Exceptional multi-year prediction skill of the Kuroshio Extension in the CESM high-resolution decadal prediction system

Kim, Who M.; Yeager, Stephen G.; Danabasoglu, Gokhan; Chang, Ping

doi:10.1038/s41612-023-00444-w

Advanced Search

Select up to three search categories and corresponding keywords using the fields to the right. Refer to the Help section for more detailed instructions.

Search our Collections & Repository

Advanced Search
Custom Query

All these words:

For very narrow results

This exact word or phrase:

When looking for a specific result

Any of these words:

Best used for discovery & interchangable words

None of these words:

Recommended to be used in conjunction with other fields

Language:

Dates

Publication Date Range:

to

Document Data

Title:

Document Type:

Library

Collection:

Series:

People

Author:

Clear All

Query Builder

Query box

Clear All

For additional assistance using the Custom Query please check out our Help Page

i

Exceptional multi-year prediction skill of the Kuroshio Extension in the CESM high-resolution decadal prediction system

2023
By Kim, Who M. ; Yeager, Stephen G. ; Danabasoglu, Gokhan ; ...
Source: npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, 6(1)

[PDF-3.99 MB]

Details You May Also Like

Details:

Journal Title:

npj Climate and Atmospheric Science
Personal Author:

Kim, Who M. ; Yeager, Stephen G. ; Danabasoglu, Gokhan ; Chang, Ping

Kim, Who M. ; Yeager, Stephen G. ; Danabasoglu, Gokhan ; Chang, Ping Less -
NOAA Program & Office:

OAR (Oceanic and Atmospheric Research)
Description:

The Kuroshio Extension (KE) has far-reaching influences on climate as well as on local marine ecosystems. Thus, skillful multi-year to decadal prediction of the KE state and understanding sources of skill are valuable. Retrospective forecasts using the high-resolution Community Earth System Model (CESM) show exceptional skill in predicting KE variability up to lead year 4, substantially higher than the skill found in a similarly configured low-resolution CESM. The higher skill is attained because the high-resolution system can more realistically simulate the westward Rossby wave propagation of initialized ocean anomalies in the central North Pacific and their expression within the sharp KE front, and does not suffer from spurious variability near Japan present in the low-resolution CESM that interferes with the incoming wave propagation. These results argue for the use of high-resolution models for future studies that aim to predict changes in western boundary current systems and associated biological fields.
Keywords:

[+]

Atmospheric Science Environmental Chemistry Global And Planetary Change
Source:

npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, 6(1)
DOI:

https://doi.org/10.1038/s41612-023-00444-w
ISSN:

2397-3722
Format:

PDF
Publisher:

Springer Science and Business Media LLC
Document Type:

Journal Article
Funding:

Grant no. NA20OAR4310408
License:

https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
Rights Information:

CC BY
Compliance:

Library
Main Document Checksum:

[+]

urn:sha256:921405bed6102098a874ee56109b1cd2c616fc3764bc3c7cad0eceace09e6e99
Download URL:

https://repository.library.noaa.gov/view/noaa/58568/noaa_58568_DS1.pdf
File Type:

No Additional Files

More +

Exceptional multi-year prediction skill of the Kuroshio Extension in the CESM high-resolution decadal prediction system

Details:

Supporting Files

You May Also Like