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A modified threat score and a measure of placement error
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1980
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Description:"It is well known and can easily be shown that, with present forecast techniques and accuracy, higher threat scores can be achieved by increasing the bias above unity. Figure 1 indicates the effect of increased bias on threat score. For instance, it indicates that a forecast with unit bias and with threat score of 0.2, can be improved to a threat score of 0.27 by increasing the bias to 2.6. Skill, therefore, cannot be judged by threat scores alone, but only in consideration with other statistics, especially bias"--Introduction.
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Content Notes:Frederick G. Shuman.
"February 1980."
"This is an unreviewed manuscript, primarily intended for informal exchange of information among NMC staff members."
System requirements: Adobe Acrobat Reader.
Includes bibliographical references.
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Rights Information:Public Domain
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Compliance:Library
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