hurricane initialization framework based on the Gridpoint Statistical Interpolation (GSI)-based four-dimensional ensemble-variati...
    File Type:
    Filetype[PDF - 4.46 MB]
    File Type:
    Filetype[PDF - 4.46 MB]
    NOAA Arctic Report Card 2023 : Permafrost Beneath Arctic Ocean Margins
    Cite
    Filetype[PDF - 2.04 MB]
    Personal Author:
    Overduin, P. P. ;
    Portnov, A.
    ...
    2023 | NOAA technical report OAR ARC ; 23-10
    Description:
    Even among scientists, it is not widely known that sediment beneath many continental shelves surrounding the Arctic Ocean is frozen. In areas that wer...
    File Type:
    Filetype[PDF - 2.04 MB]
    File Type:
    Filetype[PDF - 2.04 MB]
    On the Use of Consistent Bias Corrections to Enhance the Impact of Aeolus Level‐2B Rayleigh Winds on NOAA Global Forecast Skill
    Cite
    Filetype[PDF - 21.60 MB]
    Personal Author:
    Liu, Hui ;
    Garrett, Kevin
    ...
    2023 | Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society (2023)
    Description:
    The operational Aeolus Level‐2B (L2B) Horizontal Line‐of‐Sight (HLOS) retrieved Rayleigh winds, produced by the European Space Agency (ESA), uti...
    File Type:
    Filetype[PDF - 21.60 MB]
    File Type:
    Filetype[PDF - 21.60 MB]
    Supporting Advancement in Weather and Water Prediction in the Upper Colorado River Basin: The SPLASH Campaign
    Cite
    Filetype[PDF - 3.41 MB]
    Personal Author:
    Boer, Gijs de ;
    White, Allen
    ...
    2023 | Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society (2023)
    Description:
    Water is a critical resource that causes significant challenges to inhabitants of the western United States. These challenges are likely to intensify ...
    File Type:
    Filetype[PDF - 3.41 MB]
    File Type:
    Filetype[PDF - 3.41 MB]
    A machine learning approach to evaluate the spatial variability of New York City's 311 street flooding complaints
    Cite
    Filetype[PDF - 1.75 MB]
    Personal Author:
    Agonafir, Candace ;
    Lakhankar, Tarendra
    ...
    2022 | Computers, Environment and Urban Systems, 97, 101854
    Description:
    Urbanization, accompanied by the creation of roads, pavements, and sidewalks creates an environment where there is limited infiltration capacity, leav...
    File Type:
    Filetype[PDF - 1.75 MB]
    File Type:
    Filetype[PDF - 1.75 MB]
    Evaluation of Aerosol Optical Depth Forecasts from NOAA’s Global Aerosol Forecast Model (GEFS-Aerosols)
    Cite
    Filetype[PDF - 83.96 MB]
    Personal Author:
    Bhattacharjee, Partha S. ;
    Zhang, Li
    ...
    2023 | Weather and Forecasting, 38(2), 225-249
    Description:
    The NWS/NCEP recently implemented a new global deterministic aerosol forecast model named the Global Ensemble Forecast Systems Aerosols (GEFS-Aerosols...
    File Type:
    Filetype[PDF - 83.96 MB]
    File Type:
    Filetype[PDF - 83.96 MB]
    Coherent Turbulence in the Boundary Layer of Hurricane Rita (2005) during an Eyewall Replacement Cycle
    Cite
    Filetype[PDF - 4.65 MB]
    Personal Author:
    Guimond, Stephen R. ;
    Zhang, Jun A.
    ...
    2018 | Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 75(9), 3071-3093.
    No Description
    File Type:
    Filetype[PDF - 4.65 MB]
    File Type:
    Filetype[PDF - 4.65 MB]
    Enhancing Air Quality Forecasts Across the Contiguous United States (CONUS) During Wildfires Using Analog-Based Post-Processing Methods
    Cite
    Filetype[PDF - 12.52 MB]
    Personal Author:
    Golbazi, Maryam ;
    Alessandrini, Stefano
    ...
    2024 | Atmospheric Environment, 316, 120165
    Description:
    With our growing understanding of the risks of air pollution to human health, air quality forecasting has become a very important tool to enable decis...
    File Type:
    Filetype[PDF - 12.52 MB]
    File Type:
    Filetype[PDF - 12.52 MB]
    S2S Prediction in GFDL SPEAR: MJO Diversity and Teleconnections
    Cite
    Filetype[PDF - 11.94 MB]
    Personal Author:
    Xiang, Baoqiang ;
    Harris, Lucas
    ...
