Space-based vegetation health for wheat yield modeling and prediction in Australia
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Space-based vegetation health for wheat yield modeling and prediction in Australia

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  • Journal Title:
    Journal of Applied Remote Sensing
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  • Description:
    An early warning of crop losses in response to weather fluctuations helps farmers, governments, traders, and policy makers better monitor global food supply and demand and identifies nations in need of aid. This paper discusses the utility of vegetation health (VH) indices, derived from the advance very high-resolution radiometer (AVHRR) and visible infrared imaging radiometer suite (VIIRS), as a proxy for modeling Australian wheat from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) operational afternoon polar-orbiting satellites. These models are used to assess wheat production and to provide an early warning of drought-related losses. The NOAA AVHRR- and VIIRS-based VH indices were used to model wheat yield in Australia. A strong correlation (≥0.7) between wheat yield and VH indices was found during the critical reproductive stage of development (enhanced crops sensitivity to weather), which starts 2 to 3 weeks before and ends 2 to 3 weeks after wheat heading. The results of modeling and independent testing proved that the VH indices (especially those estimating thermal and health conditions) are a good proxy providing 1 to 2 months before harvest yield prediction (with 3% to 6% error). With the new generation of NOAA-20 operational polar-orbiting satellites, launched in November 2017, the VH method will be improved considerably both in an advanced crop/pasture prediction, spatial resolution, and accuracy.
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    Journal of Applied Remote Sensing, 12(02), 1
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  • ISSN:
    1931-3195
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    CC BY
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    Library
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