Drought Early Warning and the Timing of Range Managers’ Drought Response

Haigh, Tonya R.; Otkin, Jason A.; Mucia, Anthony; Hayes, Michael; Burbach, Mark E.

doi:10.1155/2019/9461513

i

Drought Early Warning and the Timing of Range Managers’ Drought Response

2019
By Haigh, Tonya R. ; Otkin, Jason A. ; Mucia, Anthony ; ...

Details

Journal Title:

Advances in Meteorology
Personal Author:

Haigh, Tonya R. ; Otkin, Jason A. ; Mucia, Anthony ; Hayes, Michael ; Burbach, Mark E.
NOAA Program & Office:

NESDIS (National Environmental Satellite, Data, and Information Service) ; STAR (Center for Satellite Applications and Research) ; CIMSS (Cooperative Institute for Meteorological Satellite Studies) ; OAR (Oceanic and Atmospheric Research) ; CPO (Climate Program Office)
Description:

The connection between drought early warning information and the timing of rangeland managers’ response actions is not well understood. This study investigates U.S. Northern Plains range and livestock managers’ decision-making in response to the 2016 flash drought, by means of a postdrought survey of agricultural landowners and using the Protective Action Decision Model theoretical framework. The study found that managers acted in response to environmental cues, but that their responses were significantly delayed compared to when drought conditions emerged. External warnings did not influence the timing of their decisions, though on-farm monitoring and assessment of conditions did. Though this case focused only on a one-year flash drought characterized by rapid drought intensification, waiting to destock pastures was associated with greater losses to range productivity and health and diversity. This study finds evidence of unrealized potential for drought early warning information to support proactive response and improved outcomes for rangeland management.
Keywords:

Droughts Risk Assessment Risk Assessment
Source:

Advances in Meteorology, vol. 2019, Article ID 9461513, 2019
DOI:

https://doi.org/10.1155/2019/9461513
Document Type:

Journal Article
Funding:

Grant no. NA160AR4310131 ; Grant no. NA16OAR4310130
Rights Information:

CC BY
Compliance:

Submitted
Main Document Checksum:

urn:sha256:401b1361c16c29238bb2398358d1cc7a36a69bb19fa590a21f815b85545a898c
Download URL:

https://repository.library.noaa.gov/view/noaa/27377/noaa_27377_DS1.pdf
File Type:

[PDF - 1.72 MB ]

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