Percentile indices for assessing changes in heavy precipitation events

Details

• Journal Title:
  Climatic Change
• Personal Author:
  Schär, Christoph ; Ban, Nikolina ; Fischer, Erich M. ; Rajczak, Jan ; Schmidli, Jürg ; Frei, Christoph ; Giorgi, Filippo ; Karl, Thomas R. ; Kendon, Elizabeth J. ; Tank, Albert M. G. Klein ; O’Gorman, Paul A. ; Sillmann, Jana ; Zhang, Xuebin ; Zwiers, Francis W.
• NOAA Program & Office:
  NCEI (National Centers for Environmental Information) ; NESDIS (National Environmental Satellite, Data, and Information Service)
• Description:
  Many climate studies assess trends and projections in heavy precipitation events using precipitation percentile (or quantile) indices. Here we investigate three different percentile indices that are commonly used. We demonstrate that these may produce very different results and thus require great care with interpretation. More specifically, consideration is given to two intensity-based indices and one frequency-based index, namely (a) all-day percentiles, (b) wet-day percentiles, and (c) frequency indices based on the exceedance of a percentile threshold.
• Keywords:
  Atmospheric Science Global And Planetary Change Global And Planetary Change Global And Planetary Change
• Source:
  Climatic Change, 137(1-2), 201-216
• DOI:
  https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-016-1669-2
• ISSN:
  0165-0009 ; 1573-1480
• Format:
  PDF
• Publisher:
  Springer Science and Business Media LLC
• Document Type:
  Journal Article
• License:
  https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
• Rights Information:
  CC BY
• Compliance:
  Library
• Main Document Checksum:
  urn:sha-512:6ab185f3d46bf014ada950fb3cdf3749e6fbab9209a21125a70c6687a6a3cb9be5429466383c6d4ccc0f54fb0a35e78c61be007d205a2b53520bf08f36571288
• Download URL:
  https://repository.library.noaa.gov/view/noaa/64491/noaa_64491_DS1.pdf
• File Type:
  [PDF - 4.51 MB ]