A Climatology of the conditional probability of significant severe hazards and its operational implications

Details

• Personal Author:
  Harrison, David, R. ; Jirak, Israel L. ; Marsh, Patrick T.
• Corporate Authors:
  Cooperative Institute for Severe and High-Impact Weather Research and Operations. ; Storm Prediction Center (U.S.) ; University of Oklahoma.
• NOAA Program & Office:
  CIWRO (Cooperative Institute for Severe and High-Impact Weather Research and Operations) ; NWS (National Weather Service) ; SPC (Storm Prediction Center) ; OAR (Oceanic and Atmospheric Research)
• Description:
  The NOAA/NWS/Storm Prediction Center's (SPC) Day 1-3 Convective Outlooks depict the unconditional probability that tornadoes, severe hail, or severe convective wind will be observed within 25 miles of a location during the valid forecast period.
• Keywords:
  • Storm Prediction Center
  • Conditional intensity
  • Outlook
  • Forecast
  • Climatology
  • Severe weather
• DOI:
  https://doi.org/10.25923/cckr-7v25
• Format:
  pdf
• Document Type:
  Non-series Report
• Funding:
  Grant no. NA21OAR4320204
• License:
  https://creativecommons.org/publicdomain/zero/1.0/
• Rights Information:
  CC0 Public Domain
• Compliance:
  Submitted
• Download URL:
  https://repository.library.noaa.gov/view/noaa/76799/noaa_76799_DS1.pdf
• File Type:
  [PDF - 988.65 KB]
• Collection(s):
  Office of Oceanic and Atmospheric Research (OAR) ; NOAA Cooperative Institutes ; National Weather Service (NWS)
• Main Document Checksum:
  urn:sha-512:9637ded88f394024baee8781b8d4d6f935dd11e9087c819481db7e45e2510f891b9fe85c1a9fbcbf5286a9a309968911a62ede41db6a219507545c9dd8923363