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The Importance of the Montreal Protocol in Mitigating the Potential Intensity of Tropical Cyclones
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2016
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Source: Journal of Climate, 29(6), 2275-2289
[PDF-4.28 MB]
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Journal Title:Journal of Climate
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Description:The impact of the Montreal Protocol on the potential intensity of tropical cyclones over the next 50 years is investigated with the Whole Atmosphere Community Climate Model (WACCM), a state-of-the-art, stratosphere-resolving atmospheric model, coupled to land, ocean, and sea ice components, with interactive stratospheric chemistry. An ensemble of WACCM runs from 2006 to 2065 forced with a standard future scenario is compared to a second ensemble in which ozone-depleting substances (ODS) are not regulated (the so-called World Avoided). It is found that by the year 2065, changes in the potential intensity of tropical cyclones in the World Avoided are nearly 3 times as large as for the standard scenario. The Montreal Protocol thus provides a strong mitigation of the adverse effects of intensifying tropical cyclones.
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Source:Journal of Climate, 29(6), 2275-2289
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DOI:
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ISSN:0894-8755;1520-0442;
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Rights Information:Other
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