Decadal climate variability in the tropical Pacific: Characteristics, causes, predictability, and prospects

Power, Scott; Lengaigne, Matthieu; Capotondi, Antonietta; Khodri, Myriam; Vialard, Jérôme; Jebri, Beyrem; Guilyardi, Eric; McGregor, Shayne; Kug, Jong-Seong; Newman, Matthew; McPhaden, Michael J.; Meehl, Gerald; Smith, Doug; Cole, Julia; Emile-Geay, Julien; Vimont, Daniel; Wittenberg, Andrew T.; Collins, Mat; Kim, Geon-Il; Cai, Wenju; Okumura, Yuko; Chung, Christine; Cobb, Kim M.; Delage, François; Planton, Yann Y.; Levine, Aaron; Zhu, Feng; Sprintall, Janet; Di Lorenzo, Emanuele; Zhang, Xuebin; Luo, Jing-Jia; Lin, Xiaopei; Balmaseda, Magdalena; Wang, Guojian; Henley, Benjamin J.

doi:10.1126/science.aay9165

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The NOAA IR serves as an archival repository of NOAA-published products including scientific findings, journal articles, guidelines, recommendations, or other information authored or co-authored by NOAA or funded partners. As a repository, the NOAA IR retains documents in their original published format to ensure public access to scientific information.

i

Decadal climate variability in the tropical Pacific: Characteristics, causes, predictability, and prospects

2021
By Power, Scott ; Lengaigne, Matthieu ; Capotondi, Antonietta ; ...
Source: Science, 374(6563)

[PDF-4.88 MB]

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Power, Scott ; Lengaigne, Matthieu ; Capotondi, Antonietta ; Khodri, Myriam ; Vialard, Jérôme ; ... More +

Power, Scott ; Lengaigne, Matthieu ; Capotondi, Antonietta ; Khodri, Myriam ; Vialard, Jérôme ; Jebri, Beyrem ; Guilyardi, Eric ; McGregor, Shayne ; Kug, Jong-Seong ; Newman, Matthew ; McPhaden, Michael J. ; Meehl, Gerald ; Smith, Doug ; Cole, Julia ; Emile-Geay, Julien ; Vimont, Daniel ; Wittenberg, Andrew T. ; Collins, Mat ; Kim, Geon-Il ; Cai, Wenju ; Okumura, Yuko ; Chung, Christine ; Cobb, Kim M. ; Delage, François ; Planton, Yann Y. ; Levine, Aaron ; Zhu, Feng ; Sprintall, Janet ; Di Lorenzo, Emanuele ; Zhang, Xuebin ; Luo, Jing-Jia ; Lin, Xiaopei ; Balmaseda, Magdalena ; Wang, Guojian ; Henley, Benjamin J. Less -
NOAA Program & Office:

OAR (Oceanic and Atmospheric Research) ; CIRES (Cooperative Institute for Research in Environmental Sciences) ; GFDL (Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory) ; PMEL (Pacific Marine Environmental Laboratory) ; PSL (Physical Sciences Laboratory)

OAR (Oceanic and Atmospheric Research) ; CIRES (Cooperative Institute for Research in Environmental Sciences) ; GFDL (Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory) ; PMEL (Pacific Marine Environmental Laboratory) ; PSL (Physical Sciences Laboratory) Less -
Description:

A decades-long affairDecadal climate variability and change affects nearly every aspect of our world, including weather, agriculture, ecosystems, and the economy. Predicting its expression is thus of critical importance on multiple fronts. Poweret al. review what is known about tropical Pacific decadal climate variability and change, the degree to which it can be simulated and predicted, and how we might improve our understanding of it. More accurate projections will require longer and more detailed instrumental and paleoclimate records, improved climate models, and better data assimilation methods. —HJS
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Multidisciplinary
Source:

Science, 374(6563)
DOI:

https://doi.org/10.1126/science.aay9165
ISSN:

0036-8075;1095-9203;
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American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS)
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Journal Article
Funding:

Grant no. NA17OAR4310149 ; Grant no. NA20OAR4320278

Grant no. NA17OAR4310149 ; Grant no. NA20OAR4320278 Less -
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urn:sha256:80cc5b9f37fc6d1fb1389ed9e79ac0384e8ccc8a7cd6fef4303805a651a52a9e
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Decadal climate variability in the tropical Pacific: Characteristics, causes, predictability, and prospects

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