Long range sea ice drift model verification

Grumbine, Robert

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Long range sea ice drift model verification

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Personal Author:

Grumbine, Robert
Corporate Authors:

National Centers for Environmental Prediction (U.S.) ; Environmental Modeling Center (U.S.)
NOAA Program & Office:

NWS (National Weather Service) ; EMC (Environmental Modelling Center) ; NCEP (National Centers for Environmental Prediction)
Description:

Integrated sea ice drift is predictable to about 16 days in the Arctic. This surprising result is an extension from Grumbine (1998), where there was no apparent decline of skill through the 6 days forecast lead at that time. Forecasts from 1998 to 2007 provide a further test of that, and a continued search for good measures of model skill. Index of Agreement, used in Grumbine (1998), turns out to be a poor skill measure for sea ice drift.
Keywords:
Series:

Technical note ; 315
Format:

pdf
Document Type:

Technical Note
License:

https://creativecommons.org/publicdomain/zero/1.0/
Rights Information:

CC0 Public Domain
Compliance:

Submitted
Download URL:

https://repository.library.noaa.gov/view/noaa/73438/noaa_73438_DS1.pdf
File Type:

[PDF - 152.65 KB]
Collection(s):

National Weather Service (NWS)
Main Document Checksum:

urn:sha-512:964fa4c12dd0516a3bf2dbd0219c4ed0b32009e6aa5782b02cf15cbb5df3539b43d0c558dd9dd3854ba27c37a7a8fb9c075d8b06adee0ada7cdca60255a17f55

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