A Comparative Verification Study of MOS and NGM-Perfect Prog (PP) for Southern New England

Details

• Personal Author:
  Waldstreicher, Jeff S.
• Corporate Authors:
  United States. National Weather Service. Eastern Region
• NOAA Program & Office:
  NWS (National Weather Service) ; ER (Eastern Region)
• Description:
  During the spring of 1987, the National Weather Service instituted a new system of numerical guidance based on output from the Nested Grid Model (National Weather Service, 1987). These objective forecasts are produced by statistical equations which were derived using a modification of the perfect prog technique (Klein and Lewis, 1970). This paper presents the results of a study comparing the NGM perfect prog (PP) forecasts and the LFM based Model Output Statistics (MOS) forecasts for probability of precipitation (PoP) and maximum/ minimum temperature during the 1987 warm season.
• Keywords:
  Evaluation Mathematical Models Weather Forecasting Mathematical Models Weather Forecasting
• Series:
  Eastern Region technical attachment (National Weather Service (U.S.))   87-20(B)
• Format:
  pdf
• Document Type:
  Technical Attachment
• Place as Subject:
  East (U.S.)
• License:
  https://creativecommons.org/publicdomain/zero/1.0/
• Rights Information:
  CC0 Public Domain
• Compliance:
  Submitted
• Main Document Checksum:
  urn:sha-512:93077c8b9b6ace20430576b952da00c7d0c6641d273d924707cdd70151ebffd1edaabdf7d98fed12f7d6b28393d98139555e1e2d5aaf26aa6ee0125bb0145c51
• Download URL:
  https://repository.library.noaa.gov/view/noaa/70344/noaa_70344_DS1.pdf
• File Type:
  [PDF - 4.87 MB ]