Climate mediates the predictability of threats to marine biodiversity

Scales, Kylie L.; Bolin, Jessica A.; Dunn, Daniel C.; Hazen, Elliott L.; Hannah, Lee; Schoeman, David S.

doi:10.1016/j.tree.2025.02.010

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The NOAA IR serves as an archival repository of NOAA-published products including scientific findings, journal articles, guidelines, recommendations, or other information authored or co-authored by NOAA or funded partners. As a repository, the NOAA IR retains documents in their original published format to ensure public access to scientific information.

i

Climate mediates the predictability of threats to marine biodiversity

2025
By Scales, Kylie L. ; Bolin, Jessica A. ; Dunn, Daniel C. ; ...
Source: Trends in Ecology & Evolution (2025)

[PDF-218.76 KB]

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Journal Title:

Trends in Ecology & Evolution
Personal Author:

Scales, Kylie L. ; Bolin, Jessica A. ; Dunn, Daniel C. ; Hazen, Elliott L. ; Hannah, Lee ; ... More +

Scales, Kylie L. ; Bolin, Jessica A. ; Dunn, Daniel C. ; Hazen, Elliott L. ; Hannah, Lee ; Schoeman, David S. Less -
NOAA Program & Office:

NMFS (National Marine Fisheries Service) ; SWFSC (Southwest Fisheries Science Center)

NMFS (National Marine Fisheries Service) ; SWFSC (Southwest Fisheries Science Center) Less -
Description:

Anthropogenic climate change is driving rapid changes in marine ecosystems across the global ocean. The spatiotemporal footprints of other anthropogenic threats, such as infrastructure development, shipping, and fisheries, will also inevitably shift under climate change, but we find that these shifts are not yet accounted for in most projections of climate futures in marine systems. We summarise what is known about threat-shifting in response to climate change, and identify sources of predictability that have implications for ecological forecasting. We recommend that, where possible, the dynamics of anthropogenic threats are accounted for in nowcasts, forecasts, and projections designed for spatial management and conservation planning, and highlight key themes for future research into threat dynamics in a changing ocean.
Source:

Trends in Ecology & Evolution (2025)
DOI:

https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tree.2025.02.010
ISSN:

0169-5347
Format:

PDF
Publisher:

Elsevier BV
Document Type:

Journal Article
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Accepted Manuscript
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Submitted
Main Document Checksum:

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urn:sha-512:e06d4f132db33c3404ecbe0438602d462ba59268211533596f085a1ea1b9f3ac20510bd3b6b17b9d56c3cf3df5a11e931b5b30725bbe90eb23a4834e3ca21780
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https://staging-noaa.cdc.gov/view/noaa/70116/noaa_70116_DS1.pdf
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Climate mediates the predictability of threats to marine biodiversity

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