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Arctic Ocean Freshwater in CMIP6 Ensembles: Declining Sea Ice, Increasing Ocean Storage and Export
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2021
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Source: Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, 126(4)
[PDF-2.99 MB]
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Journal Title:Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans
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Description:The Arctic has undergone dramatic changes in sea ice cover and the hydrologic cycle, both of which strongly impact the freshwater storage in, and export from, the Arctic Ocean. Here we analyze Arctic freshwater storage and fluxes in seven climate models from the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6) and assess their performance over the historical period (1980–2000) and in two future emissions scenarios, SSP1-2.6 and SSP5-8.5. Similar to CMIP5, substantial differences exist between the models' Arctic mean states and the magnitude of their 21st century storage and flux changes. In the historical simulation, most models disagree with observations over 1980–2000. In both future scenarios,
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Source:Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, 126(4)
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ISSN:2169-9275;2169-9291;
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Rights Information:Other
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