    2021 | Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 103(2), E463–E484
    Description:
    A subseasonal-to-seasonal (S2S) prediction system was recently developed using the GFDL SPEAR global coupled model. Based on 20-year hindcast results ...
    File Type:
    Filetype[PDF - 11.94 MB]
    File Type:
    Filetype[PDF - 11.94 MB]
    A Multi-Scale, Hydro-Meteorological Forecast Evaluation of National Water Model Forecasts of the May 2018 Ellicott City, MD Flood
    Cite
    Filetype[PDF - 6.80 MB]
    Personal Author:
    Viterbo, Francesca ;
    Mahoney, Kelly
    ...
    2020 | J. Hydrometeor. (2020) 21 (3): 475–499
    Description:
    The NOAA National Water Model (NWM) became operational in August 2016, producing the first ever real-time, distributed, continuous set of hydrologic f...
    File Type:
    Filetype[PDF - 6.80 MB]
    File Type:
    Filetype[PDF - 6.80 MB]
    Description and Results from UFS Coupled Prototypes for Future Global, Ensemble and Seasonal Forecasts at NCEP
    Cite
    Filetype[PDF - 29.31 MB]
    Personal Author:
    Stefanova, Lydia ;
    Meixner, Jessica
    ...
    2022 | Office note (National Centers for Environmental Prediction (U.S.)) ; 510
    Description:
    NOAA’s Unified Forecast System (UFS) is a community-based modeling system developed to provide a common framework for all NCEP Production Suite oper...
    File Type:
    Filetype[PDF - 29.31 MB]
    File Type:
    Filetype[PDF - 29.31 MB]
    Current and Emerging Developments in Subseasonal to Decadal Prediction
    Cite
    Filetype[PDF - 7.17 MB]
    Personal Author:
    Merryfield, William J. ;
    Baehr, Johanna
    ...
    2020 | Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 101(6)
    Description:
    Weather and climate variations on subseasonal to decadal time scales can have enormous social, economic, and environmental impacts, making skillful pr...
    File Type:
    Filetype[PDF - 7.17 MB]
    File Type:
    Filetype[PDF - 7.17 MB]
    Updating and Evaluating Anthropogenic Emissions for NOAA’s Global Ensemble Forecast Systems for Aerosols (GEFS-Aerosols): Application of an SO2 Bias-Scaling Method
    Cite
    Filetype[PDF - 13.35 MB]
    Personal Author:
    Jeong, Gill-Ran ;
    Baker, Barry
    ...
    2023 | Atmosphere, 14(2), 234
    Description:
    We updated the anthropogenic emissions inventory in NOAA’s operational Global Ensemble Forecast for Aerosols (GEFS-Aerosols) to improve the model’...
    File Type:
    Filetype[PDF - 13.35 MB]
    File Type:
    Filetype[PDF - 13.35 MB]
    The implementation of NEMS GFS Aerosol Component (NGAC) Version 2.0 for global multispecies forecasting at NOAA/NCEP - Part 1: Model descriptions
    Cite
    Filetype[PDF - 2.62 MB]
    Personal Author:
    Wang, Jun ;
    Bhattacharjee, Partha S.
    ...
    2018 | Geoscientific Model Development, 11(6), 2315-2332.
    Description:
    The NEMS GFS Aerosol Component Version 2.0 (NGACv2) for global multispecies aerosol forecast has been developed at the National Centers of Environment...
    File Type:
    Filetype[PDF - 2.62 MB]
    File Type:
    Filetype[PDF - 2.62 MB]
    OceanGliders: A Component of the Integrated GOOS
    Cite
    Filetype[PDF - 6.09 MB]
    Personal Author:
    Testor, Pierre ;
    de Young, Brad
    ...
    2019 | Frontiers in Marine Science, 6(422).
    Description:
    The OceanGliders program started in 2016 to support active coordination and enhancement of global glider activity. OceanGliders contributes to the int...
    File Type:
    Filetype[PDF - 6.09 MB]
    File Type:
    Filetype[PDF - 6.09 MB]
    Evaluation of global ocean-sea-ice model simulations based on the experimental protocols of the Ocean Model Intercomparison Project phase 2 (OMIP-2)
    Cite
    Filetype[PDF - 16.91 MB]
    Personal Author:
    Tsujino, Hiroyuki ;
    Urakawa, L. Shogo
    ...
    2020 | Geosci. Model Dev., 13, 3643–3708, 2020 https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-13-3643-2020
    Description:
    We present a new framework for global oceansea-ice model simulations based on phase 2 of the Ocean Model Intercomparison Project (OMIP-2), making use ...
    File Type:
    Filetype[PDF - 16.91 MB]
    File Type:
    Filetype[PDF - 16.91 MB]
    Evaluation of the ocean component on different coupled hurricane forecasting models using upper-ocean metrics relevant to air-sea heat fluxes during Hurricane Dorian (2019)
    Cite
    Filetype[PDF - 83.89 MB]
    Personal Author:
    Aristizábal Vargas, Maria F. ;
    Kim, Hyun-Sook
    ...
    2024 | Frontiers in Earth Science, 12
    Description:
    In August 2019 Hurricane Dorian traveled through the Caribbean Sea and Tropical Atlantic before devastating the Bahamas. The operational hurricane for...
    File Type:
    Filetype[PDF - 83.89 MB]
    File Type:
    Filetype[PDF - 83.89 MB]
    Diurnal warming rectification in the tropical Pacific linked to sea surface temperature front
    Cite
    Filetype[PDF - 11.31 MB]
    Personal Author:
    Cronin, Meghan F. ;
    Zhang, Dongxiao
    ...
    2024 | Nature Geoscience, 17(4), 316-322
    Description:
    Sharp and rapid changes in the sea surface temperature (SST) associated with fronts and the diurnal cycle can drive changes in the atmospheric boundar...
    File Type:
    Filetype[PDF - 11.31 MB]
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    Filetype[PDF - 11.31 MB]
    Evaluation and bias correction of probabilistic volcanic ash forecasts
    Cite
    Filetype[PDF - 6.03 MB]
    Personal Author:
    Crawford, Alice ;
    Chai, Tianfeng
    ...
    2022 | Atmos. Chem. Phys., 22(21), 13967–13996
    Description:
    Satellite retrievals of column mass loading of volcanic ash are incorporated into the HYSPLIT transport and dispersion modeling system for source dete...
    File Type:
    Filetype[PDF - 6.03 MB]
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    Filetype[PDF - 6.03 MB]
    Development of coupled hydrologic-hydrodynamic-wave flood forecasting system for Lake Champlain
    Cite
    Filetype[PDF - 9.12 MB]
    Personal Author:
    Beletsky, D. ;
    Titze, D.
    ...
    2022 | NOAA technical memorandum GLERL ; 179
    Description:
    Lake Champlain is a binational lake bordered by New York on the west side, Vermont on the east side, and Quebec in the north. In recent years, severe ...
    File Type:
    Filetype[PDF - 9.12 MB]
    File Type:
    Filetype[PDF - 9.12 MB]
    Risk Reduction Sub-Group Models Model Evaluation Report
    Cite
    Filetype[PDF - 595.01 KB]
    Personal Author:
    Huang, Maoyi ;
    Arcas, Diego
    ...
    2022 | NOAA technical memorandum NOS ; 33
    Description:
    Coastal areas are especially vulnerable to hazards, now and in the future, posed by waves, tsunamis and surges associated with sea level rise and coas...
    File Type:
    Filetype[PDF - 595.01 KB]
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    Filetype[PDF - 595.01 KB]
    Community Global Observing System Simulation Experiment (OSSE) Package (CGOP): Description and Usage
    Cite
    Filetype[PDF - 1.58 MB]
    Personal Author:
    Boukabara, Sid-Ahmed ;
    Moradi, Isaac
    ...
    2016 | Journal of Atmospheric and Oceanic Technology, 33(8), 1759-1777.
    Description:
    A modular extensible framework for conducting observing system simulation experiments (OSSEs) has been developed with the goals of 1) supporting decis...
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    Filetype[PDF - 1.58 MB]
    File Type:
    Filetype[PDF - 1.58 MB]
    Progress in Forecast Skill at Three Leading Global Operational NWP Centers during 2015-17 as Seen in Summary Assessment Metrics (SAMs)
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    Filetype[PDF - 1.61 MB]
    Personal Author:
    Hoffman, Ross N. ;
    Kumar, V. Krishna
    ...
    2018 | Weather and Forecasting, 33(6), 1661-1679.
