U.S. flag An official website of the United States government.
Official websites use .gov

A .gov website belongs to an official government organization in the United States.

Secure .gov websites use HTTPS

A lock ( ) or https:// means you've safely connected to the .gov website. Share sensitive information only on official, secure websites.

i

Forecasting and seasonal variability of the foot of the Shelfbreak Front in the Northern Middle Atlantic Bight



Details

  • Journal Title:
    ICES Journal of Marine Science
  • Personal Author:
  • NOAA Program & Office:
  • Description:
    The Shelfbreak Front in the Northern Middle Atlantic Bight delineates the boundary between colder, fresher shelf water and warmer, saltier slope water. The location of the foot of the Shelfbreak Front, where the frontal isohalines and isopycnals intersect the bottom, is highly dynamic, impacting several commercial fisheries. In this work, we present new indices to quantify seasonal and interannual variability in the movement of the foot of the Shelfbreak Front. One index is generated from over three decades of observational Conductivity, Temperature, and Depth (CTD) data, and the other from GLORYS reanalysis fields. After detrending and removing seasonality, both indices capture similar variability and were found to be statistically significantly correlated with upstream along-shelf geostrophic velocities derived using satellite altimetry data. Using the lag correlation between the along-shelf geostrophic velocities from the Scotian Shelf to Georges Bank, skillful forecasts for the frontal indices were obtained up to three seasons in advance. This work provides a useful methodology for including variability of the foot of the Northern Middle Atlantic Bight Shelfbreak Front into ecosystem and stock assessment models using readily available near-real-time satellite altimetry data.
  • Source:
    ICES Journal of Marine Science (2024)
  • DOI:
  • ISSN:
    1054-3139 ; 1095-9289
  • Format:
    PDF
  • Publisher:
    Oxford University Press (OUP)
  • Document Type:
    Journal Article
  • License:
  • Rights Information:
    CC BY
  • Compliance:
    Submitted
  • Main Document Checksum:
    urn:sha-512:4bedb57e34034902fe8744a767b7d84dd9eda63f0039e72e4f9f318ca26725148f60bc3a95c06a9dfb9f0b4254ad7c8ca1636066341ff5fd65a58b2c9455b6a2
  • Download URL:
  • File Type:
    Filetype[PDF - 1.11 MB ]
PREVIOUS
ON THIS PAGE
Details
The NOAA IR serves as an archival repository of NOAA-published products including scientific findings, journal articles, guidelines, recommendations, or other information authored or co-authored by NOAA or funded partners. As a repository, the NOAA IR retains documents in their original published format to ensure public access to scientific information.
BACK TO TOP