A new measure of forecast skill using the Brier score

McNulty, Richard P.

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A new measure of forecast skill using the Brier score

1988
By McNulty, Richard P.
Series: Central Region Technical attachment ; 88-26

[PDF-2.50 MB]

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Personal Author:

McNulty, Richard P.
Corporate Authors:

United States. National Weather Service. Central Region
NOAA Program & Office:

NWS (National Weather Service) ; CR (Central Region)

NWS (National Weather Service) ; CR (Central Region) Less -
Description:

Verification of probability forecasts has been a topic of discussion for many years. One of the most widely used verification scores for probability of precipitation (POP) is the Brier score (Brier, 1950) . A slightly modified version of this score (Sanders, 1963) is used by the National Weather Service (NWS) .
Keywords:

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Numerical weather forecasting
Series:

Central Region Technical attachment ; 88-26
Document Type:

Technical Attachment
Rights Information:

Public domain
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Library
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urn:sha256:152b8088a033c2e2e92e07f63177c4b4886062fc1a5df99cdc0cacd0b55b468d
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https://repository.library.noaa.gov/view/noaa/33800/noaa_33800_DS1.pdf
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A new measure of forecast skill using the Brier score

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