A multi-decadal assessment of social thresholds and outcomes in marine social-ecological systems in Hawaiʻi

Perng, Lansing Y.; Leong, Kirsten M.; Weijerman, Mariska; Oleson, Kirsten L.L.

doi:10.1016/j.marpol.2024.106141

i

A multi-decadal assessment of social thresholds and outcomes in marine social-ecological systems in Hawaiʻi

2024
By Perng, Lansing Y. ; Leong, Kirsten M. ; Weijerman, Mariska ; ...

Details

Journal Title:

Marine Policy
Personal Author:

Perng, Lansing Y. ; Leong, Kirsten M. ; Weijerman, Mariska ; Oleson, Kirsten L.L.
NOAA Program & Office:

CIMAR (Cooperative Institute for Marine and Atmospheric Research) ; NMFS (National Marine Fisheries Service) ; PIFSC (Pacific Islands Fisheries Science Center)
Description:

Coastal communities and nearshore ecosystems comprise social-ecological systems (SESs) where ecological goods and services (EGS) help meet many social, economic, and cultural objectives. In an era of political and environmental change, acute and chronic stressors can induce regime shifts, transitioning systems from high-functioning states to less favorable ones with diminished EGS provisioning. Despite the inherent interdependence of human communities and resource ecosystems, and management’s ultimate goal to promote human well-being, social regime shifts within SESs are underexplored relative to ecological regime shifts. This case study uses social indicators to identify temporal trends and thresholds across fisheries, tourism, and coastal employment in the Hawaiian SES. Generalized Additive Models (GAM) identify periods of change and link them to regulatory and environmental drivers. Composite indices score social outcomes over time and across local communities using Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA). Trends and thresholds coincided with regulatory changes, economic conditions, and environmental perturbations. Together, threshold identification and outcome ranking assess social adaptability to resource changes and provide insight for adaptive management of regime shifts for marine ecosystems in Hawaiʻi.
Keywords:

Ecology Mathematical Models Social Science Mathematical Models Social Science
Source:

Marine Policy, 163, 106141
DOI:

https://doi.org/10.1016/j.marpol.2024.106141
ISSN:

0308-597X
Format:

PDF
Publisher:

Elsevier BV
Document Type:

Journal Article
Place as Subject:

Hawaii
Rights Information:

Accepted Manuscript
Compliance:

Submitted
Main Document Checksum:

urn:sha-512:b6fb1a810851eebd58dbe3e10514c4bd8364c020822b1e920d67ec4cb19ec866dc852edb1c10ab3b7a8d6bc5f2fdb6f5624d8d95f3fab878e8f754520f3c0c52
Download URL:

https://repository.library.noaa.gov/view/noaa/65891/noaa_65891_DS1.pdf
File Type:

[PDF - 3.26 MB ]

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