The 2019 flash droughts in subtropical eastern Australia and their association with large-scale climate drivers
Advanced Search
Select up to three search categories and corresponding keywords using the fields to the right. Refer to the Help section for more detailed instructions.

Search our Collections & Repository

For very narrow results

When looking for a specific result

Best used for discovery & interchangable words

Recommended to be used in conjunction with other fields

Dates

to

Document Data
Library
People
Clear All
Clear All

For additional assistance using the Custom Query please check out our Help Page

The NOAA IR serves as an archival repository of NOAA-published products including scientific findings, journal articles, guidelines, recommendations, or other information authored or co-authored by NOAA or funded partners. As a repository, the NOAA IR retains documents in their original published format to ensure public access to scientific information.
i

The 2019 flash droughts in subtropical eastern Australia and their association with large-scale climate drivers

Filetype[PDF-9.51 MB]


Select the Download button to view the document
This document is over 5mb in size and cannot be previewed
Details You May Also Like

Details:

  • Journal Title:
    Weather and Climate Extremes
  • Personal Author:
  • NOAA Program & Office:
    CIMSS (Cooperative Institute for Meteorological Satellite Studies)
  • Description:
    During 2017–2019, drought existed in many parts of Australia with varying degrees of severity and varied timing of development and intensification. In a broad sense, the surface climate conditions went from anomalously wet in 2016 to an official government-declared drought from the end of 2017. The drought subsequently intensified further to become most severe in mid to late 2019. Here we explore the more detailed evolution of the 2019 conditions over subtropical eastern Australia and infer its predictability through linear relationships with large-scale climate drivers. To monitor the detailed drought evolution, we use the Evaporative Stress Index (ESI) computed over a 4-week running window on a 5 km grid. Flash drought onset is defined as when there is a rapid decline in the ESI that is sustained over at least 2 weeks which ends in drought conditions. For the Central Slopes area of the upper Darling River basin, flash drought onset occurred in June, persisted over 6 months, and rapidly terminated through a flash recovery in February 2020. In the far east of Australia (East Coast regions), flash drought onset was identified later, in November and December. For the Central Slopes area, less than half the magnitude of the flash drought development in June could be explained through linear relationships with the positive Indian Ocean Dipole mode (IOD) and the central Pacific El Niño, together with the long-term trend in ESI in the region. Similarly, only about half the magnitude of the East Coast flash drought developments in November and December could be explained by the ongoing positive IOD, central Pacific El Niño, negative Southern Annular Mode, and ongoing global warming trend. Therefore, although these large-scale drivers set the stage for the likelihood of drought, successful prediction of flash drought will require more local and current information than those large-scale climate drivers alone.
  • Source:
    Weather and Climate Extremes, 32, 100321
  • DOI:
  • ISSN:
    2212-0947
  • Format:
    pdf
  • Publisher:
    Elsevier BV
  • Document Type:
    Journal Article
  • License:
  • Rights Information:
    CC BY-NC-ND
  • Compliance:
    Library
  • Main Document Checksum:
  • Download URL:
  • File Type:

Supporting Files

  • No Additional Files
More +

You May Also Like

Checkout today's featured content at repository.library.noaa.gov

Version 3.27.1