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Advances in Seasonal Predictions of Arctic Sea Ice With NOAA UFS
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2023
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Source: Geophysical Research Letters, 50(7)
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Journal Title:Geophysical Research Letters
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Description:The Unified Forecast System (UFS) is the next generation modeling infrastructure under development for NOAA's operational numerical weather/climate predictions. This study is the first attempt with UFS for seasonal predictions application. In particular, 9-month hindcasts are performed starting from every month during 2007–2020. The UFS performance in predicting Arctic sea ice was compared to hindcasts by (a) the current operational Climate Forecast System version 2 (CFSv2) and (b) an experimental sea ice prediction system (CFSm5) at NOAA. Evaluations indicate that UFS demonstrates consistently improved skills than both CFSv2 and CFSm5 in seasonal sea ice predictions, together with more realistic climatological sea
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Source:Geophysical Research Letters, 50(7)
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DOI:
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ISSN:0094-8276;1944-8007;
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Rights Information:CC BY-NC-ND
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Compliance:Library
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