Benefits and Challenges of a Stakeholder-Driven Shellfish Toxicity Forecast in Coastal Maine

Record, Nicholas R.; Evanilla, Johnathan; Kanwit, Kohl; Burnell, Craig; Cartisano, Carmen; Lewis, Bryant J.; MacLeod, Jill; Tupper, Benjamin; Miller, David W.; Tracy, Adrienne T.; White, Carol; Moretti, Matt; Hamilton, Ben; Barner, Cameron; Archer, Stephen D.

doi:10.3389/fmars.2022.923738

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The NOAA IR serves as an archival repository of NOAA-published products including scientific findings, journal articles, guidelines, recommendations, or other information authored or co-authored by NOAA or funded partners. As a repository, the NOAA IR retains documents in their original published format to ensure public access to scientific information.

i

Benefits and Challenges of a Stakeholder-Driven Shellfish Toxicity Forecast in Coastal Maine

2022
By Record, Nicholas R. ; Evanilla, Johnathan ; Kanwit, Kohl ; ...
Source: Frontiers in Marine Science, 9

[PDF-711.16 KB]

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Journal Title:

Frontiers in Marine Science
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Record, Nicholas R. ; Evanilla, Johnathan ; Kanwit, Kohl ; Burnell, Craig ; Cartisano, Carmen ; ... More +

Record, Nicholas R. ; Evanilla, Johnathan ; Kanwit, Kohl ; Burnell, Craig ; Cartisano, Carmen ; Lewis, Bryant J. ; MacLeod, Jill ; Tupper, Benjamin ; Miller, David W. ; Tracy, Adrienne T. ; White, Carol ; Moretti, Matt ; Hamilton, Ben ; Barner, Cameron ; Archer, Stephen D. Less -
NOAA Program & Office:

NOS (National Ocean Service)
Description:

Paralytic shellfish poison (PSP) is a human health concern for shellfish aquaculture and wild harvest. This paper discusses lessons learned from a forecasting program for PSP in coastal Maine, USA, designed based on stakeholder input, and run in an operational mode for the 2021 season. The forecast uses a deep learning algorithm to make site-specific, probabilistic forecasts at a weekly forecast range for toxin levels measured in shellfish tissue. Forecasts had high accuracy in the 2021 season, correctly predicting closure events and locations despite a highly unusual season. Stakeholders reported a positive view of the forecast system, and stakeholder input continues to be of key importance as further modifications are made to the system. There are benefits and challenges to the stakeholder-based design of the system.
Source:

Frontiers in Marine Science, 9
DOI:

https://doi.org/10.3389/fmars.2022.923738
ISSN:

2296-7745
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PDF
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Frontiers Media SA
Document Type:

Journal Article
Funding:

Grant no. NA19NOS4780187
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https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
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CC BY
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urn:sha-512:71656976022606663ba388caed4347eb6ad6767e2844c25e28bc4248c0d060b56f26ac38d26da8a891aa3eb3f3917cb579b395f91112c2e10941260be72bf1f1
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Benefits and Challenges of a Stakeholder-Driven Shellfish Toxicity Forecast in Coastal Maine

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