Results of Combining MDR Values with 2-6 Hour Severe Weather Guidance

Details

• Corporate Authors:
  United States. National Weather Service. Eastern Region
• NOAA Program & Office:
  NWS (National Weather Service) ; ER (Eastern Region)
• Description:
  A cooperative research experiment between SSD and six WSFOs (Albany, Boston, Columbia, Philadelphia, Pittsburgh, & Washington) was conducted between April and September this year, with the purpose being to test a technique of combining current MDR values with 2-6 hour severe weather probability guidance (AFOS graphic 010) to derive information to alert the public to potentially severe weather prior to the issuance of watches and warnings. Each WSFO produced severe weather " forecasts" for their own forecast area and verified these forecasts on the following day. SSD combined the results from the participating WSFOs and computed the standard verification statistics.
• Keywords:
  Evaluation Mathematical Models Severe Storms Weather Forecasting Mathematical Models Severe Storms Weather Forecasting
• Series:
  Eastern Region technical attachment (National Weather Service (U.S.))   85-15(1)
• Format:
  pdf
• Document Type:
  Technical Attachment
• Place as Subject:
  East (U.S.)
• License:
  https://creativecommons.org/publicdomain/zero/1.0/
• Rights Information:
  CC0 Public Domain
• Compliance:
  Submitted
• Main Document Checksum:
  urn:sha-512:6c1a4b7fe47267669eb5200c11aa4d04667e52260331ba404f5a93f7bc24e1f749f6b71734881dd63e201ae210bc0402c58ca2f080f5813fcc28411ff29b9b90
• Download URL:
  https://repository.library.noaa.gov/view/noaa/70393/noaa_70393_DS1.pdf
• File Type:
  [PDF - 191.81 KB ]