Dominant effect of relative tropical Atlantic warming on major hurricane occurrence

Murakami, H.; Levin, E.; Delworth, T. L.; Gudgel, R.; Hsu, P.-C.

doi:10.1126/science.aat6711

i

Dominant effect of relative tropical Atlantic warming on major hurricane occurrence

2018
By Murakami, H. ; Levin, E. ; Delworth, T. L. ; ...

Details

Journal Title:

Science
Personal Author:

Murakami, H. ; Levin, E. ; Delworth, T. L. ; Gudgel, R. ; Hsu, P.-C.
NOAA Program & Office:

GFDL (Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory) ; OAR (Oceanic and Atmospheric Research)
Description:

The 2017 North Atlantic hurricane season was highly active, with six major storms—nearly two standard deviations above the normal number. Three of those storms made landfall over the Gulf Coast and the Caribbean, causing terrible damage and loss. Why was the season so fierce? Murakami et al. used a suite of high-resolution model experiments to show that the main cause was pronounced warm sea surface conditions in the tropical North Atlantic. This effect was distinct from La Niña conditions in the Pacific Ocean that were involved in other years. It remains unclear how important anthropogenic forcing may be in causing such increased hurricane activity.
Keywords:

Multidisciplinary
Source:

Science, 362(6416), 794-799
DOI:

https://doi.org/10.1126/science.aat6711
ISSN:

0036-8075 ; 1095-9203
Format:

PDF
Publisher:

American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS)
Document Type:

Journal Article
Funding:

Grant no. NA14OAR4320106 ; Grant no. NA14OAR4830101
Rights Information:

Other
Compliance:

Library
Main Document Checksum:

urn:sha-512:2ef2495d7762e124fcdbd395be815c108b1488180a48e7c7a23783e038a8017a5655c74468ac0af5cd89a9ff09d67942a43c7115b91ed1838e82cc2fbecae797
Download URL:

https://repository.library.noaa.gov/view/noaa/64094/noaa_64094_DS1.pdf
File Type:

[PDF - 2.68 MB ]

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