Some Characteristics of the MOS POP System in the WSFO Washington D.C. Forecast Area for the Cool Season

Details

• Personal Author:
  Bocchieri, Joseph R.
• Corporate Authors:
  United States. National Weather Service. Eastern Region
• NOAA Program & Office:
  NWS (National Weather Service) ; ER (Eastern Region)
• Description:
  Model Output Statistics (MOS) forecasts of the Probability of Precipitation (POP) are currently provided twice daily based on the Limited-area Fine Mesh (LFM) model (National Weather Service, 1980). The regional approach was used to develop the POP equations. In the regional approach data are combined from a number of stations within a region to develop regression equations for that region. This approach helps to minimize the deterioration of forecast accuracy on independent data samples and is used when the size of the sample will not support the development of equations for each station.
• Keywords:
  Equations Precipitation Forecasting Weather Forecasting Precipitation Forecasting Weather Forecasting
• Series:
  Eastern Region technical attachment (National Weather Service (U.S.))   85-11
• Format:
  pdf
• Document Type:
  Technical Attachment
• Place as Subject:
  Washington (D.C.)
• License:
  https://creativecommons.org/publicdomain/zero/1.0/
• Rights Information:
  CC0 Public Domain
• Compliance:
  Submitted
• Main Document Checksum:
  urn:sha-512:5f766bed5ea306e7eede7edeafe702875453d7eaffee716c4f0a8225171bc5ad0ad386c36bfcc5f21f37575a8a47e005a589b17131017786870b8a0b2713004d
• Download URL:
  https://repository.library.noaa.gov/view/noaa/70397/noaa_70397_DS1.pdf
• File Type:
  [PDF - 6.92 MB ]