Can we predict seasonal changes in high impact weather in the United States?

Jung, Eunsil; Kirtman, Ben P

doi:10.1088/1748-9326/11/7/074018

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The NOAA IR serves as an archival repository of NOAA-published products including scientific findings, journal articles, guidelines, recommendations, or other information authored or co-authored by NOAA or funded partners. As a repository, the NOAA IR retains documents in their original published format to ensure public access to scientific information.

i

Can we predict seasonal changes in high impact weather in the United States?

2016
By Jung, Eunsil ; Kirtman, Ben P
Source: Environ. Res. Lett. 11 074018

[PDF-2.89 MB]

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Journal Title:

Environmental Research Letters
Personal Author:

Jung, Eunsil ; Kirtman, Ben P

Jung, Eunsil ; Kirtman, Ben P Less -
NOAA Program & Office:

OAR (Oceanic and Atmospheric Research) ; CPO (Climate Program Office)

OAR (Oceanic and Atmospheric Research) ; CPO (Climate Program Office) Less -
Description:

Severe convective storms cause catastrophic losses each year in the United States, suggesting that any predictive capability is of great societal benefit. While it is known that El Nino and the Southern Oscillation (ENSO) influence high impact weather events, such as a tornado activity and severe storms, in the US during early spring, this study highlights that the influence of ENSO on US severe storm characteristics is weak during May-July. Instead, warm water in the Gulf of Mexico is a potential predictor for moist instability, which is an important factor in influencing the storm characteristics in the US during May-July.
Keywords:

[+]

Atmospheric Science Climatic Extremes Climatic Zones Ecology El Niño Current Environmental Impact Analysis Environmental Sciences Extreme Environments Impact Meteorology Oscillations Parametric Oscillators Precipitation (Meteorology) Rain And Rainfall Serial Sevens Test Severe Storms Southern Oscillation Tornadoes Variability (Psychometrics) Weather Weather Control
Source:

Environ. Res. Lett. 11 074018
DOI:

https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/11/7/074018
Document Type:

Journal Article
Funding:

Grant no. NA14OAR4830127 ; Grant no. NA12OAR4310089 ; Grant no. NA10OAR4320143

Grant no. NA14OAR4830127 ; Grant no. NA12OAR4310089 ; Grant no. NA10OAR4320143 Less -
Place as Subject:

Mexico, Gulf of ; United States

Mexico, Gulf of ; United States Less -
Rights Information:

CC BY
Compliance:

PMC
Main Document Checksum:

[+]

urn:sha256:7cf531eba6933a2811e64cf89c095f7ffd7e3dbf7703497846ce871341eff1cb
Download URL:

https://repository.library.noaa.gov/view/noaa/26078/noaa_26078_DS1.pdf
File Type:

No Additional Files

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Can we predict seasonal changes in high impact weather in the United States?

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