Recommendations for quantifying and reducing uncertainty in climate projections of species distributions

Brodie, Stephanie; Smith, James A.; Muhling, Barbara A.; Barnett, Lewis A. K.; Carroll, Gemma; Fiedler, Paul; Bograd, Steven J.; Hazen, Elliott L.; Jacox, Michael G.; Andrews, Kelly S.; Barnes, Cheryl L.; Crozier, Lisa G.; Fiechter, Jerome; Fredston, Alexa; Haltuch, Melissa A.; Harvey, Chris J.; Holmes, Elizabeth; Karp, Melissa A.; Liu, Owen R.; Malick, Michael J.; Pozo Buil, Mercedes; Richerson, Kate; Rooper, Christopher N.; Samhouri, Jameal; Seary, Rachel; Selden, Rebecca L.; Thompson, Andrew R.; Tommasi, Desiree; Ward, Eric J.; Kaplan, Isaac C.

doi:10.1111/gcb.16371

i

Recommendations for quantifying and reducing uncertainty in climate projections of species distributions

Supporting Files

2022
By Brodie, Stephanie ; Smith, James A. ; Muhling, Barbara A. ; ...

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Journal Title:

Global Change Biology
Personal Author:

Brodie, Stephanie ; Smith, James A. ; Muhling, Barbara A. ; Barnett, Lewis A. K. ; Carroll, Gemma ; Fiedler, Paul ; Bograd, Steven J. ; Hazen, Elliott L. ; Jacox, Michael G. ; Andrews, Kelly S. ; Barnes, Cheryl L. ; Crozier, Lisa G. ; Fiechter, Jerome ; Fredston, Alexa ; Haltuch, Melissa A. ; Harvey, Chris J. ; Holmes, Elizabeth ; Karp, Melissa A. ; Liu, Owen R. ; Malick, Michael J. ; Pozo Buil, Mercedes ; Richerson, Kate ; Rooper, Christopher N. ; Samhouri, Jameal ; Seary, Rachel ; Selden, Rebecca L. ; Thompson, Andrew R. ; Tommasi, Desiree ; Ward, Eric J. ; Kaplan, Isaac C.
NOAA Program & Office:

NMFS (National Marine Fisheries Service) ; OAR (Oceanic and Atmospheric Research) ; AFSC (Alaska Fisheries Science Center) ; CICOES (Cooperative Institute for Climate, Ocean and Ecosystem Studies) ; ESRL (Earth System Research Laboratory) ; OST (Office of Science and Technology) ; NWFSC (Northwest Fisheries Science Center) ; PSL (Physical Sciences Laboratory) ; SWFSC (Southwest Fisheries Science Center)
Description:

Projecting the future distributions of commercially and ecologically important spe - cies has become a critical approach for ecosystem managers to strategically antici - pate change, but large uncertainties in projections limit climate adaptation planning. Although distribution projections are primarily used to understand the scope of po - tential change— rather than accurately predict specific outcomes— it is nonetheless essential to understand where and why projections can give implausible results and to
Keywords:

Ecology Environmental Chemistry General Environmental Science Global And Planetary Change Global And Planetary Change Global And Planetary Change
Source:

Global Change Biology, 28(22), 6586-6601
DOI:

https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.16371
ISSN:

1354-1013 ; 1365-2486
Format:

PDF
Publisher:

Wiley
Document Type:

Journal Article
Funding:

Grant no. NA17OAR4310108 ; Grant no. NA17OAR4310268
License:

https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
Rights Information:

CC BY
Compliance:

Library
Main Document Checksum:

urn:sha256:bf2d3335c2d7829ab150e5b4820cf3f523ec0e80eee80408f158826debc51b90
Download URL:

https://repository.library.noaa.gov/view/noaa/52706/noaa_52706_DS1.pdf
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[PDF - 9.83 MB ]

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