Sea ice prediction physics

Details

• Personal Author:
  Grumbine, Robert W.
• Corporate Authors:
  National Meteorological Center (U.S.)
• NOAA Program & Office:
  NWS (National Weather Service)
• Description:
  In this note we review the physics of sea ice as a system forced by the atmosphere and ocean as they are relevant to the problem of making forecasts of the future state of the sea ice pack. Statistical analyses Walsh, 1981; Chapman and Walsh, 1991; Mysak et al, 1991 and a limited theoretical analysis Grumbine, 1993 suggest that the period of predictability may be weeks to months, making sea ice one of the most predictable components of the climate system. A feature of sea ice physics is that less is known about it than related physical systems such as the atmosphere and ocean. Consequently this review should be taken in the sense of a progress report on the state of sea ice understanding. A bibliography including sea ice papers not directly quoted is included at the end to permit the reader to identify groups actively working on aspects of the problem relevant to the reader's specific interest.
• Content Notes:
  Robert W. Grumbine. ; "June 1993." ; "This is an unreviewed manuscript, primarily intended for informal exchange of information among NMC staff members." ; Also available online in PDF via the NOAA Central Library. ; Includes bibliographical references (pages 25-41).
• Series:
  Contribution (NOAA Ocean Products Center) ; no. 74 ; Office note (National Meteorological Center (U.S.)) ; 396
• Document Type:
  Miscellaneous
• Place as Subject:
  United States
• Rights Information:
  Public Domain
• Compliance:
  Library
• Download URL:
  https://repository.library.noaa.gov/view/noaa/6337/noaa_6337_DS1.pdf
• File Type:
  [PDF - 4.05 MB]
• Collection(s):
  National Weather Service (NWS)
• Main Document Checksum:
  urn:sha256:8982d7abf8889289beddfcf7db44af30c16a8be658bf23c521abdc28d11af813