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Dynamics and Predictability of the Intensification of Hurricane Edouard (2014)
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2017
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Source: Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 74(2), 573-595
[PDF-3.19 MB]
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Journal Title:Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences
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Description:The dynamics and predictability of the intensification of Hurricane Edouard (2014) are explored through a 60-member convection-permitting ensemble initialized with an ensemble Kalman filter that assimilates dropsondes collected during NASA’s Hurricane and Severe Storm Sentinel (HS3) investigation. The 126-h forecasts are initialized when Edouard was designated as a tropical depression and include Edouard’s near–rapid intensification (RI) from a tropical storm to a strong category-2 hurricane. Although the deterministic forecast was very successful and many members correctly forecasted Edouard’s intensification, there was significant spread in the timing of intensification among the members of the ensemble.
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Source:Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 74(2), 573-595
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ISSN:0022-4928;1520-0469;
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Rights Information:Other
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Compliance:Library
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