The NOAA IR serves as an archival repository of NOAA-published products including scientific findings, journal articles, guidelines, recommendations, or other information authored or co-authored by NOAA or funded partners.
As a repository, the NOAA IR retains documents in their original published format to ensure public access to scientific information.
i
Geographic Distributions of Extreme Weather Risk Perceptions in the United States
-
2020
-
-
Source: Risk Analysis, Vol. 40, No. 12, 2020
[PDF-7.61 MB]
Details:
-
Journal Title:Risk Analysis
-
Personal Author:
-
NOAA Program & Office:
-
Description:Weather and climate disasters pose an increasing risk to life and property in the United States. Managing this risk requires objective information about the nature of the threat and subjective information about how people perceive it. Meteorologists and climatologists have a relatively firm grasp of the historical objective risk. For example, we know which parts of the United States are most likely to experience drought, heat waves, flooding, snow or ice storms, tornadoes, and hurricanes. We know less about the geographic distribution of the perceived risks of meteorological events and trends. Do subjective perceptions align with exposure to weather risks? This question is difficult to answer because analysts have yet to develop a comprehensive and spatially consistent methodology for measuring risk perceptions across geographic areas in the United States. In this project, we propose a methodology that uses multilevel regression and poststratification to estimate extreme weather and climate risk perceptions by geographic area (i.e., region, state, forecast area, and county). Then we apply the methodology using data from three national surveys (n = 9,542). This enables us to measure, map, and compare perceptions of risk from multiple weather hazards in geographic areas across the country
-
Keywords:
-
Source:Risk Analysis, Vol. 40, No. 12, 2020
-
DOI:
-
Format:
-
Document Type:
-
Funding:
-
Rights Information:Accepted Manuscript
-
Rights Statement:The NOAA IR provides access to this content under the authority of the government's retained license to distribute publications and data resulting from federal funding. While users may legally access this content, the copyright owners retain rights that govern the reproduction, redistribution, and re-use of this work. The user is solely responsible for complying with applicable copyright law.
-
Compliance:Submitted
-
Main Document Checksum:
-
Download URL:
-
File Type:
