Stochastic Decadal Projections of Colorado River Streamflow and Reservoir Pool Elevations Conditioned on Temperature Projections

Woodson, David; Rajagopalan, Balaji; Baker, Sarah; Smith, Rebecca; Prairie, James; Towler, Erin; Ge, Ming; Zagona, Edith

doi:10.1029/2021wr030936

i

Stochastic Decadal Projections of Colorado River Streamflow and Reservoir Pool Elevations Conditioned on Temperature Projections

Supporting Files

2021
By Woodson, David ; Rajagopalan, Balaji ; Baker, Sarah ; ...

Details

Journal Title:

Water Resources Research
Personal Author:

Woodson, David ; Rajagopalan, Balaji ; Baker, Sarah ; Smith, Rebecca ; Prairie, James ; Towler, Erin ; Ge, Ming ; Zagona, Edith
NOAA Program & Office:

CIRES (Cooperative Institute for Research in Environmental Sciences)
Description:

Decadal ( ∼10-year)-scale flow projections in the Colorado River Basin (CRB) are increasingly important for water resources management and planning of its reservoir system. Physical models, ensemble streamflow prediction (ESP), do not have skill beyond interannual time scales. However, Global Climate Models have good skill in projecting decadal temperatures. This, combined with the sensitivity of CRB flows to temperature from recent studies, motivate the research question , can skill in decadal temperature projections be translated to operationally skillful flow projections and consequently, water resources management? To explore this, we used temperature projections from the Community Earth System Model-Decadal Prediction
Keywords:

Water Science and Technology
Source:

Water Resources Research, 57(12)
DOI:

https://doi.org/10.1029/2021wr030936
ISSN:

0043-1397 ; 1944-7973
Format:

PDF
Publisher:

American Geophysical Union (AGU)
Document Type:

Journal Article
Rights Information:

Other
Compliance:

Library
Main Document Checksum:

urn:sha256:5979d718ca203b12be09365cc768ac6425cc45e458fd877e3c7b712d1902c556
Download URL:

https://repository.library.noaa.gov/view/noaa/55084/noaa_55084_DS1.pdf
File Type:

[PDF - 4.06 MB ]

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