Stochastic Decadal Projections of Colorado River Streamflow and Reservoir Pool Elevations Conditioned on Temperature Projections

Woodson, David; Rajagopalan, Balaji; Baker, Sarah; Smith, Rebecca; Prairie, James; Towler, Erin; Ge, Ming; Zagona, Edith

doi:10.1029/2021wr030936

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Stochastic Decadal Projections of Colorado River Streamflow and Reservoir Pool Elevations Conditioned on Temperature Projections

2021
By Woodson, David ; Rajagopalan, Balaji ; Baker, Sarah ; ...
Source: Water Resources Research, 57(12)

[PDF-4.06 MB]

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Journal Title:

Water Resources Research
Personal Author:

Woodson, David ; Rajagopalan, Balaji ; Baker, Sarah ; Smith, Rebecca ; Prairie, James ; ... More +

Woodson, David ; Rajagopalan, Balaji ; Baker, Sarah ; Smith, Rebecca ; Prairie, James ; Towler, Erin ; Ge, Ming ; Zagona, Edith Less -
NOAA Program & Office:

CIRES (Cooperative Institute for Research in Environmental Sciences)
Description:

Decadal ( ∼10-year)-scale flow projections in the Colorado River Basin (CRB) are increasingly important for water resources management and planning of its reservoir system. Physical models, ensemble streamflow prediction (ESP), do not have skill beyond interannual time scales. However, Global Climate Models have good skill in projecting decadal temperatures. This, combined with the sensitivity of CRB flows to temperature from recent studies, motivate the research question , can skill in decadal temperature projections be translated to operationally skillful flow projections and consequently, water resources management? To explore this, we used temperature projections from the Community Earth System Model-Decadal Prediction
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Water Science and Technology
Source:

Water Resources Research, 57(12)
DOI:

https://doi.org/10.1029/2021wr030936
ISSN:

0043-1397;1944-7973;
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PDF
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American Geophysical Union (AGU)
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Journal Article
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urn:sha256:5979d718ca203b12be09365cc768ac6425cc45e458fd877e3c7b712d1902c556
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https://repository.library.noaa.gov/view/noaa/55084/noaa_55084_DS1.pdf
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