The power of forecasts to advance ecological theory

Details

• Journal Title:
  Methods in Ecology and Evolution
• Personal Author:
  Lewis, Abigail S. L. ; Rollinson, Christine R. ; Allyn, Andrew J. ; Ashander, Jaime ; Brodie, Stephanie ; Brookson, Cole B. ; Collins, Elyssa ; Dietze, Michael C. ; Gallinat, Amanda S. ; Juvigny‐Khenafou, Noel ; Koren, Gerbrand ; McGlinn, Daniel J. ; Moustahfid, Hassan ; Peters, Jody A. ; Record, Nicholas R. ; Robbins, Caleb J. ; Tonkin, Jonathan ; Wardle, Glenda M.
• NOAA Program & Office:
  NMFS (National Marine Fisheries Service) ; NOS (National Ocean Service) ; IOOS (Integrated Ocean Observing System) ; SWFSC (Southwest Fisheries Science Center)
• Description:
  1. Ecological forecasting provides a powerful set of methods for predicting short- and long- term change in living systems. Forecasts are now widely produced, enabling proactive management for many applied ecological problems. However, despite nu - merous calls for an increased emphasis on prediction in ecology, the potential for forecasting to accelerate ecological theory development remains underrealized. 2. Here, we provide a conceptual framework describing how ecological forecasts
• Keywords:
  Ecological Modeling Ecology, Evolution, Behavior And Systematics Ecology, Evolution, Behavior And Systematics Ecology, Evolution, Behavior And Systematics
• Source:
  Methods in Ecology and Evolution (2022)
• DOI:
  https://doi.org/10.1111/2041-210x.13955
• ISSN:
  2041-210X ; 2041-210X
• Format:
  PDF
• Publisher:
  Wiley
• Document Type:
  Journal Article
• Funding:
  Grant no. NA19NOS4780187
• License:
  https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
• Rights Information:
  CC BY
• Compliance:
  Library
• Main Document Checksum:
  urn:sha256:469b930e8bb0076dd5121420abe713109680c4fcd738becbad605b752b5d5dfd
• Download URL:
  https://repository.library.noaa.gov/view/noaa/53823/noaa_53823_DS1.pdf
• File Type:
  [PDF - 1.32 MB ]