    No Description
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    Filetype[PDF - 1.61 MB]
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    Filetype[PDF - 1.61 MB]
    Leveraging Modern Artificial Intelligence for Remote Sensing and NWP: Benefits and Challenges
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    Filetype[PDF - 3.04 MB]
    Personal Author:
    Boukabara, Sid-Ahmed ;
    Krasnopolsky, Vladimir
    ...
    2019 | Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc. (2019) 100 (12): ES473–ES491.
    Description:
    Artificial intelligence (AI) techniques have had significant recent successes in multiple fields. These fields and the fields of satellite remote sens...
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    Filetype[PDF - 3.04 MB]
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    Filetype[PDF - 3.04 MB]
    Inland lake temperature initialization via coupled cycling with atmospheric data assimilation
    Cite
    Filetype[PDF - 2.76 MB]
    Personal Author:
    Benjamin, Stanley G. ;
    Smirnova, Tatiana G.
    ...
    2022 | Geoscientific Model Development, 15(17), 6659-6676
    Description:
    Application of lake models coupled within earth-system prediction models, especially for predictions from days to weeks, requires accurate initializat...
    File Type:
    Filetype[PDF - 2.76 MB]
    File Type:
    Filetype[PDF - 2.76 MB]
    Global Climate [in "State of the Climate in 2020"]
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    Filetype[PDF - 50.09 MB]
    Personal Author:
    Dunn, Robert J. H. ;
    Aldred, F.
    ...
    2021 | Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 102(8), S11-S142
    Description:
    As we show in this chapter, the climate has continued to respond to the resulting warming from these increases in CO2 and other greenhouse gases such ...
    File Type:
    Filetype[PDF - 50.09 MB]
    File Type:
    Filetype[PDF - 50.09 MB]
    S4: An O2R/R20 Infrastructure for Optimizing Satellite Data Utilization in NOAA Numerical Modeling Systems A Step Toward Bridging the Gap between Research and Operations
    Cite
    Filetype[PDF - 1.97 MB]
    Personal Author:
    Boukabara, Sid A. ;
    Zhu, Tong
    ...
    2016 | Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 97(12), 2359-+.
    Description:
    In 2011, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) began a cooperative initiative with the academic community to help address a vexin...
    File Type:
    Filetype[PDF - 1.97 MB]
    File Type:
    Filetype[PDF - 1.97 MB]
    NAQFC Developmental Forecast Guidance for Fine Particulate Matter (PM2.5)
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    Filetype[PDF - 1.80 MB]
    Personal Author:
    Lee, Pius ;
    McQueen, Jeffery
    ...
    2017 | Weather and Forecasting, 32(1), 343-360
    Description:
    The National Air Quality Forecasting Capability (NAQFC) upgraded its modeling system that provides developmental numerical predictions of particulate ...
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    Filetype[PDF - 1.80 MB]
    File Type:
    Filetype[PDF - 1.80 MB]
    Lagrangian Data Assimilation of Surface Drifters in a Double-Gyre Ocean Model Using the Local Ensemble Transform Kalman Filter
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    Filetype[PDF - 1.89 MB]
    Personal Author:
    Sun, Luyu ;
    Penny, Stephen G.
    2019 | Mon. Wea. Rev. (2019) 147 (12): 4533–4551
    Description:
    The assimilation of position data from Lagrangian observing platforms is underdeveloped in operational applications because of two main challenges: 1)...
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    Filetype[PDF - 1.89 MB]
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    Filetype[PDF - 1.89 MB]
    Tropical Convection in the Caribbean and Surrounding Region during a Regional, Warming Sea-Surface Temperature Period, 1982–2020
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    Filetype[PDF - 4.38 MB]
    Personal Author:
    Glenn, Equisha ;
    Smith, Thomas M.
    ...
    2021 | Hydrology, 8(2)
    Description:
    Warming sea-surface temperatures (SSTs) have implications for the climate-sensitive Caribbean region, including potential impacts on precipitation. SS...
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    Filetype[PDF - 4.38 MB]
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    Filetype[PDF - 4.38 MB]
    JEDI‐Based Three‐Dimensional Ensemble‐Variational Data Assimilation System for Global Aerosol Forecasting at NCEP
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    Filetype[PDF - 3.38 MB]
    Personal Author:
    Huang, Bo ;
    Pagowski, Mariusz
    ...
    2023 | Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 15(4)
    Description:
    A three-dimensional ensemble-variational global aerosol data assimilation system based on the Joint Effort for Data assimilation Integration (JEDI) wa...
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    Filetype[PDF - 3.38 MB]
    File Type:
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