Using Climate Model Simulations to Constrain Observations

Santer, Benjamin D.; Po-Chedley, Stephen; Mears, Carl; Fyfe, John C.; Gillett, Nathan; Fu, Qiang; Painter, Jeffrey F.; Solomon, Susan; Steiner, Andrea K.; Wentz, Frank J.; Zelinka, Mark D.; Zou, Cheng-Zhi

doi:10.1175/jcli-d-20-0768.1

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Using Climate Model Simulations to Constrain Observations

2021
By Santer, Benjamin D. ; Po-Chedley, Stephen ; Mears, Carl ; ...
Source: Journal of Climate, 34(15), 6281-6301

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Journal Title:

Journal of Climate
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Santer, Benjamin D. ; Po-Chedley, Stephen ; Mears, Carl ; Fyfe, John C. ; Gillett, Nathan ; ... More +

Santer, Benjamin D. ; Po-Chedley, Stephen ; Mears, Carl ; Fyfe, John C. ; Gillett, Nathan ; Fu, Qiang ; Painter, Jeffrey F. ; Solomon, Susan ; Steiner, Andrea K. ; Wentz, Frank J. ; Zelinka, Mark D. ; Zou, Cheng-Zhi Less -
NOAA Program & Office:

NESDIS (National Environmental Satellite, Data, and Information Service) ; STAR (Center for Satellite Applications and Research)

NESDIS (National Environmental Satellite, Data, and Information Service) ; STAR (Center for Satellite Applications and Research) Less -
Description:

We compare atmospheric temperature changes in satellite data and in model ensembles performed under phases 5 and 6 of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP5 and CMIP6). In the lower stratosphere, multidecadal stratospheric cooling during the period of strong ozone depletion is smaller in newer CMIP6 simulations than in CMIP5 or satellite data. In the troposphere, however, despite forcing and climate sensitivity differences between the two CMIP ensembles, their ensemble-average global warming over 1979–2019 is very similar. We also examine four properties of tropical behavior governed by basic physical processes.
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Climate Change Climate Models Ensembles Model Evaluation/Performance Satellite Observations
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Journal of Climate, 34(15), 6281-6301
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https://doi.org/10.1175/jcli-d-20-0768.1
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Journal Article
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urn:sha256:e0e7967d9721c696124b1cb0264ef72baed93418c5dce074be118a0fce803c06
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