Marine bird mass mortality events as an indicator of the impacts of ocean warming
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2023
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Details
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Journal Title:Marine Ecology Progress Series
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Personal Author:Jones, T ; Parrish, JK ; Lindsey, J ; Wright, C ; Burgess, HK
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Dolliver, J
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Divine, L
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Kaler, R
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Bradley, D
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Sorenson, G
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Torrenta, R
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Backensto, S
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Coletti, H
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Harvey, JT
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Nevins, HM
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Donnelly-Greenan, E
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Sherer, DL
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Roletto, J
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Lindquist, K
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NOAA Program & Office:
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Description:The frequency and severity of marine heatwaves (MHWs), an emergent property of global warming, has led to large-scale disruptions to marine ecosystems. As upper trophic species, marine birds reflect shifts in trophic structure and stability; therefore, a sharp increase in marine bird mortality is a clear signal of ecosystem impact. In this study, we analyzed 29 yr (1993-2021) of beached bird monitoring data (~90000 surveys) to identify marine bird mortality events throughout the Northeast Pacific and Alaska, USA, and examined linkages to ocean-climate variability. Mortality events were documented throughout the study period, but massive events (>500 km in extent, >10 carcasses km-1) occurred infrequently (n = 5), with an unprecedented sequence from 2014-2019. Event characteristics, including encounter rate (carcasses km-1), duration, and spatial extent, were positively related to prior-year averaged sea surface temperature anomaly, with event magnitude (product of encounter rate, extent, and duration) displaying a step-like transition, increasing 5-fold between +0°C and +1°C above baseline (1981-2010) temperatures. Mortality events occurred more frequently following MHWs, and a common sequence of mortality events (at 1-6 and 10-16 mo after heatwave onset) was observed in the California Current large marine ecosystem following 3 prolonged MHW events. Following the second wave of mortality at 10-16 mo after MHW onset, a consistent 16 mo period of depressed carcass encounter rates ensued. Given continued global warming, our results point to more frequent large-scale mortality events and the potential for a new lower carrying capacity for marine birds in the Northeast Pacific.
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Keywords:
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Source:Marine Ecology Progress Series, HEAT
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DOI:
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ISSN:0171-8630 ; 1616-1599
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Rights Information:CC BY
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Compliance:Submitted
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Main Document Checksum:urn:sha-512:a676baccac8a9af38b04ec1631c42c8fc289c402f3ea246f0313017e10c6ce8c92e270d3c2592db007f370259708ed5e7a3e6779a6ccdff50560e6611fa4ec5d
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