Identifying climate drivers of infectious disease dynamics: recent advances and challenges ahead

Metcalf, C. Jessica E.; Walter, Katharine S.; Wesolowski, Amy; Buckee, Caroline O.; Shevliakova, Elena; Tatem, Andrew J.; Boos, William R.; Weinberger, Daniel M.; Pitzer, Virginia E.

doi:10.1098/rspb.2017.0901

i

Identifying climate drivers of infectious disease dynamics: recent advances and challenges ahead

Public Domain

2017
By Metcalf, C. Jessica E. ; Walter, Katharine S. ; Wesolowski, Amy ; ...

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Journal Title:

Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences
Personal Author:

Metcalf, C. Jessica E. ; Walter, Katharine S. ; Wesolowski, Amy ; Buckee, Caroline O. ; Shevliakova, Elena ; Tatem, Andrew J. ; Boos, William R. ; Weinberger, Daniel M. ; Pitzer, Virginia E.
NOAA Program & Office:

GFDL (Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory) ; OAR (Oceanic and Atmospheric Research)
Description:

Climate change is likely to profoundly modulate the burden of infectious diseases. However, attributing health impacts to a changing climate requires being able to associate changes in infectious disease incidence with the potentially complex influences of climate. This aim is further complicated by nonlinear feedbacks inherent in the dynamics of many infections, driven by the processes of immunity and transmission. Here, we detail the mechanisms by which climate drivers can shape infectious disease incidence, from direct effects on vector life history to indirect effects on human susceptibility, and detail the scope of variation available with which to probe these mechanisms. We review approaches used to evaluate and quantify associations between climate and infectious disease incidence, discuss the array of data available to tackle this question, and detail remaining challenges in understanding the implications of climate change for infectious disease incidence. We point to areas where synthesis between approaches used in climate science and infectious disease biology provide potential for progress.
Keywords:

General Agricultural And Biological Sciences General Biochemistry, Genetics And Molecular Biology General Environmental Science General Immunology And Microbiology General Medicine General Agricultural And Biological Sciences General Biochemistry, Genetics And Molecular Biology General Immunology And Microbiology General Agricultural And Biological Sciences General Biochemistry, Genetics And Molecular Biology General Immunology And Microbiology
Source:

Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences, 284(1860), 20170901
DOI:

https://doi.org/10.1098/rspb.2017.0901
ISSN:

0962-8452 ; 1471-2954
Format:

PDF
Publisher:

The Royal Society
Document Type:

Journal Article
License:

https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
Rights Information:

CC BY
Compliance:

Library
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urn:sha-512:fe157f074f969afa9ba271867bbc51cb332c4374a074a13798f7c1b6ca32873b92ee80482bb0cfbdf6b8474c8b9a7b178a389d87183a6fbef97c6af07270462c
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https://repository.library.noaa.gov/view/noaa/64066/noaa_64066_DS1.pdf
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