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The Importance of the Montreal Protocol in Mitigating the Potential Intensity of Tropical Cyclones



Details

  • Journal Title:
    Journal of Climate
  • Personal Author:
  • NOAA Program & Office:
    OAR (Oceanic and Atmospheric Research)
  • Description:
    The impact of the Montreal Protocol on the potential intensity of tropical cyclones over the next 50 years is investigated with the Whole Atmosphere Community Climate Model (WACCM), a state-of-the-art, stratosphere-resolving atmospheric model, coupled to land, ocean, and sea ice components, with interactive stratospheric chemistry. An ensemble of WACCM runs from 2006 to 2065 forced with a standard future scenario is compared to a second ensemble in which ozone-depleting substances (ODS) are not regulated (the so-called World Avoided). It is found that by the year 2065, changes in the potential intensity of tropical cyclones in the World Avoided are nearly 3 times as large as for the standard scenario. The Montreal Protocol thus provides a strong mitigation of the adverse effects of intensifying tropical cyclones.
  • Source:
    Journal of Climate, 29(6), 2275-2289
  • DOI:
  • ISSN:
    0894-8755 ; 1520-0442
  • Format:
    PDF
  • Publisher:
    American Meteorological Society
  • Document Type:
    Journal Article
  • Funding:
    Grant no. NA11OAR4310093
  • Rights Information:
    Other
  • Compliance:
    Library
  • Main Document Checksum:
    urn:sha-512:1f84fb5c2baa4cec70014ae7b8bfa73012727d2c15c9973f9878c5b05111911cca7e7f47f50c33bee2c811686798b440dbf7e0d9050afeb3c70f1c818078b743
  • Download URL:
  • File Type:
    Filetype[PDF - 4.28 MB ]
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