Western North Pacific tropical cyclone tracks in CMIP5 models: Statistical assessment using a model-independent detection and tracking scheme

Bell, Samuel S.; Chand, Savin S.; Camargo, Suzana J.; Tory, Kevin J.; Turville, Chris; Ye, Harvey

doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-18-0785.1

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Western North Pacific tropical cyclone tracks in CMIP5 models: Statistical assessment using a model-independent detection and tracking scheme

2019
By Bell, Samuel S. ; Chand, Savin S. ; Camargo, Suzana J. ; ...
Source: Journal of Climate, 32(21), 7191–7208

[PDF-1.85 MB]

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Journal Title:

Journal of Climate
Personal Author:

Bell, Samuel S. ; Chand, Savin S. ; Camargo, Suzana J. ; Tory, Kevin J. ; Turville, Chris ; ... More +

Bell, Samuel S. ; Chand, Savin S. ; Camargo, Suzana J. ; Tory, Kevin J. ; Turville, Chris ; Ye, Harvey Less -
NOAA Program & Office:

OAR (Oceanic and Atmospheric Research) ; CPO (Climate Program Office)

OAR (Oceanic and Atmospheric Research) ; CPO (Climate Program Office) Less -
Description:

Past studies have shown that tropical cyclone (TC) projection results can be sensitive to different types of TC tracking schemes, and that the relative adjustments of detection criteria to accommodate different models may not necessarily provide a consistent platform for comparison of projection results. Here, future climate projections of TC activity in the western North Pacific basin (WNP, defined from 0°–50°N and 100°E–180°) are assessed with a model-independent detection and tracking scheme. This scheme is applied to models from phase 5 of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP5) forced under the historical and representative concentration pathway 8.5 (RCP8.5) conditions.
Keywords:

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Anthropogenic Effects Classification Climate Models Climate Prediction Tropical Cyclones
Source:

Journal of Climate, 32(21), 7191–7208
DOI:

https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-18-0785.1
Document Type:

Journal Article
Funding:

Grant no. NA15OAR4310095 ; Grant no. NA16OAR4310079 ; Grant no. NA18OAR4310277

Grant no. NA15OAR4310095 ; Grant no. NA16OAR4310079 ; Grant no. NA18OAR4310277 Less -
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urn:sha256:2e4b1a9ecf2f35ad957af22a8f44e599003a795fa98c72eba8e3b2892488aa61
Download URL:

https://repository.library.noaa.gov/view/noaa/36817/noaa_36817_DS1.pdf
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Western North Pacific tropical cyclone tracks in CMIP5 models: Statistical assessment using a model-independent detection and tracking scheme

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