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Stochastic Decadal Projections of Colorado River Streamflow and Reservoir Pool Elevations Conditioned on Temperature Projections
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2021
Source: Water Resources Research, 57(12)
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Journal Title:Water Resources Research
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Description:Decadal ( ∼10-year)-scale flow projections in the Colorado River Basin (CRB) are increasingly important for water resources management and planning of its reservoir system. Physical models, ensemble streamflow prediction (ESP), do not have skill beyond interannual time scales. However, Global Climate Models have good skill in projecting decadal temperatures. This, combined with the sensitivity of CRB flows to temperature from recent studies, motivate the research question , can skill in decadal temperature projections be translated to operationally skillful flow projections and consequently, water resources management? To explore this, we used temperature projections from the Community Earth System Model-Decadal Prediction
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Source:Water Resources Research, 57(12)
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ISSN:0043-1397;1944-7973;
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Rights Information:Other
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Compliance:Library
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