Enhancing New York City's resilience to sea level rise and increased coastal flooding

Details

• Journal Title:
  Urban Climate
• Personal Author:
  Gornitz, Vivien ; Oppenheimer, Michael ; Kopp, Robert ; Horton, Radley ; Orton, Philip ; Rosenzweig, Cynthia ; Solecki, William ; Patrick, Lesley
• NOAA Program & Office:
  OAR (Oceanic and Atmospheric Research)
• Description:
  Accelerating Greenland and Antarctic Ice Sheet ice mass losses and potential West Antarctic Ice Sheet instability may lead to higher than previously anticipated future sea levels. The New York City Panel on Climate Change Antarctic Rapid Ice Melt (ARIM) upper-end, low probability sea level rise (SLR) scenario, which incorporates recent ice loss trends, improved ice sheet-ocean-atmosphere modeling, and potential ice sheet destabilization, projects SLR of up to 2.1 m by the 2080s and up to 2.9 m by 2100, at high greenhouse gas emissions (NPCC, 2019). These results exceed previous high-end SLR projections (90th percentile) of 1.5 m by the 2080s and 1.9 m by 2100, relative to 2000–2004 (NPCC, 2015).
• Keywords:
  • Atmospheric Science
  • Urban Studies
  • Environmental Science (miscellaneous)
  • Geography, Planning and Development
• Source:
  Urban Climate, 33, 100654
• DOI:
  https://doi.org/10.1016/j.uclim.2020.100654
• ISSN:
  2212-0955
• Format:
  PDF
• Publisher:
  Elsevier BV
• Document Type:
  Journal Article
• Funding:
  Grant no. NA15OAR4310147
• Rights Information:
  Accepted Manuscript
• Compliance:
  Library
• Download URL:
  https://repository.library.noaa.gov/view/noaa/57842/noaa_57842_DS1.pdf
• File Type:
  [PDF - 1.53 MB]
• Collection(s):
  Office of Oceanic and Atmospheric Research (OAR)
• Main Document Checksum:
  urn:sha256:c529169b890c72c63b2852e3c3fc9bc6d26ab40b7e9e50a5b4abad042c00bcfa