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Large precipitation "bulls-eyes" and their effect on the NGM 48 hour forecast
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1986
[PDF-3.96 MB]
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Description:Since SELS began producing a second day outlook earlier this year, the 48 hour forecast set from the models has become a more important tool in preparing this forecast. This has led to closer examination of model biases over the longer term. Precipitation "blow-ups" are a concern to the forecaster because when they occur, the model atmosphere (especially the LFM) can become very unlike the real atmosphere as the model steps further through time.
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Rights Information:Public domain
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