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Stage-specific drivers of Pacific hake (Merluccius productus) recruitment in the California Current Ecosystem
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2023
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Source: Fisheries Oceanography 2023;32:352–389
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Journal Title:Fisheries Oceanography
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Description:Understanding environmental drivers of recruitment variability in marine fishes remains an important challenge in fish ecology and fisheries management. We developed a conceptual life-history model for Pacific hake (Merluccius productus) along the west coast of the United States and Canada to generate stage-specific and spatiotemporally-specific hypotheses regarding the oceanographic and biological variables that likely influence their recruitment. Our model included seven life stages from pre-spawning female conditioning through pelagic juvenile recruitment (age-0 fish) for the coastal Pacific hake stock. Model-estimated log recruitment deviations from the 2020 hake assessment were used as the dependent variable, with predictor variables drawn primarily from a regional ocean reanalysis for the California Current Ecosystem. Indices of prey and predator abundance were also included in our analysis, as were predictors of local- and basin-scale climate. Five variables explained 59% of the recruitment variability not accounted for by the stock–recruitment relationship in the hake assessment. Recruitment deviations were negatively correlated with May–September eddy kinetic energy between 34.5° and 42.5°N, the North Pacific Current Bifurcation Index, and Pacific herring (Clupea pallasii) biomass during the spawner preconditioning stage, alongshore transport during the yolk-sac larval stage, and the number of days between storm events during the first-feeding larval stage. Other important predictors included upwelling strength during the preconditioning stage, the number of calm periods during the first-feeding larval stage, and age-1 hake predation on age-0 pelagic juveniles. These findings suggest that multiple mechanisms affect Pacific hake survival across different life stages, leading to variability in population-level recruitment.
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Source:Fisheries Oceanography 2023;32:352–389
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Rights Information:Accepted Manuscript
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Compliance:Submitted
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